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Posted

Does anyone know what generates the Visa Journey approval estimates?   I am guessing that it uses some sort of average based on the data input on the timelines and I guess it can be skewed by an abnormal entry or a mistake.  I had been getting  them regularly and the date was steadily decreasing by a week or 2 but today I get one that pushes it back 5 mos.  

 

Last weeks was Your I-751 Approval Estimate

September 27, 2019

This week's is Your I-751 Approval Estimate

March 24, 2020

 

Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Greece
Timeline
Posted

Good question. Following 

Click "spoiler" below for a detailed account of our journey to a CR1 visa via DCF in Athens, Greece.

 

2011 - Met hubby online and became friends
Early 2013 - Confessed our love for each other * Late 2013 - I got pregnant with our daughter
2014 - Our baby was born in Athens, Greece and completed our family. We now have two boys and a girl!! 2013 - 2015 - Looking for jobs in Greece, none were available (due to socioeconomic crisis) 2015 - Decided only way to feed our family was to immigrate and started the process December 2015 - Got married (Greece has a LOT of red tape for foreigners marrying Greeks)
January 2016 - Finished gathering all documents and getting them translated
* * DCF in Athens, Greece * *

28th January 2016 - Finally filed I-130s
29th June - ISSUED!!!!!!1st July - Visa packages and passports delivered to DHL.4th July - Visas in hand! CU in two weeks USA!!
19th July- POE Detroit. All went well!! (excluding our screaming, jet lagged toddler!!)

 

After Arrival in the US

September 2016 - Hubby is diagnosed with congestive heart failure
October - February 2016 - Battle with drug use, overdosing, bringing home a tiny paycheck

March - July 2017 - I am working 80 hr weeks to make ends meet. Discovered hubby's affair. Still overdoses and is hospitalized. Has quit working all together.
July - October 2017 - Marriage counseling. Revealed hubby has "several" mental conditions. Is started on several mental meds.

October 2017 - Got accepted for a college course. Got better job to help raise my kids.

October 2017 - March 2018 - Situation at home is toxic. He files for divorce.

July 2018 - Divorce is final. I have full custody of our daughter.

 

ROC (GC expires July 19th 2018)

July 16th - Package for ROC is delivered to the CA service center (divorce waiver).

August 30th - NOA1 received with 18 month extension (fee waiver approved).

March 28th 2019 - Biometrics

August 8th 2019 - Case Approved No RFE No Interview - 10 year GC in production

N400 (Online - Detroit, MI office)
June 6th 2023 - Applied for naturalization under 5 year rule.
June 7th 2023 - Application received/Biometric will be reused.
June 16th - Interview scheduled.
July 27th - Upcoming interview.



**Our DCF journey to an IV took 5 months and 1 day from turning in the I-130 to getting "Issued"**


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Filed: Citizen (pnd) Country: Haiti
Timeline
Posted
7 hours ago, BullToTo said:

Does anyone know what generates the Visa Journey approval estimates?   I am guessing that it uses some sort of average based on the data input on the timelines and I guess it can be skewed by an abnormal entry or a mistake.  I had been getting  them regularly and the date was steadily decreasing by a week or 2 but today I get one that pushes it back 5 mos.  

 

Last weeks was Your I-751 Approval Estimate

September 27, 2019

This week's is Your I-751 Approval Estimate

March 24, 2020

 

I also would love to know. 

For me, it started September 21, 2019, to now September 2, 2019.

  

Filed: Citizen (pnd) Country: Canada
Timeline
Posted
59 minutes ago, Beddy2015 said:

I also would love to know. 

For me, it started September 21, 2019, to now September 2, 2019.

  

It's probably based on what people on the site have been filling out.  I imagine that sample is highly biased though, as some people will lose interest or forget to fill it out after approval.  Hopefully, they filter the long tail of times before averaging.

I-130

May 14, 2016: Sent I-130 Package to Chicago Lockbox

Oct 21, 2016: NOA2 Notice by App (LIN)

 

NVC

Nov 8, 2016: NVC Received

Nov 16, 2016: Case Number Assigned

Nov 18, 2016: DS-261 submitted and AOS fee paid

Dec 5, 2016: NVC Scan Date

Dec 6, 2016: NVC 3 N/A and Case Complete on Phone [1 day later!]

Dec 13, 2016: NVC CC e-mail

Jan 23, 2017: Interview...Approved!

 

Removing Conditions

Nov 2, 2018: Sent I-751 to Arizona Lockbox 

March 3, 2020: Approved by CSC

 

N-400

Feb 2, 2020: File N-400 online

Feb 25, 2020: Biometrics

 

 

Filed: Citizen (pnd) Country: Haiti
Timeline
Posted
1 hour ago, AstroCanada said:

It's probably based on what people on the site have been filling out.  I imagine that sample is highly biased though, as some people will lose interest or forget to fill it out after approval.  Hopefully, they filter the long tail of times before averaging.

No doubt it won't be 100% accurate.

Filed: Citizen (pnd) Country: Haiti
Timeline
Posted
10 minutes ago, p-ana said:

Mine doesn’t even give me a prediction lol. Some may and June filers already got their approval, it should start soon here... but not holding my breath for mine though

I've seen just one approval for June so far. CSC. Hopefully more later so it can be July filers soon. 

Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Beddy2015 said:

I've seen just one approval for June so far. CSC. Hopefully more later so it can be July filers soon. 

My NOA was June but I filed in May. A lot of may filers have June NOAs due to when they stopped processing applications  but we stuck to the May filers thread. Was approved today, NOA June 7th, but received at CSC On May 10th lol.

Edited by Ash.1101

*More detailed timeline in profile!*
 
Relationship:     Friends since 2010, Together since 2013

 K-1:   2015 Done in 208 days - 212g for Second Cosponsor    

Spoiler

04/27/15- NOA1 Recieved                                                    
06/02/15 - NOA2 Recieved
09/22/15 - Interview       (221g for more documents (a SECOND cosponsor), see profile for more details!)                                            
11/09/15 -  ISSUED!!                                                              
11/10/15 - Passport received                                                
02/20/16 - Wedding!              

                                         
 AOS:   2016 Done in 77 days - No RFE, No Interview                                                                    

Spoiler

04/08/16 - I-485, I-765, I-131 AOS Application recieved by USCIS
04/12/16 - 3 NOA1's received in mail
05/14/16 - Biometrics for AOS and EAD
06/27/16 - I-485 Case to changed to "New Card being produced"  (Day 77)
06/27/16 - I-485 Case changed to Approved! (Day 77)
06/30/16 - I-485 Case changed to "My Card has been mailed to me!"
07/05/16 - Green Card received in mail! 

 


ROC:   2018 - 2019 Done in 326 days - No RFE, No Interview

Spoiler

 

05/09/18 - Mailed out ROC to CSC

05/10/18 - CSC Signed and received ROC package
06/07/28 - NOA1 

06/11/18 - Check cashed

06/15/18 - NOA received in the mail
08/27/18 - 18 month extension received (Courtesy Copy)

09/18/18 - Request for official 18 month extension
10/22/18 - Official 18 month extension received 

02/27/19 - Biometrics waived 

04/29/19 - New card being produced!
05/09/19 - USPS delivered green card! In hand now!

 

Filed: Citizen (pnd) Country: Haiti
Timeline
Posted
7 hours ago, Ash.1101 said:

My NOA was June but I filed in May. A lot of may filers have June NOAs due to when they stopped processing applications  but we stuck to the May filers thread. Was approved today, NOA June 7th, but received at CSC On May 10th lol.

Oh I see. Congrats  on your  approval. 

I filed at the of June but my Noa said July 5 so kinda similar. 

Posted
On 4/29/2019 at 10:40 AM, BullToTo said:

Does anyone know what generates the Visa Journey approval estimates?   I am guessing that it uses some sort of average based on the data input on the timelines and I guess it can be skewed by an abnormal entry or a mistake.  I had been getting  them regularly and the date was steadily decreasing by a week or 2 but today I get one that pushes it back 5 mos.  

 

Last weeks was Your I-751 Approval Estimate

September 27, 2019

This week's is Your I-751 Approval Estimate

March 24, 2020

 

I got those exact dates but had two before that stating October 20, 2019 and September 30, 2019....followed by September 20, 2019 then jumped way across to March 20, 2020 :blink:

IR-1/CR-1
Spoiler

GOT MARRIED: 3-APR-2015 :wub:

HUSBAND FILED I-130: 29-MAY-2015

VISAS APPROVED: 15-JUN-2016

VISAS IN HAND; GREEN CARD FEES PAID: 21-JUN-2016

PORT OF ENTRY - FT. LAUDERDALE INTL AIRPORT: 06-AUG-2016
CONDITIONAL GREEN CARDS RECEIVED: 23-SEP-2016
 
I-751 FILER   
Spoiler
FILED REMOVAL OF CONDITIONS: 25-JUN-2018
FILE SENT TO NEBRASKA SERVICE CENTER 11-MAY-2019
10-YR GREEN CARDS APPROVED 17-JUN-2019 
10-YR GREEN CARDS RECEIVED 21-JUN-2019 :dance: 

N-400 FILER
Spoiler
FILED CITIZENSHIP ONLINE; RECEIVED NOA1: 8-DEC-2019
BIOMETRICS WALK-IN: 18-DEC-2019
INTERVIEW SCHEDULED: 26-OCT-2020
APPROVED/SAME DAY OATH CEREMONY: 26-OCT-2020
 
US PASSPORT
APPLICATION APPOINTMENT AT USPS (ROUTINE): 16-SEP-2021
PASSPORT APPROVED: 30-SEP-2021
PASSPORT RECEIVED: 5-OCT-2021
Filed: Citizen (pnd) Country: Haiti
Timeline
Posted
2 hours ago, erikavsw said:

Where can I see my approval estimate? Should it have appeared on my timeline? 

Visajourney sent us an email about the estimate. 

Update your timeline with your filing date , biometric date , ect if you haven't done it yet. I'm sure you will get the email too. 

That all I can think of cause I didn't sign up to get an estimate. 

 

 
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