January 2018 Filers

[I.Kat 191]

On 4/22/2018 at 4:15 AM, Naes said:

Hello Everyone!

 

Finally finished with January to March! And cleaned it up and everything  

 

I will lastly try to wrap up April before I leave for Turkey in May!

 

So here goes recent numbers first :

 

 Please note that days with little to no approval update has Silent NOA2s. 

Lately most silent noa2s are updated ONLY on the new website.

Please check for personal status updates on both websites; new website usually has backdated updates to the previous day around 4am-6am PST the next day! 

Old website, same info as apps: https://egov.uscis.gov/casestatus/landing.do

New website need to log in: https://myaccount.uscis.dhs.gov

 

Weekly Overall - all movement

 

	June	July	Aug	Sept	Oct	Total
04/16/18	9	19	31	84	71	214
04/17/18	2	8	23	25	51	109
04/18/18	17	22	39	51	118	247
04/19/18	20	23	31	66	181	321
04/20/18	4	5	3	5	15	32
Total	52	77	127	231	436	923

 

 

Weekly Overall - Approvals Only

 

	June	July	Aug	Sept	Oct	Total
04/16/18	7	6	12	38	47	110
04/18/18	12	9	29	23	79	152
04/19/18	14	12	18	34	102	180
04/20/18	1					1
Total	34	27	59	95	228	443

 

 

Monthly Situation:

 

 For newcomers: 

   Excluded are the cases nobody needs to think about here. (Rejected at the beginning)

   Approvals on non-active months are 99% expedite cases (yes we do have a weird happening in November for only cases on November 16... don't know why, don't know how...unless you want to believe you'll be that 1 out of 4000 and get disappointed I would suggest going with the obvious logic)

   Touched means the case is no longer has the "case received" status..something updated like name or birthdate or address, or got an rfe.... 

   Virgin are cases that are "never been touched" (and yes it is all about Like a Virgin cause it still rings in my head) so simply "case received". But I got so tired of seeing case received on the website... I am not using that! 

   Cases that looks "Virgin" in previous months other than Active

    Not all cases get updated on the old site, this number (same as "Case tracker app" numbers) will only show those. June had plenty of cases that got Silent NOA2s and we are still having them highly. I suggest cutting at least 30-40% of Virgin cases to guess real numbers. However, this does not mean nobody is waiting from these months, Even just on VJ we have friends still waiting from June. 

  Every case is different and not all cases with the same date will be adjudicated at once.

 

  Monthly Numbers:

 

Active Month : October

Last date touched : October 26th (Received date)

Expected November start : April 26 - 27  

* December cases are not total due to validation errors. I would expect an extra 200-300 cases on the month. 

   This is also the reason why December cases are not up to date. If your case had validation error and it resolved please let me know.

 

	Approved	Virgin	Excluded	Touched	Total
June 17	1906	829	443	863	4041
July 17	1541	1055	427	773	3796
Aug 17	1538	1308	450	779	4075
Sep 17	1304	1212	326	756	3598
Oct 17	797	2544	281	520	4142
Nov 17	19	3235	227	96	3577
Dec 17		3297	184	28	3509
Jan 18	1	3314	176	81	3572
Feb 18	5	3527	184	92	3808
Mar 18	1	4015	293	63	4372
Total	7112	24336	2991	4051	38490

 

 

 

January Cases Per Dates :

 

Not that it matters as much right but where did our graph go? 

[calliope8 72]

55 minutes ago, I.Kat said:

Yeah, NO ONE is able to explain why they started May with mid November approvals. Maybe they just want to mess with our heads, like they're not messed up enough already  About the system how they divide the work, I don't think it is based of the country, it could be simply based of the order you application gets in. It is actually supposed to be in your WAC number, the last three digits show where you stand that day. So I would guess one person gets a box with WAC1890...001 (the first application opened that day) up until I don't know WAC1890...500 (there are some other petitions as well, not just 129f, so the number gets pretty high ). And then, it depends on the person, if they're slow or fast, if they go on a vacation...  And why they randomly decided to start working on o absolutely random box of Nov 17 files - not explainable 

Right. I was just wondering how they divide it up (aside from date.) I used to process pension applications & the team of us that did it went by date but which apps we received were divided up by local union numbers that were assigned to us.  But no theoretical division makes sense as to the mid-Nov ones getting approved first. It's almost like they hired a new set of ppl & started them there while the veteran workers finished up earlier apps...

 

 

The other odd thing is I realized that I sent my app on 1/13 - I remember as it was a Sat before a holiday weekend & I was struggling to get to the post office before noon due to difficulties of printing passport photos. Our friendly local post office promised it would be there by Wed. But my receipt date is 1/12 .... wonder if it got there Tues & someone forgot to turn the date stamp to the new date? Or maybe they just counted them as an earlier date b/c of the holdiay weekend? Odd tho.

[fern28 61]

Okay, so maybe I've missed some things but I have a couple questions that may seem obvious:

 

 

1. No one from January filers has received NOA2 yet, right? 

 

2. "Based on timeline data, your I129f may be adjudicated between August 9, 2018 and August 14, 2018*. " What does this mean? It's predicting that by that date what-- we will have NOA2? Visa issued? PoE? 

 

 

Thanks guys and wish everyone well. 

 

Waiting is getting harder but we had a visit about a month ago though so I should not be complaining, I know many of you have not had that opportunity. Praying for everyone. 

[GP1977 288]

5 minutes ago, fern28 said:

Okay, so maybe I've missed some things but I have a couple questions that may seem obvious:

 

 

1. No one from January filers has received NOA2 yet, right? 

 

2. "Based on timeline data, your I129f may be adjudicated between August 9, 2018 and August 14, 2018*. " What does this mean? It's predicting that by that date what-- we will have NOA2? Visa issued? PoE? 

 

 

Thanks guys and wish everyone well. 

 

Waiting is getting harder but we had a visit about a month ago though so I should not be complaining, I know many of you have not had that opportunity. Praying for everyone. 

1) I think there may have a few expedited cases, but otherwise no.

2) That is a visajourney best case guess as to how long USCIS will take to process NOA1 to NOA2 based on members entering in their data.  Some people will receive in 5.5 months and there are others that are still waiting from July, August and September.    Next step after NOA2 is NVC and that is taking about 2-3 weeks at the moment.  Then you have your interview and timing for that is embassy specific.  Most receive their visa within 2 weeks after interview unless you have an issue at the embassy level that needs to be resolved.

 

[Snuffles 394]

Happy Monday Janie’s! Here’s to a new week, another week closer to our NOA2’s and seeing our loved ones! 

[LuFlolady 881]

6 hours ago, Snuffles said:

Happy Monday Janie’s! Here’s to a new week, another week closer to our NOA2’s and seeing our loved ones! 

YES YES YES!!!!!   another day week hours and minutes closer!  I hope USCIS work really hard on lots of approvals for November today and this week. I hope they Start December next Friday!

[lilit829 368]

16 minutes ago, LuFlolady said:

YES YES YES!!!!!   another day week hours and minutes closer!  I hope USCIS work really hard on lots of approvals for November today and this week. I hope they Start December next Friday!

That would be an absolute dream and would totally make up for the f* up in November. Pls pls plssssss USCIS. 

[x_driven_x 1,778]

2 hours ago, LuFlolady said:

YES YES YES!!!!!   another day week hours and minutes closer!  I hope USCIS work really hard on lots of approvals for November today and this week. I hope they Start December next Friday!

November is unfortunately, not even 10% worked on yet, think it's going to be a few more weeks.  If they do 100 new cases a day, it will take 3 weeks just to hit 50%

[LuFlolady 881]

10 minutes ago, x_driven_x said:

November is unfortunately, not even 10% worked on yet, think it's going to be a few more weeks.  If they do 100 new cases a day, it will take 3 weeks just to hit 50%

Yea I understand all that but one can remain hopeful!

[LuFlolady 881]

2 hours ago, lilit829 said:

That would be an absolute dream and would totally make up for the f* up in November. Pls pls plssssss USCIS. 

agreed!

[Deehotstepper 230]

1 hour ago, x_driven_x said:

November is unfortunately, not even 10% worked on yet, think it's going to be a few more weeks.  If they do 100 new cases a day, it will take 3 weeks just to hit 50%

I understand what you are saying but you know they do not touch a certain percentage in a month before they start on the next month, see what happened in October, they didn't hit 50 percent there either before they started November.

[x_driven_x 1,778]

1 minute ago, Deehotstepper said:

I understand what you are saying but you know they do not touch a certain percentage in a month before they start on the next month, see what happened in October, they didn't hit 50 percent there either before they started November.

You're wrong about "they didn't hit 50% there before they started November".

 

They seemed to start on November on 5/8. Were a few cases done before then, yes but not enough to really say they started on the month. I've watch the data very closely, there was not any realistic traction until 5/8 and then nothing really on 5/9 before having 5/10 and 5/11 be great days.

 

October had over 4000 cases, and on 5/8 they only had 1780 still listed in Received Status, though some portion of those were 'silent NOA2s/RFEs' where the website never updated; given other past months they seem to be at past 50% of the way complete with the month before they start on the next month.

 

I know you're anxious, but I'm just trying to set realistic expectations here based on actual data and how much progress we see on a day to day basis. I literally run the scans for November so I'm watching the data very closely.

[Amiina and Kim 21]

Does it make a difference if a case has an attorney attached to it for processing?  Also what are alternatives for income sources on the affidavit of support?  How would I report them?  I do not have earned income and I am not self employed.  Most of my income is not reported on 1040.  So what should I do?

Edited May 14, 2018 by Amiina and Kim

[microcebus 40]

2 hours ago, Amiina and Kim said:

Does it make a difference if a case has an attorney attached to it for processing?  Also what are alternatives for income sources on the affidavit of support?  How would I report them?  I do not have earned income and I am not self employed.  Most of my income is not reported on 1040.  So what should I do?

I can answer for affidavit of support.  I've asked quite a few questions about it here since I am a self-employed business owner.  My income was barely over the minimum last year because I had spent most of 2017 working on two largely unpaid business development projects for my business.

 

For the K-1, USCIS is looking for a steady current income that meets 100% of federal poverty level for the I-134.  But for self-employed people like me, they want last year's tax return (or up to 3 past years' tax returns).  I also plan on sending other evidence related to my freelancing income.

 

If you don't have enough income, they're supposed to use your assets, like your bank accounts, your retirement accounts, extra houses and cars, and other expensive personal property - anything that you can convert to cash without it causing hardship to you.  (If you only have one house or one car and you lose it, that causes hardship to you.)

 

If you don't have enough income or assets, you can use one joint sponsor who does have enough income or assets.  That person can be any U.S. citizen.

 

There's a lot of inconsistency across different jurisdictions.  My answer is based on what I was told for my fiancee's consulate (Sydney).  Algeria might be different, but there are country/region-specific forums here.

[JGHH 76]

I had to renew my passport... Said it would take 4-6 weeks... I got it back with in 2 weeks...  Wish the other gov't offices would pick up speed like that... 😔