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CITIZEN SIBLING PETITION CASE IOE

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35 minutes ago, Boiler said:

There are about 5,000,000 waiting for their Priority Date to be current.

 

So just think how busy the Consulates will be.

 

And the knock on effect.

Where you can check there are 5,000,000 waiting for their Priority Date to be current please?

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28 minutes ago, geowrian said:

Thanks for the explanation. That said, the law does not provides for what he has stated. There is a finate number of visas available for family preference cases. This is written in the INA and can only be changed by an act of Congress. No such bill has been presented or even brought up.

The only possible way F4 would become current faster is if they allocated more visas designated for spouses and children (F1 through F3) to F4 instead....and I just cannot foresee any reality where making spouses and children wait several years longer due to wanting more siblings. Or for the ~5million people waiting in line already (across all categories) not wanting the visa anymore.

And as noted, think of the sudden workload on the consulates. Wow.

 

He "knows information that can't say"? Sounds very shady.

Well geowrian, I know what you say and makes sense, but that's what he said, anyway if this doesn't happen, what we'll have to do is: Residence Mother submits petitions for their single sons older than 21 years, that way will be faster...

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Wales
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https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/immigration-wait-times-quotas-have-doubled-green-card-backlogs-are-long

 

There some numbers here.

 

Lets say your sponsor a sibling, there is no way of knowing how many derivatives, wife and children are attached so could be one could be 10.

 

Thing of the consequences, one person on here will be sponsoring 21 siblings. Lets say wife and 3 children on average that would be 100 people.

 

 

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Iran
Timeline

I'm not really sure what "insider information" your attorney claims to have. The number of available visas for each category is set by law. As said previously that can only be changed by Congress and I am not aware of any pending bill to do that. You can check online for all bills submitted and being review in both the House and Senate. 

I would suggest you have an LPR or citizen parent apply as it is much faster. It does not hurt to have two petitions going at the same time just in case.

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7 minutes ago, Boiler said:

https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/immigration-wait-times-quotas-have-doubled-green-card-backlogs-are-long

 

There some numbers here.

 

Lets say your sponsor a sibling, there is no way of knowing how many derivatives, wife and children are attached so could be one could be 10.

 

Thing of the consequences, one person on here will be sponsoring 21 siblings. Lets say wife and 3 children on average that would be 100 people.

 

 

Ok Boiler thank you for this information...

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7 minutes ago, belinda63 said:

I'm not really sure what "insider information" your attorney claims to have. The number of available visas for each category is set by law. As said previously that can only be changed by Congress and I am not aware of any pending bill to do that. You can check online for all bills submitted and being review in both the House and Senate. 

I would suggest you have an LPR or citizen parent apply as it is much faster. It does not hurt to have two petitions going at the same time just in case.

Yes dear belinda63, that's what we're thinking, LPR to submit a petition for their single sons older than 21 years... thank you for your help...

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33 minutes ago, malaga310 said:

Where you can check there are 5,000,000 waiting for their Priority Date to be current please?

DOS provides an annual report. Here's the latest one (although the data is 1 year old, it's the latest one available). https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Immigrant-Statistics/WaitingList/WaitingListItem_2018.pdf

The past year has been a good year for advancement. At the very least, it moved faster than historical averages.

 

This shows ~3.6 million direct beneficiaries, of which ~2.25 million are F4. Each of those 4 million people may have a spouse or children dependents (every F3 has at least a spouse, and any category can have children). Each may be petitioned in multiple categories (i.e. F4 and F1 or F3). Each may or may not pursue the visa. Each may or may not be eligible for the visa. There's a lot of moving parts here, which is why the visa bulletin uses estimates.

That said, very often there are at least 1 - if not several - derivatives in that category. People grow up, get married, have children, etc. during the over decade of waiting.

 

Edit: For some information, here are the numerical limits broken down by category for FY2020: https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Immigrant-Statistics/Annual Numerical Limits - FY2020.pdf

That's the same 226k visas, of which 65k are for F4. There is no possible way for the 2.25 million people in the F4 line can all get those 65k visas.

Edited by geowrian

Timelines:

ROC:

Spoiler

7/27/20: Sent forms to Dallas lockbox, 7/30/20: Received by USCIS, 8/10 NOA1 electronic notification received, 8/1/ NOA1 hard copy received

AOS:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago, 9/27/17: received by USCIS, 10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received, 10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received, 10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update), 1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed, 1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received, 1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice, 10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice, 10/25/18: Formal approval, 10/31/18: Green card received

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent, 12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received, 3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification), 3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved! , 3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received, 4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy, 4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy, 4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

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7 minutes ago, geowrian said:

DOS provides an annual report. Here's the latest one (although the data is 1 year old, it's the latest one available). https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Immigrant-Statistics/WaitingList/WaitingListItem_2018.pdf

The past year has been a good year for advancement. At the very least, it moved faster than historical averages.

 

This shows ~3.6 million direct beneficiaries, of which ~2.25 million are F4. Each of those 4 million people may have a spouse or children dependents (every F3 has at least a spouse, and any category can have children). Each may be petitioned in multiple categories (i.e. F4 and F1 or F3). Each may or may not pursue the visa. Each may or may not be eligible for the visa. There's a lot of moving parts here, which is why the visa bulletin uses estimates.

That said, very often there are at least 1 - if not several - derivatives in that category. People grow up, get married, have children, etc. during the over decade of waiting.

Ok geowrian excellent information that one, thank you very much for your valued help...

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Filed: Country: Vietnam (no flag)
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1 hour ago, malaga310 said:

Ok Chief aaron2020 of USCIS let's wait what you will decide in the coming months!...I don't know how you did Residence Fathers submitting petitions for single sons older than 21 years, 9 months ago those petitions lasted 7 years, exactly now is 5 years and predictions say they will become in 3 years, in fact, there are F2B cases right now completing within 4 years, how you did that in less than 1 year Cheif of USCIS?... and I know how to read both Visa Bulletin USCIS and NVC, what you say is actually, but you and me don't know the future!... 

You said you know the future.  You said you know an AILA lawyer and everything is going to change in a few months.  Now, you don't know the future?  How convenient when called out on your BS.  

 

Who is predicting 3 years, in fact?  In what universe are F2b cases completing in 4 years when the current PD for the Dec. 2019 VB will be August 8, 2014.  Please show me a single F2b case where someone with a PD from Dec. 2015 has completed the immigration process.  Just one case since you  stated that it was "in fact" completing within 4 years.  

You know how to read the VB?  Really?  What where those questions in the previous pages of this thread about?  What is letter E?  Remember when you asked that?  But you know how to read the VB.  Got it.  

You are so full of BS.  

Edited by aaron2020
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3 minutes ago, aaron2020 said:

You said you know the future.  You said you know an AILA lawyer and everything is going to change in a few months.  Now, you don't know the future?  How convenient when called out on your BS.  

No, I don't know the future, who said knows the future was NVC

 

E.  VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS

FAMILY-sponsored categories (potential monthly movement)

Worldwide dates:

F1:  Up to two months 
F2A: CURRENT, corrective action should be expected by February
F2B: Up to six weeks
F3:  Up to one month
F4:  Up to six weeks

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5 minutes ago, malaga310 said:

No, I don't know the future, who said knows the future was NVC

 

E.  VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS

FAMILY-sponsored categories (potential monthly movement)

Worldwide dates:

F1:  Up to two months 
F2A: CURRENT, corrective action should be expected by February
F2B: Up to six weeks
F3:  Up to one month
F4:  Up to six weeks

As noted previously, this states up to six weeks movement (not up to six weeks to become current).

Timelines:

ROC:

Spoiler

7/27/20: Sent forms to Dallas lockbox, 7/30/20: Received by USCIS, 8/10 NOA1 electronic notification received, 8/1/ NOA1 hard copy received

AOS:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago, 9/27/17: received by USCIS, 10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received, 10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received, 10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update), 1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed, 1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received, 1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice, 10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice, 10/25/18: Formal approval, 10/31/18: Green card received

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent, 12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received, 3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification), 3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved! , 3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received, 4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy, 4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy, 4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

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30 minutes ago, aaron2020 said:

You said you know the future.  You said you know an AILA lawyer and everything is going to change in a few months.  Now, you don't know the future?  How convenient when called out on your BS.  

 

Who is predicting 3 years, in fact?  In what universe are F2b cases completing in 4 years when the current PD for the Dec. 2019 VB will be August 8, 2014.  Please show me a single F2b case where someone with a PD from Dec. 2015 has completed the immigration process.  Just one case since you  stated that it was "in fact" completing within 4 years.  

You know how to read the VB?  Really?  What where those questions in the previous pages of this thread about?  What is letter E?  Remember when you asked that?  But you know how to read the VB.  Got it.  

You are so full of BS.  

F2B you know they were for 7 years in the backlog 9 months ago, tell YOU how they are right now?.... because I know where F2B are right now, that way your theory goes down...about a case F2B completed within 4 years, you won't understand Spanish, a guy who is a specialist in USA immigration had that case and he explained on a Youtube video, that happened to him...that's his job.

Edited by malaga310
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4 hours ago, malaga310 said:

Dear Duke & Marie I really see all these stuff strange, as I don't know if you know, NVC will be removed from the process in the next few months, in fact, is happening right now, ( I know cases) now it will be USCIS and the Embassy in the country where the applicant is. So there will be many changes...

I believe you have this backward... many embassies are ceasing the processing of immigration visas and/or are closing... bringing everything back to the department of state (NVC) for centralised processing..

AOS Journey

  • I-485 etc filed 23 April 2020 
  • NOA1 I-485 June 3 2020 
  • NOA1 EAD 23 April 2020
  • Biometrics 5 Jan 2021
  • EAD approved 12 March 2021
  • Interview Completed 24 March 2021
  • EAD Card Received 1 April 2021  
  • Case under review 2 April 2021
  • New Card is Being Produced 25 September 2021
  • 10 Year Green Card Approved and Mailed 27 September 2021 🙌🙌🙌🙌🙌
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3 minutes ago, Duke & Marie said:

I believe you have this backward... many embassies are ceasing the processing of immigration visas and/or are closing... bringing everything back to the department of state (NVC) for centralised processing..

At least in Dominican Republic is not like that, days after days more cases are coming from USCIS to the Embassy directly, and this Embassy is the main one in the Caribbean!... 

Edited by malaga310
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13 minutes ago, malaga310 said:

At least in Dominican Republic is not like that, days after days more cases are coming from USCIS to the Embassy directly, and this Embassy is the main one in the Caribbean!... 

Direct consular processing is a different process again for particular eligible parties.. you shouldn’t mix the processes up with general partitions for I130.. 

 

generally speaking people associated with normal I130 processing from the DM will continue to have to go via NVC before being forwarded to DM consulate for interviews.. 

 

https://do.usembassy.gov/visas/immigrant-visas/

 

basic 3 step process..

1. USCIS, petition processing

2. NVC, document processing and waiting visa availability

3. Interview at consulate (usually overseas) 

Edited by Duke & Marie

AOS Journey

  • I-485 etc filed 23 April 2020 
  • NOA1 I-485 June 3 2020 
  • NOA1 EAD 23 April 2020
  • Biometrics 5 Jan 2021
  • EAD approved 12 March 2021
  • Interview Completed 24 March 2021
  • EAD Card Received 1 April 2021  
  • Case under review 2 April 2021
  • New Card is Being Produced 25 September 2021
  • 10 Year Green Card Approved and Mailed 27 September 2021 🙌🙌🙌🙌🙌
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