USCIS released data for 3rd quarter and I 751....

[xillini 71]

TLDR: After transferring all these I 751 applications, USCIS did outperform processing applications (whether to approve or deny), but it is a drop in the bucket, so hang on tight. 

 

USCIS lately published the statistics for 3rd quarter when they started to transfer I 751 to Nebraska and Texas, but still a lot of backlog remains and no feasibility to get it done on time. 

 

For instance, they processed 33000 cases in 3rd quarter of 2018 (April, May, June), It is somewhat tiny improvement considering in 1st and 2nd quarter of 2018 as well as all quarters in 2017, they only processed 24000 cases in average,

which is why the processing time is guaranteed an year if luckiest, and around 18-20 months in average. 

 

However, based on historic USCIS's data, quarterly I 751 application received is around 42000 cases in average, and therefore USCIS did not even catch up the speed that they receive, in other words. 

Specifically, USCIS received total of 43592 cases in 3rd quarter, and processed only 33200 cases in the same period, leaving roughly 10,000 cases are stacking up in their storage. 

 

 

Now some questions to bring in a reasonable way to ask to USCIS would be

1) If they transfer to Nebraska and Texas, how many IOs are reviewing I 751 in each service center (including CSC/VSC)?

Based on my understanding each field service center has department and chief section, and one department leads family/employment/others type category, under which a section has a chief supervising I 751. 

 

2) How IOs are assigned to each I 751, and what is the average time that IOs are completing to adjucate the cases with standard deviation once it is assigned? 

 

3) Looking at the data, in 2013, USCIS processed almost 65,000 cases per each quarter, and how were they able to do?

2013 can be exceptional year to adjucate I 751, but in average, looking at the data, USCIS successfully adjucated around 40000 cases until 2017 fiscal year.

Why, starting in 2017, USCIS failed to catch up I 751 adjucation? (I.e were there any specific guidance change? If so, what change? If not, Please give specific answers such as some departmental restructures that resulted in less numbers of IOs were assigned to?) 

 

These can be questions to share some concerns with your congressman and congresswomen, especially Alexandra Ocasio to name a few when they have chances to hear USCIS director and what they have to offer to explain. 

 

To evaluate whether the transfer of I 751 really accelerate the I 751 processing time, still we would need 4th quarter, but apparently, the transfer was not really effective until 3rd quarter. 

Hope this helps to explain why I 751 backlog got even worse. 

 

quarter	1st Quarter1				2nd Quarter1				3rd Quarter1				4th Quarter1				Fiscal Year 2015 To-Date
year	Forms Received2	Approved3	Denied4	Pending5	Forms Received2	Approved3	Denied4	Pending5	Forms Received2	Approved3	Denied4	Pending5	Forms Received2	Approved3	Denied4	Pending5	Forms Received2	Approved3
2018	42,913	23,385	1,340	215,780	45,745	24,017	1,213	243,300	43,592	31,649	1,608	259,207					132,250	79,068
2017	36,263	23,838	1,448	133,568	44,614	22,604	1,853	153,009	41,000	21,625	1,726	172,431	44,554	20,934	1,355	196,058	166,431	89,001
2016	35,536	32,246	1,725	122,558	37,944	30,275	2,249	127,140	35,741	39,672	2,129	120,903	35,427	32,095	1,993	121,412	144,648	134,288
2015	38,380	35,521	2,046	107,582	42,933	34,465	1,793	113,130	42,982	36,064	2,010	120,204	41,490	41,470	2,059	118,793	165,785	147,520
2014	41,807	43,876	2,638	81,444	49,602	35,878	2,719	98,413	45,140	42,223	2,263	97,779	41,810	33,006	1,892	104,883	178,359	154,983
2013	38,559	39,864	3,081	124,707	43,225	66,889	2,356	122,770	44,157	63,012	2,995	311,514	45,710	62,013	3,173	76,264	171,651	231,778

[AlluringSoul 185]

10 hours ago, xillini said:

TLDR: After transferring all these I 751 applications, USCIS did outperform processing applications (whether to approve or deny), but it is a drop in the bucket, so hang on tight. 

 

USCIS lately published the statistics for 3rd quarter when they started to transfer I 751 to Nebraska and Texas, but still a lot of backlog remains and no feasibility to get it done on time. 

 

For instance, they processed 33000 cases in 3rd quarter of 2018 (April, May, June), It is somewhat tiny improvement considering in 1st and 2nd quarter of 2018 as well as all quarters in 2017, they only processed 24000 cases in average,

which is why the processing time is guaranteed an year if luckiest, and around 18-20 months in average. 

 

However, based on historic USCIS's data, quarterly I 751 application received is around 42000 cases in average, and therefore USCIS did not even catch up the speed that they receive, in other words. 

Specifically, USCIS received total of 43592 cases in 3rd quarter, and processed only 33200 cases in the same period, leaving roughly 10,000 cases are stacking up in their storage. 

 

 

Now some questions to bring in a reasonable way to ask to USCIS would be

1) If they transfer to Nebraska and Texas, how many IOs are reviewing I 751 in each service center (including CSC/VSC)?

Based on my understanding each field service center has department and chief section, and one department leads family/employment/others type category, under which a section has a chief supervising I 751. 

 

2) How IOs are assigned to each I 751, and what is the average time that IOs are completing to adjucate the cases with standard deviation once it is assigned? 

 

3) Looking at the data, in 2013, USCIS processed almost 65,000 cases per each quarter, and how were they able to do?

2013 can be exceptional year to adjucate I 751, but in average, looking at the data, USCIS successfully adjucated around 40000 cases until 2017 fiscal year.

Why, starting in 2017, USCIS failed to catch up I 751 adjucation? (I.e were there any specific guidance change? If so, what change? If not, Please give specific answers such as some departmental restructures that resulted in less numbers of IOs were assigned to?) 

 

These can be questions to share some concerns with your congressman and congresswomen, especially Alexandra Ocasio to name a few when they have chances to hear USCIS director and what they have to offer to explain. 

 

To evaluate whether the transfer of I 751 really accelerate the I 751 processing time, still we would need 4th quarter, but apparently, the transfer was not really effective until 3rd quarter. 

Hope this helps to explain why I 751 backlog got even worse. 

 

quarter	1st Quarter1				2nd Quarter1				3rd Quarter1				4th Quarter1				Fiscal Year 2015 To-Date
year	Forms Received2	Approved3	Denied4	Pending5	Forms Received2	Approved3	Denied4	Pending5	Forms Received2	Approved3	Denied4	Pending5	Forms Received2	Approved3	Denied4	Pending5	Forms Received2	Approved3
2018	42,913	23,385	1,340	215,780	45,745	24,017	1,213	243,300	43,592	31,649	1,608	259,207					132,250	79,068
2017	36,263	23,838	1,448	133,568	44,614	22,604	1,853	153,009	41,000	21,625	1,726	172,431	44,554	20,934	1,355	196,058	166,431	89,001
2016	35,536	32,246	1,725	122,558	37,944	30,275	2,249	127,140	35,741	39,672	2,129	120,903	35,427	32,095	1,993	121,412	144,648	134,288
2015	38,380	35,521	2,046	107,582	42,933	34,465	1,793	113,130	42,982	36,064	2,010	120,204	41,490	41,470	2,059	118,793	165,785	147,520
2014	41,807	43,876	2,638	81,444	49,602	35,878	2,719	98,413	45,140	42,223	2,263	97,779	41,810	33,006	1,892	104,883	178,359	154,983
2013	38,559	39,864	3,081	124,707	43,225	66,889	2,356	122,770	44,157	63,012	2,995	311,514	45,710	62,013	3,173	76,264	171,651	231,778

This totally makes sense and thank you for pulling all that information together. It has been unfortunate but the processing times have increased, just because they transferred bunch of cases doesn't mean the other centers are not processing anything else.

 

When I did my AOS, it was sent to NBC where things would go smoothly. Now, it is one of the slowest service centers and you can only imagine what's happening now after all the transfers.

 

I read somewhere that they did in fact receive a lot of applications but also they have also slowed down in processing the files, so the volume is not the only impact but also the time they take to make a decision on a case.

 

Let's sit tight and watch it all unveil in Q4.