U.S. May Collapse as Superpower

[Danno 1,228]

http://www.amk.ca/diary/2003/03/gwynne_dye...redictions.html

Usually before I give any weight to someones predictions... whether I agree or not, I look at their past performance.

Here is Gwynne Dryer's Prediction about how the Battle to take Iraq would go.

Wrong on almost every count.

I suppose if you vollenteer to change his time lines on some events he might be right on a few but

if time lines are so flexible... what good is a PREdiction.

"If you are going to get Saddam Hussein, you have to go where he is, which is a deep bunker (somewhere) in Baghdad, which is bigger than Toronto." And unless Saddam is assassinated or is deposed in a coup, "you have to fight your way in. It won't be (as fierce as) Berlin 1945 or Stalingrad or Grozny, but some of them (Iraqi soldiers) will fight," especially the 90,000-strong Republican Guard.

"Street fighting eats up soldiers," said Dyer, "so you're talking quite a few American casualties. So you flatten it (Baghdad). So we're looking at tens of thousands of civilian casualties, and it may not stop there."

If Saddam still has Scud missiles, he may well turn them against Israel, just as he did in 1991. ... This time, however, unlike in 1991, Israel will retaliate. "Sharon (the Israeli prime minister) has said he will retaliate, and for once I believe him," Dyer said. This "changes the optics" in the Middle East because now you have "Israel and America attacking an Arab country together. How will that play?"

There is a reason he was black listed in canada yet his articles are featured in Arab NewsPapers.

Here is another article claiming America was involved in every crime Sadam committed... except the one he was tried for.

http://gwynnedyer.net/articles/Gwynne%20Dy...20Execution.txt

* water seeks its own level

Edited June 8, 2007 by Danno