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Posted (edited)
8 hours ago, SusieQQQ said:

You should be looking at table 1 of the visa bulletin for priority dates https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-bulletin/2020/visa-bulletin-for-october-2019.html

and you can get current form processing times by center here https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/

 

Of course it could go back to the more typical two year wait which aligns more with the small sample of self-reported VJ timeline cases... it will almost certainly retrogress to priority date determination at some stage, just no idea what that wait might be

I-130s for F2A almost always (if not always?) go to CSC.

 

Estimated time range at CSC: 19.5 Months to 25.5 Months

The 19.5 months months refers to 50% of cases so it's a fairly typical time to go by. Then add in ~2-3 months at NVC for CC = 22 months. Then add in ~1-3 months for an interview = ~23-25 months. So a ~2 year estimate is still reasonable. The biggest difference now is that an expedite is actually useful (whereas it had virtually no purpose and could make things worse actually previously).

Edited by geowrian

Timelines:

ROC:

Spoiler

7/27/20: Sent forms to Dallas lockbox, 7/30/20: Received by USCIS, 8/10 NOA1 electronic notification received, 8/1/ NOA1 hard copy received

AOS:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago, 9/27/17: received by USCIS, 10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received, 10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received, 10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update), 1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed, 1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received, 1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice, 10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice, 10/25/18: Formal approval, 10/31/18: Green card received

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent, 12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received, 3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification), 3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved! , 3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received, 4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy, 4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy, 4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

 
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