How accurate is the estimated wait time?

[ApplyingforN400 126]

From users experience

 

is the interview usually scheduled before after or during the month the online case complition estimation says. 

 

Is the estimated compeletion time for the oath ceremony or for interview?

[CTgal18 157]

Estimated completion time is time until the very end of the process, so to oath ceremony. That being said, from what I’ve read on many posts from other people getting their interviews or being done with the process, the estimated completion time is wildly inaccurate. Mine says January 2019. My interview is next month. 

[ApplyingforN400 126]

3 minutes ago, CTgal18 said:

Estimated completion time is time until the very end of the process, so to oath ceremony. That being said, from what I’ve read on many posts from other people getting their interviews or being done with the process, the estimated completion time is wildly inaccurate. Mine says January 2019. My interview is next month. 

Thank you. Congrants and good luck

[payxibka 10,047]

55 minutes ago, ApplyingforN400 said:

From users experience

 

is the interview usually scheduled before after or during the month the online case complition estimation says. 

 

Is the estimated compeletion time for the oath ceremony or for interview?

Since local offices are involved the estimates are not reliable.  Each local office schedules the oath ceremonies at there discretion and based on need.  Sometimes the oath is taken immediately in the office while others wait until a formal oath ceremony with 5000 of your closest friends

[ApplyingforN400 126]

Just now, payxibka said:

Since local offices are involved the estimates are not reliable.  Each local office schedules the oath ceremonies at there discretion and based on need.  Sometimes the oath is taken immediately in the office while others wait until a formal oath ceremony with 5000 of your closest friends

Right but is the estimate on the website based on your local office or just at random. 

 

The gent above’s estimation is way off, by half a year. Has there been cases where its been accurate or close?

[payxibka 10,047]

Just now, ApplyingforN400 said:

Right but is the estimate on the website based on your local office or just at random. 

 

The gent above’s estimation is way off, by half a year. Has there been cases where its been accurate or close?

simply not enough data points for there to be any accuracy at the local office level

[Cincyman 127]

It's inaccurate. 

According lots of stories and experiences that I read, most of applicants get their interviews before their estimated times "about %50 less than their estimated times".

But first, it depends on the local offices.  

[Momknowsbest 13]

Mine projected 7 months from the beginning and it didn't change. It actually took exactly 3 mths to the day.

[Dashinka 24,717]

Ours took almost exactly 5 months beginning to end including the I751 work, and our office is showing 8 to 18.5 months for N400s.  I suppose there is some basis to the posted times and I suppose there are some that have more complicated cases that may require additional interviews/tests or longer background checks etc. that may drive the average time to the oath.