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Michael2017

K1 Visa approval rate from 99% to 80%

By Michael2017 in K-1 Fiance(e) Visa Case Filing and Progress Reports

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geowrian Grand Master

geowrian   22,337

Posted
Filed: Lift. Cond. (pnd) Country: Philippines
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Posted (edited)

This is incorrect. Past K-1 visa approval rates were never 99%.  They neglected to show the note next to asterisk for the K1 category:

 

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2016NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf

"*K-1 visas are more similar to an immigrant visa. As such, they are pre-processed in the immigrant operating system then moved to the nonimmigrant operating system once a case has been deemed eligible for visa issuance. The K-1 data previously published on this site reflected adjudications only taken after that transfer had been made – thus it provided data from only one operating system (the nonimmigrant visa system). This was consistent with the data for the other nonimmigrant visas, which are only processed in that system. The current K-1 data reflects processing actions which occurred in both operating systems"

 

Basically, previous versions of this report only represented K-1s that were approved by the IV unit but then refused by the NIV unit (which is exceedingly rare). This was changed and they now include refusals by either the IV or NIV units for any reason in the statistics.

 

The thing is, this changed several years ago. So not only are they wrong, but it seems like scare-mongering since this is a 2017 based report.

 

Edit: For reference, here are the other reports by year so others can see similar rates.

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2015NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2014NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2013NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2012NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf (this is the last year where they only counted NIV refusals)

Edited by geowrian

Timelines:

ROC:

Spoiler

7/27/20: Sent forms to Dallas lockbox, 7/30/20: Received by USCIS, 8/10 NOA1 electronic notification received, 8/1/ NOA1 hard copy received

AOS:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago, 9/27/17: received by USCIS, 10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received, 10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received, 10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update), 1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed, 1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received, 1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice, 10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice, 10/25/18: Formal approval, 10/31/18: Green card received

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent, 12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received, 3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification), 3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved! , 3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received, 4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy, 4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy, 4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

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Michael2017 Rising Star

Michael2017   368

Posted
Filed: F-2A Visa Country: Germany
 Timeline
  • Author
Posted
10 hours ago, geowrian said:

This is incorrect. Past K-1 visa approval rates were never 99%.  They neglected to show the note next to asterisk for the K1 category:

 

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2016NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf

"*K-1 visas are more similar to an immigrant visa. As such, they are pre-processed in the immigrant operating system then moved to the nonimmigrant operating system once a case has been deemed eligible for visa issuance. The K-1 data previously published on this site reflected adjudications only taken after that transfer had been made – thus it provided data from only one operating system (the nonimmigrant visa system). This was consistent with the data for the other nonimmigrant visas, which are only processed in that system. The current K-1 data reflects processing actions which occurred in both operating systems"

 

Basically, previous versions of this report only represented K-1s that were approved by the IV unit but then refused by the NIV unit (which is exceedingly rare). This was changed and they now include refusals by either the IV or NIV units for any reason in the statistics.

 

The thing is, this changed several years ago. So not only are they wrong, but it seems like scare-mongering since this is a 2017 based report.

 

Edit: For reference, here are the other reports by year so others can see similar rates.

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2015NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2014NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2013NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/Non-Immigrant-Statistics/NIVWorkload/FY2012NIVWorkloadbyVisaCategory.pdf (this is the last year where they only counted NIV refusals)

Great insight as always! Thanks for the clarification!

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