November 2017 Filers K1 VISA I-129F (merged)

[conarroest 96]

23 minutes ago, Jeffreyyu said:

Seem the government about to shut down! Wonder how badly will it affect USCIS 

I'm from Jamaica

Government shutdown should have minimal effect on USCIS. They are a fee based part of the government. Historically the shutdowns had little to no effect on USCIS and they usually end pretty fast. 

[nykolos 711]

8 hours ago, conarroest said:

Government shutdown should have minimal effect on USCIS. They are a fee based part of the government. Historically the shutdowns had little to no effect on USCIS and they usually end pretty fast. 

From what I gather from past shut downs,  it will have some effect on NVC. 

It's ironic really,  if Government does shut down it will be because Democratic politicians want to protect those who are here illegally, and the ones who will suffer are people like all of us who are doing it legally. 

[conarroest 96]

1 hour ago, nykolos said:

From what I gather from past shut downs,  it will have some effect on NVC. 

It's ironic really,  if Government does shut down it will be because Democratic politicians want to protect those who are here illegally, and the ones who will suffer are people like all of us who are doing it legally. 

Yeah i think it only affects NVC if the shutdown goes on for an extended period of time, which it usually doesnt. 

[Saiali 13]

Hi everyone. We are November filers. Received app Nov15 and NOA1 Nov20. So outside of regular daily life what does everyone do to forget about the wait until we all reach the next step??. I started working extra and going to gym to try to pass more of my free time. 

 

Edited January 20, 2018 by Saiali
Incorrect dates

[Naes 12,205]

Hellloooooooo Everyone  

 

June and July had a big update of case statuses yesterday.

They updated backdated approvals too. 

 

This is the details of work done in January (only updated cases)

 

 

	June	July	Total
Jan W1	231	4	235
Jan W2	311	22	333
Jan W3	551	323	874
Total	1093	349	1442

 

I'm sure you can see how different it looks when they actually update things online!

We still have lots of cases (dates) that are not updated in the first part of June. 

But here are the latest view into every month!

 

	June	July	Aug	Sept	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
Approved	1317	263	13	6		1		1600
Received	1358	2941	3519	3176	3770	3304	3297	21365
Touched	996	206	139	129	128	67	27	1692
Excluded	370	386	404	287	244	205	185	2081
Total	4041	3796	4075	3598	4142	3577	3509	26738

 

 

The latest date they touched at the moment is July 14.

 

DISCLAIMER: Here on are my personal educated opinion.

 

Now my thoughts on this from watching how it flowed in the past is that hopefully they are going to change processing times to July 1 as of November 31. in order to let the June filers be able to officially start inquiries (I am really hoping of this even though I know it is not correct)

 

July is definitely going stronger than how April, May and June did. by having this much ahead with this many approvals in only 1 week didn't happen for a long time.

Please continue watching around carefully. For those in the September, please still do not put money on anything and watch for when and how August will start.

For everyone else, If I were you, before making firm plans I would watch for how things are going on 3 months ahead of you.

 

Even though there is improvement (looks like it) the improvement is not from a perfect place, this improvement still makes lots of July filers get to 200 days. And June filers are already 200+ days. NVC right now is taking about 40 days (although not for everyone). So when you are planning ahead keep all these in mind and calculate as if K1 will finish in 10-12 months.

 

Basically calculate the worst but hope for the best!! Because your positivity will keep you and your relationship healthy and happy!! But being realistic will save your sanity!

 

I'll be here with any other update if I get anything else during the weekends!

 

Good luck to all of us!

[conarroest 96]

2 hours ago, Saiali said:

Hi everyone. We are November filers. Received app Nov15 and NOA1 Nov20. So outside of regular daily life what does everyone do to forget about the wait until we all reach the next step??. I started working extra and going to gym to try to pass more of my free time. 

 

Work and stay busy. Time seems to go by faster when we are busy. USCIS and NVC seem to be picking up the pace this week so let's hope this trend continues. Good luck everyone. 

[CCCCCF 174]

5 hours ago, Naes said:

Hellloooooooo Everyone  

 

June and July had a big update of case statuses yesterday.

They updated backdated approvals too. 

 

This is the details of work done in January (only updated cases)

 

 

	June	July	Total
Jan W1	231	4	235
Jan W2	311	22	333
Jan W3	551	323	874
Total	1093	349	1442

 

I'm sure you can see how different it looks when they actually update things online!

We still have lots of cases (dates) that are not updated in the first part of June. 

But here are the latest view into every month!

 

	June	July	Aug	Sept	Oct	Nov	Dec	Total
Approved	1317	263	13	6		1		1600
Received	1358	2941	3519	3176	3770	3304	3297	21365
Touched	996	206	139	129	128	67	27	1692
Excluded	370	386	404	287	244	205	185	2081
Total	4041	3796	4075	3598	4142	3577	3509	26738

 

 

The latest date they touched at the moment is July 14.

 

DISCLAIMER: Here on are my personal educated opinion.

 

Now my thoughts on this from watching how it flowed in the past is that hopefully they are going to change processing times to July 1 as of November 31. in order to let the June filers be able to officially start inquiries (I am really hoping of this even though I know it is not correct)

 

July is definitely going stronger than how April, May and June did. by having this much ahead with this many approvals in only 1 week didn't happen for a long time.

Please continue watching around carefully. For those in the September, please still do not put money on anything and watch for when and how August will start.

For everyone else, If I were you, before making firm plans I would watch for how things are going on 3 months ahead of you.

 

Even though there is improvement (looks like it) the improvement is not from a perfect place, this improvement still makes lots of July filers get to 200 days. And June filers are already 200+ days. NVC right now is taking about 40 days (although not for everyone). So when you are planning ahead keep all these in mind and calculate as if K1 will finish in 10-12 months.

 

Basically calculate the worst but hope for the best!! Because your positivity will keep you and your relationship healthy and happy!! But being realistic will save your sanity!

 

I'll be here with any other update if I get anything else during the weekends!

 

Good luck to all of us!

Is the government really shutting down?! Will us all be impacted?

[Little_Vixen 1,869]

None of us will be impacted yet. The USCIS will continue to work cause they are fee funded and not government funded. The NVC might have some delay though, but that only affects people who already received their NOA-2.

Look around on the forum. There's many threads about the shutdown.

Edited January 20, 2018 by Little_Vixen

[UKUSABoston 56]

My fiance (from UK) and I are hoping for the Noa 2 by the end of May(NOA1 Nov 22nd), I feel like it might be later lol. I and I am sure eveyone

[UKUSABoston 56]

Sorry never got to finish that last message, I know we are all antsy to know an exact date! Crossing fingers and toes for everyone here  as well as myself! That we get the Noa 2 by June! 

[Jeffreyyu 303]

11 hours ago, UKUSABoston said:

My fiance (from UK) and I are hoping for the Noa 2 by the end of May(NOA1 Nov 22nd), I feel like it might be later lol. I and I am sure eveyone

Stay positive!!!! May it is lol

[Daniel P 2,022]

Update of the graphs comparing May and June regarding the length of time from Received to Approved one month later (as to 01/20/2018), this time including July under the same conditions.

 

As a reminder, in the graphs below I try to compare what happened within the next 190 days after that last day of May, June and July 14th (last day with approvals) received cases. In order to see them clearer I put them together in pairs.

 

In that time, with a total of 1877, 818 and 243 approved cases (after removing some outliers) respectively:

 

• May had a global mean of 175.25 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 14.06 days.
• June had a global mean of 186.05 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 9.16 days.
• July had a global mean of 193.91 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 3.28 days.

 

Even if it doesn't look very good (way less approvals in the same period of time for July and also starting from 185+ days) just remember that, because of the holidays, they haven't worked the same number of days, and more importantly, haven't been very consistent updating approvals, which is why these results only apply to the information it comes from, the unreliable information updated by USCIS.

 

If they keep the rate of approvals seen in the last days, I believe we'll start seeing a clear improvement in the next one or two months. Let's hope!

 

 

[Daniel P 2,022]

Lastly, the trend line for the average processing time of all cases received every considered day and approved within the next 204 days, as to 01/20/2018.

 

This time I have added some extra data in case you're interested (number of approved cases, number of received cases and percentage of approved cases (out of received)). As before, note that only updated cases could be considered.

 

As expected it's still too soon for a downward trend, but hopefully we'll start seeing some change by next month!

 

 

 

 

[conarroest 96]

On 1/20/2018 at 10:50 AM, allisonf said:

Is the government really shutting down?! Will us all be impacted?

Looks like the government shutdown is already coming to an end....

[pinkkk 76]

i hope november filers will be approved in just 150 days hehe