I-751 February 2019 Filers

[TheKingmaker 153]

Just checked the case tracker app for VSC and noticed a pattern. I checked 500 cases near mine and the cases who fingerprints were done in Feb 2019 have been approved. I assume that since our fingerprints were done in March, we should start seeing approvals in March.

 

Or maybe I'm being too optimistic. But there is definitely a pattern. Check out the case tracker and you'll see.

[vacchins 7]

Not necessarily. I also noticed on the case tracker that many cases after mine (bio march 2019) have been approved already and they were not transferred. On friday they approved 5 people after me. It's frustrating because they're supposed to go in the order they receive cases, instead it's lottery-like. Who gets pulled from the shelf gets approved. I would have never thought that dealing with the USCIS would be such a nightmare. 

Edited February 23, 2020 by vacchins

[Duncan21 202]

1 hour ago, TheKingmaker said:

Just checked the case tracker app for VSC and noticed a pattern. I checked 500 cases near mine and the cases who fingerprints were done in Feb 2019 have been approved. I assume that since our fingerprints were done in March, we should start seeing approvals in March.

 

Or maybe I'm being too optimistic. But there is definitely a pattern. Check out the case tracker and you'll see.

Thanks for the info.  Were all these cases CR-1/IR-1 or were previously interviewed by USCIS or a mix?

[TheKingmaker 153]

2 minutes ago, Duncan21 said:

Thanks for the info.  Were all these cases CR-1/IR-1 or were previously interviewed by USCIS or a mix?

Sorry, scratch what I said up there. The case tracker shows the "last updated" date - not the final date. My analysis means nothing.

 

😐

[vacchins 7]

I honestly don't know. Most CR-1 were transferred to Nebraska for an interview. K1 are not usually scheduled for an interview, so far at least.

[bigjailerman 318]

5 hours ago, TheKingmaker said:

Just checked the case tracker app for VSC and noticed a pattern. I checked 500 cases near mine and the cases who fingerprints were done in Feb 2019 have been approved. I assume that since our fingerprints were done in March, we should start seeing approvals in March.

 

Or maybe I'm being too optimistic. But there is definitely a pattern. Check out the case tracker and you'll see.

Makes sense

[TheKingmaker 153]

3 hours ago, bigjailerman said:

Makes sense

Nope sorry. My analysis was wrong. I now think it is more random. 

[mseck8688 16]

On 2/21/2020 at 10:28 PM, demortis1968 said:

When you sue them, let me know how that turns out.

tomorrow will be  13 month waiting after my biometric silence radio 

im going to hire a lawyer for it

 

[bigjailerman 318]

42 minutes ago, mseck8688 said:

tomorrow will be  13 month waiting after my biometric silence radio 

im going to hire a lawyer for it

 

What is your timeline, you don't have anything posted...

IMHO you are throwing money away to how an attorney at this point. They Can't really do anything when you are still within you processing times.

[TheKingmaker 153]

16 minutes ago, bigjailerman said:

What is your timeline, you don't have anything posted...

IMHO you are throwing money away to how an attorney at this point. They Can't really do anything when you are still within you processing times.

He's an investor immigrant. Don't think money is a concern 😁

[bigjailerman 318]

1 hour ago, TheKingmaker said:

He's an investor immigrant. Don't think money is a concern 😁

Good! I would make all the calls and follow ups then. I have decent prices...  More than happy to roads my business. EB1 is extraordinary employee right?

Edited February 24, 2020 by bigjailerman

[aroabi 21]

14 hours ago, mseck8688 said:

tomorrow will be  13 month waiting after my biometric silence radio 

im going to hire a lawyer for it

 

If suing USCIS was fruitful, a lot of people would have done it. Even if you or the person involved has money, you still will be losing your precious time with attorney and USCIS. You can only sue USCIS for delays if they have not processed your case after your case is out of normal processing time, which for VSC is 17.5 month and probably will be greater in the future. Even then you should request a case inquiry from USCIS, then go through your local representative or sue USCIS. It is frustrating. For me personally the most frustrating things are how they claim that they generally process the cases in the order they receive them yet they play lottery to make their processing time more "eye-pleasing". And of course their outrageously long processing times for certain metro areas. There is no oversight on this agency, hence they show no accountability. I had a colleague who applied for H1B visa 6-7 years ago. Our employer sponsored it. After many months of silence they sent an inquiry to USCIS. USCIS claimed that they never received the case, yet they successfully cashed the check. Then they admitted that they cashed the check but lost the case. Our employer sponsored new application, applicant's position was terminated, he had to go back to his country and wait for the new application to be approved. USCIS never returned the fee from the first application. I'm sure if our employer involved their lawyers USCIS would have returned the fee, but they did nor return it voluntarily. It's small money no employer is going to involve their lawyers for it.

Edited February 24, 2020 by aroabi

[BiafraIpob 3]

Case Was Approved

On February 24, 2020, we approved your Form I-751, Petition to Remove Conditions on Residence, Receipt Number EAC19........ We will mail your approval notice. Please follow the instructions in the notice. If you move, go to www.uscis.gov/addresschange to give us your new mailing address.

 

My car was received by the USCIS on Feb 2nd 2019, no single update or anything till it was approved. I did finger print like two months after the case was received. Hope everyone get theirs too. Good luck guys. Biafra or nothing.

Edited February 25, 2020 by BiafraIpob

[nj59516 16]

Congrats. You are case was in Vermont? 
your case was EAC1990072????

Edited February 25, 2020 by nj59516
Wrong info

[aroabi 21]

Anyone in this group who has not been approved yet, I did some analysis. I tracked the cases on the case tracker and put them on the spreadsheet. My case is in VSC. VSC’s timeline is 13.5-18.5-months.

For cases around 13-13.5 months wait time- VSC completed the 50% of the cases by 13.5 months. If you are lucky to be in that 50% pool than you already got approved. 25% of the cases got RFE, some cases got transferred. After VSC reached its 50% completion goal, it slowed down the approval process. Because now VSC has 5 months to complete just 43% of the cases. So, they leave the cases hanging (especially the ones that are in fingerprints received status) and will start actively working on late February/March cases to finish their 50% completion quota by 13.5 months. RFEs will be approved after certain number of days when VSC receives them. This is why cases from October-December 2018 are still pending while the February-March 2019 cases are getting approved. USCIS has target deadlines that it has to meet, they do not care about the extra wait time they are imposing on applicants

 

The Approval/RFE ratio is about 2:1. This seems to be quite consistent.

 

Here are the numbers for early February cases (500 cases on case tracker) range 5527-6027.

Total                -66

Approved       -26

RFE                  -13

Transferred     -3

Pending (Fingerprints received)  -22

So, my conclusion is that if you are not in that lucky 50%, then you have a better chance of getting approved if you got RFE than if you are in that “Fingerprints received” pool. Remember that by 18.5 months VSC  just has to complete 93% of the cases by their own admission, meaning that 7% of the cases will be outside normal processing time. So, don’t be afraid of getting an RFE!

 

Edited February 25, 2020 by aroabi