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Posted

If Donnie wants to own the gains, he also has to own the falls. He was strangely quiet about it today.

K1 Visa Timeline
15th Dec 08 - I129F posted to VSC
1st June 09 - Interview at 9am, Medical at 2:50pm
15th June 09 - K1 Visa approved and received
23rd June 09 - Point of Entry (Atlanta, Georgia)
17th July 09 - Married


AOS + EAD + AP Timeline
25th Aug 09 - AOS + EAD + AP posted to Chicago Lockbox
2nd Oct 09 - EAD + AP Approved
22nd Oct 09 - AOS Approved
30th Oct 09 - Green Card in hand!


Removing Conditions Timeline
29th Sept 11 - I-751 posted to VSC
26th Sept 12 - Approved

 

Citizenship Timeline

20th Feb 15 - N-400 posted to Lewisville Lockbox

15th June 15 - Interview

1st July 15 - Oath Ceremony

NOW A US CITIZEN!

Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Cyprus
Timeline
Posted
1 hour ago, bcking said:

http://money.cnn.com/2018/02/05/investing/stock-market-today-dow-jones/index.html

 

The worst single day drop in history (total points - almost 1,600 at one point)

 

In percentage it's the worst since 2011.

Well, since Trump always cites ......the _____in the history of the country (fill in the blanks) it fits perfectly that under his watch it was the worst single
day drop in history. 

All this winning....
ROTFLMBO

Spoiler

 

I-129F Sent : 3-31-2014, NOA2: 4-6-2014

NVC Received : some dinkelsberry yehoo in the house of clingons send our petition to the wrong consulate.

Consulate Received : July 30,2014 Transfer to right embassy complete.

Interview Date : Oct 22, 2014

Interview Result : AP , requesting another PC (not expired) and certified divorce decree (was submitted)Stokes interview via phone for petitioner 4 hrs after interview.

Oct 23 email notification visa approved.
Visa Received : Nov. 3 , 2014 VISA IN HAND.

US Entry : Nov. 21, 2014

Marriage : Dec 27, 2014

AOS send : May 12, 2015, received May 14, 2015 USPS priority

Email &text : May 18, 2015, check cashed May 19,2015, return receipt May 21, 2015 stamped USCIS Lockbox, NOA1 (3x) May 22,2015

Biometrics : June 1, 2015 letter received for appointment June 8, 2015, successful walk-in June 1, 2015

RFE : June 12, 2015 for income not meeting guideline. Income does ( ! ) exceed guideline.

RFE response : June 26, 2015 returned with a boat load full of financial evidence.

UPDATE: July 5, 2015 updated on all 3 cases, RFE received June 30, 2015.

Service request : Aug 12, 2015, letter received that it will be processed within 90 days from receipt of RFE.

UPDATE: Aug 24, 2015, EAD card being produced/ordered. ( 102 days from AOS receipt day and 55 days from RFE response received.) Thank you Jesus !

Emails : Aug 24, 2015, EAD approved, EAD card ordered.

I-797 EAD/AP approval notice received : Aug 27, 2015

EAD/AP combo card mailed : Aug 27, 2015, EAD/AP combo card received: Aug 31, 2015

Renewal application send for EAD/AP : May 31,2016 (AOS pending over 1 year). Received June 2, 2016,Notice date June7, 2016, emails,texts, NOA1 hard copy

Service request for pending AOS April 21, 2016, case not assigned yet.
Service request for pending AOS June 14, 2016, tier 2 said performing background checks.
Expedite request for EAD/AP Aug 3, 2016, Aug10 notification >request was received, assigned, completed. RFE letter requesting evidence for expedite, docs faxed Aug18

*Service request for I-485 Aug 3, 2016, Aug11 notification> request was assigned. Service request Dec 2, 2016.
AOS Interview letter received Aug 12, 2016

AOS Interview September 21, 2016.

Second Biometrics appointment letters received for EAD and AOS on Aug 15, 2016 for Aug 17 ( 2 day notice).

Second Biometrics completed Aug 17, 2016

Third Biometrics appointment letter received Aug 19, 2016 for Sept. 1, 2016. WTH ?!

EAD/AP (renewal) approval Aug 22, 2016, NOA2 received Aug 25, 2016

Renewal EAD in production notification text and online, expedite successful 4 days after RFE request response was faxed, Aug25mailed,Aug29received.

Sept. 21 Interview, 2 hour interview, we were separated and asked about 50 questions each for an hour each. IO was firm but professional, some smiles.
Several service requests made, contacted Senator and Ombudsman. Background checks still pending.
July 21, 2017 HOME VISIT.  Went well. Topic thread in AOS forum.
Waiting to skip ROC and get 10 yr GC due to over 2 year while pending AOS
AOS APPROVED Oct. 4, 2017 * Green card in hand Oct 13, 2017 !!!!!

First K1 denied after 16 month of AP. Refiled. We are a couple since 2009. Not a sprint but a matter of endurance.

 

Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Cyprus
Timeline
Posted
15 minutes ago, IDWAF said:

You have said multiple times it wasn’t Trump.  So why should he take the blame for the fall?  Hypocrite much?

Because she said he wants to own the gain. He brags on this all.the.time. In every speech you hear him proclaim that the Dow is up because of him.
 

Spoiler

 

I-129F Sent : 3-31-2014, NOA2: 4-6-2014

NVC Received : some dinkelsberry yehoo in the house of clingons send our petition to the wrong consulate.

Consulate Received : July 30,2014 Transfer to right embassy complete.

Interview Date : Oct 22, 2014

Interview Result : AP , requesting another PC (not expired) and certified divorce decree (was submitted)Stokes interview via phone for petitioner 4 hrs after interview.

Oct 23 email notification visa approved.
Visa Received : Nov. 3 , 2014 VISA IN HAND.

US Entry : Nov. 21, 2014

Marriage : Dec 27, 2014

AOS send : May 12, 2015, received May 14, 2015 USPS priority

Email &text : May 18, 2015, check cashed May 19,2015, return receipt May 21, 2015 stamped USCIS Lockbox, NOA1 (3x) May 22,2015

Biometrics : June 1, 2015 letter received for appointment June 8, 2015, successful walk-in June 1, 2015

RFE : June 12, 2015 for income not meeting guideline. Income does ( ! ) exceed guideline.

RFE response : June 26, 2015 returned with a boat load full of financial evidence.

UPDATE: July 5, 2015 updated on all 3 cases, RFE received June 30, 2015.

Service request : Aug 12, 2015, letter received that it will be processed within 90 days from receipt of RFE.

UPDATE: Aug 24, 2015, EAD card being produced/ordered. ( 102 days from AOS receipt day and 55 days from RFE response received.) Thank you Jesus !

Emails : Aug 24, 2015, EAD approved, EAD card ordered.

I-797 EAD/AP approval notice received : Aug 27, 2015

EAD/AP combo card mailed : Aug 27, 2015, EAD/AP combo card received: Aug 31, 2015

Renewal application send for EAD/AP : May 31,2016 (AOS pending over 1 year). Received June 2, 2016,Notice date June7, 2016, emails,texts, NOA1 hard copy

Service request for pending AOS April 21, 2016, case not assigned yet.
Service request for pending AOS June 14, 2016, tier 2 said performing background checks.
Expedite request for EAD/AP Aug 3, 2016, Aug10 notification >request was received, assigned, completed. RFE letter requesting evidence for expedite, docs faxed Aug18

*Service request for I-485 Aug 3, 2016, Aug11 notification> request was assigned. Service request Dec 2, 2016.
AOS Interview letter received Aug 12, 2016

AOS Interview September 21, 2016.

Second Biometrics appointment letters received for EAD and AOS on Aug 15, 2016 for Aug 17 ( 2 day notice).

Second Biometrics completed Aug 17, 2016

Third Biometrics appointment letter received Aug 19, 2016 for Sept. 1, 2016. WTH ?!

EAD/AP (renewal) approval Aug 22, 2016, NOA2 received Aug 25, 2016

Renewal EAD in production notification text and online, expedite successful 4 days after RFE request response was faxed, Aug25mailed,Aug29received.

Sept. 21 Interview, 2 hour interview, we were separated and asked about 50 questions each for an hour each. IO was firm but professional, some smiles.
Several service requests made, contacted Senator and Ombudsman. Background checks still pending.
July 21, 2017 HOME VISIT.  Went well. Topic thread in AOS forum.
Waiting to skip ROC and get 10 yr GC due to over 2 year while pending AOS
AOS APPROVED Oct. 4, 2017 * Green card in hand Oct 13, 2017 !!!!!

First K1 denied after 16 month of AP. Refiled. We are a couple since 2009. Not a sprint but a matter of endurance.

 

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted (edited)

My target for 1,300 on the S&P500 still stands. I have said it all along, I don't care if it happens from 2,200...2,500...2,800...it stands. It will get there. Not next month, could take another year or two, but the important thing is it will get there. In investing patience is key.

Edited by OriZ
09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Posted
15 hours ago, OriZ said:

My target for 1,300 on the S&P500 still stands. I have said it all along, I don't care if it happens from 2,200...2,500...2,800...it stands. It will get there. Not next month, could take another year or two, but the important thing is it will get there. In investing patience is key.

I predict that in some point in the future the market will literally explode and cease to exist.

 

I don't care if it happens in 2020, 2030, 2100, 2500, 3100. It will happen. 

 

One day. 

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, bcking said:

I predict that in some point in the future the market will literally explode and cease to exist.

 

I don't care if it happens in 2020, 2030, 2100, 2500, 3100. It will happen. 

 

One day. 

Kinda missing the mark here. Knowing targets is important, knowing exact timing much less so. Anyone enjoying their lovely paper gains in their 401k right now don't realize that 50-60% of that will one day be gone. The fact that it might be from a higher market is irrelevant as it's nothing but paper gains unless you sell. Think for example, someone in their 50's or 60's today, imo their retirement could get hit really hard and probably not recover by the time they retire. If people want to ignore those warnings, well, that's too bad, but there's nothing I can do about it. As I said in investing patience is key. Anyone buying now is making a terrible mistake(akin to buying bitcoin at 20,000), no matter how fabulous their paper gains might still be before they lose it all and then some. Again, unless they sell before that happens, but most don't do that. So yes, 1,300 on the S&P500 and I'm being extremely optimistic. I'll wait to buy there.

 

Here is a good commentary with some valuable information:

 

https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc180201/

Edited by OriZ
09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Posted (edited)
21 minutes ago, OriZ said:

Kinda missing the mark here. Knowing targets is important, knowing exact timing much less so. Anyone enjoying their lovely paper gains in their 401k right now don't realize that 50-60% of that will one day be gone. The fact that it might be from a higher market is irrelevant as it's nothing but paper gains unless you sell. Think for example, someone in their 50's or 60's today, imo their retirement could get hit really hard and probably not recover by the time they retire. If people want to ignore those warnings, well, that's too bad, but there's nothing I can do about it. As I said in investing patience is key. Anyone buying now is making a terrible mistake(akin to buying bitcoin at 20,000), no matter how fabulous their paper gains might still be before they lose it all and then some. Again, unless they sell before that happens, but most don't do that. So yes, 1,300 on the S&P500 and I'm being extremely optimistic. I'll wait to buy there.

 

Here is a good commentary with some valuable information:

 

https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc180201/

I was mostly just messing with you man.

 

Some amount of timing is important I'd think. I'm not retiring for 30 years. So really most of what is going on is likely moot for me. Same with anything that happens in the next decade (for my 401k specifically).

Edited by bcking
Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Ukraine
Timeline
Posted
34 minutes ago, OriZ said:

Kinda missing the mark here. Knowing targets is important, knowing exact timing much less so. Anyone enjoying their lovely paper gains in their 401k right now don't realize that 50-60% of that will one day be gone. The fact that it might be from a higher market is irrelevant as it's nothing but paper gains unless you sell. Think for example, someone in their 50's or 60's today, imo their retirement could get hit really hard and probably not recover by the time they retire. If people want to ignore those warnings, well, that's too bad, but there's nothing I can do about it. As I said in investing patience is key. Anyone buying now is making a terrible mistake(akin to buying bitcoin at 20,000), no matter how fabulous their paper gains might still be before they lose it all and then some. Again, unless they sell before that happens, but most don't do that. So yes, 1,300 on the S&P500 and I'm being extremely optimistic. I'll wait to buy there.

 

Here is a good commentary with some valuable information:

 

https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc180201/

To be fair you have been predicting an imminent stock market crash for 4 years.  If someone got in, against your advice, in 2014 when the stock market was at 15,000 or something and it tanks now….they really haven't lost that much. If they sell now they made a killing. If the stock market doesn't crash…they could even make more.  You know the stock market better than anyone on here….yet your prediction was wrong….so it is just as likely to be wrong for the next four years. But…I do agree..the longer it stays high the closer it is to crashing. Time will tell.

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted
22 minutes ago, bcking said:

I was mostly just messing with you man.

 

Some amount of timing is important I'd think. I'm not retiring for 30 years. So really most of what is going on is likely moot for me. Same with anything that happens in the next decade (for my 401k specifically).

Yeah I'd agree if you're not retiring for 30 years and have no interest in trying to get more out of the market(buy selling high and buying back lower) you're all set. While I figured that you personally might be just messing around, this seems to be a really perplexing issue for some, so I figured I would use that opportunity to explain it again lol. See the post below yours it tells you all you need to know about the lack of comprehension around these markets lol

09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, eieio said:

To be fair you have been predicting an imminent stock market crash for 4 years.  If someone got in, against your advice, in 2014 when the stock market was at 15,000 or something and it tanks now….they really haven't lost that much. If they sell now they made a killing. If the stock market doesn't crash…they could even make more.  You know the stock market better than anyone on here….yet your prediction was wrong….so it is just as likely to be wrong for the next four years. But…I do agree..the longer it stays high the closer it is to crashing. Time will tell.

eh...have I used the word imminent? again a case of someone understanding only what they want to understand from what I have written....I have posts upon posts already explaining that situation so really feel no need to get into it again. But I have them all bookmarked so don't worry when the time is right I will.If only people would actually do some research...like my post in my thread right around the bottom in 2015 saying that was support and as long as the market is above it it's good to go, or my post a year ago saying I think it will go to at least 2600 before anything happens, or my post a few months ago saying I actually hope this will wait for me till I'm back from my vacation in july since I won't have much internet access and don't want to miss out on all the fun, and literally dozens of other posts.

 

You guys only see in them what you want to see in them even though I was completely transparent and clarified more than once that as long as the index is above support, as bad as I think it is for the long term, it can keep going. And it hasn't been 4 years, in fact in the spring it will be about 3 years, I started saying it right before the drop of summer 2015(the one I just mentioned I identified the exact bottom of). So people can keep understanding only what they want to understand and I'll keep telling them that if they think their current paper gains are going to stick they're simply delusional. And by the time it's all said and done the market will be down 40% at the very least from that point in 2015(50-60% from current price)...no matter how high it goes first. That's really all there is to it and I have full confidence in that outcome.

Edited by OriZ
09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Ukraine
Timeline
Posted
4 minutes ago, OriZ said:

eh...have I used the word imminent? again a case of someone understanding only what they want to understand from what I have written....I have posts upon posts already explaining that situation so really feel no need to get into it again. But I have them all bookmarked so don't worry when the time is right I will.If only people would actually do some research...like my post in my thread right around the bottom in 2015 saying that was support and as long as the market is above it it's good to go, or my post a year ago saying I think it will go to at least 2600 before anything happens, or my post a few months ago saying I actually hope this will wait for me till I'm back from my vacation in july since I won't have much internet access and don't want to miss out on all the fun, and literally dozens of other posts.

 

You guys only see in them what you want to see in them even though I was completely transparent and clarified more than once that as long as the index is above support, as bad as I think it is for the long term, it can keep going. And it hasn't been 4 years, in fact in the spring it will be about 3 years, I started saying it right before the drop of summer 2015(the one I just mentioned I identified the exact bottom of). So people can keep understanding only what they want to understand and I'll keep telling them that if they think their current paper gains are going to stick they're simply delusional. And by the time it's all said and done the market will be down 40% at the very least from that point in 2015(50-60% from current price)...no matter how high it goes first. That's really all there is to it and I have full confidence in that outcome.

Yes…you did say imminent.  You also predicted a housing crash by the end of 2016.   I can try to find your posts if you like?

 

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