October 2017 I-129 K-1 filers

[Daniel P 2,022]

Hi guys. After my last post, I started to think about a way to compare different months when it comes to length of time from Received to Approved, to try to identify a possible tendency over the months.

 

The first problem was to actually get the data from April, that had to be old enough so that the cases in it hadn't been touched yet. Unfortunately the oldest raw data @Naes had wasn't as old, but she did a wonderful job modifying it so that it showed the most probable received dates for all already touched cases. Believe me when I say that wasn't a job of a few minutes, so I can't thank her enough!

 

After that, the next problem was to find a way to compare April and May, something that initially wasn't possible since the "conditions" for both months weren't the same. Why? Simply because April had had "more time" to accumulate cases with longer approval times (long cases that May will also eventually have, but it's just to soon for them to show up).

 

So I thought, ok, in order to be able to compare them let's give them the same amount of time. From the last day that May received cases (05/31/17) up to the day of the last scan (11/20/17), a number of 173 days passed. Since the last day of April to receive cases was 04/28/17, for this month I only considered cases approved within the next 173 days (up to 10/18/17), just like May.

 

In other words, what I'm trying to do here is to compare what happened within the next 173 days after that last day of both, April and May, received cases.

 

And the graph below is what I came up with.

 

In that time, with a total of 1412 and 1522 approved cases respectively:

 

• April had a global mean of 153.12 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 15.08 days.
• May had a global mean of 169.95 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 9.46 days.

 

As you guys can see, the tendency clearly worsened from April to May, with less disperse lengths of time for the latter, which is good because that means more people get their cases approved in "around" the same time, but with higher lenghts of time for those cases to actually get approved.

 

I'm hoping to see how that tendency improves from June on, we'll just have to wait a little for the next report 

 

 

[Christy&J 837]

I so appreciate people like Daniel and Naes and other that put some effort to help us to have better overview with what's going us here.

 

Thank you guys...you are awesome! 

[Daniel P 2,022]

3 minutes ago, Christy&J said:

I so appreciate people like Daniel and Naes and other that put some effort to help us to have better overview with what's going us here.

 

Thank you guys...you are awesome! 

I appreciate your appreciation 

[Christy&J 837]

Guys ! currently I feel like it's been forever ! Though I am only on 57 days, but after reading July and August filers...made me feel more meh than I was...

 

they are still waiting  

 

USCIS why won't you hurry and work on our petition harder !!! we paid you !!!

[Naes 12,205]

2 minutes ago, Christy&J said:

Guys ! currently I feel like it's been forever ! Though I am only on 57 days, but after reading July and August filers...made me feel more meh than I was...

 

they are still waiting  

 

USCIS why won't you hurry and work on our petition harder !!! we paid you !!!

Please only read the one with approvals for your sanity... 

 

sad faces scares away noa2s.... 

 

sad face=sad you=sadder fiancé/fiancée

 

we'll get through it! We will all get through it!!

[Christy&J 837]

6 minutes ago, Naes said:

Please only read the one with approvals for your sanity... 

 

sad faces scares away noa2s.... 

 

sad face=sad you=sadder fiancé/fiancée

 

we'll get through it! We will all get through it!!

hahaha thank you for your positive thought... lol yes I've been through the forum to make me feel better but then I read people that even june filers are still waiting...  xD

 

so yep ! hopefully this torture is over soon.

[Meisha&Jake 869]

Im not posting/reading as much as im keeping myself busy with work/plans but it looks like USCIS are getting the ball rolling for rest of May & June! Im still hoping for ah April approval but we”ll see..

[EllyNelly 385]

2 hours ago, Meisha&Jake said:

Im not posting/reading as much as im keeping myself busy with work/plans but it looks like USCIS are getting the ball rolling for rest of May & June! Im still hoping for ah April approval but we”ll see..

same here!

 

[EllyNelly 385]

I know K1 and K3 are different, but a relative of mine did their paperwork sometime in August and they just got their interview date. Can numbers be ran for k3 too? Can we compare those as well? 

[Daniel P 2,022]

Hi guys one again.

 

After uncountable hours trying to figure out how to do this, and some more actually doing it, I think I finally found a way to see, day by day, how the processing time from Received to Approved evolves over the time. It's been 3 long days, but I'm on vacation this week and finally got the time to finish it.

 

Below is a graph with the average processing time of all cases received every considered day and approved within the next 173 days from each of those days.

 

Example: For all cases received the 3rd of April I calculated the average processing time of all of those cases approved within the next 173 days from that day; from 04/03/17 to 09/23/17. The same goes for all cases received the 4th of April, but only considering approvals up to 09/24/17, and so on.

 

The explanation for it being 173 days is that that is the amount of days from the last day considered 05/31/17 up to the last scan available 11/20/17.

 

It was important to do it this way because this time I'm comparing all days individually, hence they had to be considered under the same circumstances. As in my previous graphs, only updated cases could be used for these results.

 

The interpretation is pretty easy and I think it gives a very good idea of (at last!) what the tendency is being (which was the whole purpose of going into so much trouble ). I will only say that April has some pretty inconsistent days for which I don't have a clear answer (maybe they assigned each of those days' cases to faster or slower adjudicators?? I simply don't know). Also the original April file had to be manually modified (thanks again to Naes!), although I'm not sure that had anything to do with it.

 

As for May, it is much consistent and appears to show some stabilization after that nightmarish growth, which hopefully means what we all want to see, the first beams of light at the end of the tunnel.

 

 

[Meisha&Jake 869]

1 hour ago, Daniel P said:

Hi guys one again.

 

After uncountable hours trying to figure out how to do this, and some more actually doing it, I think I finally found a way to see, day by day, how the processing time from Received to Approved evolves over the time. It's been 3 long days, but I'm on vacation this week and finally got the time to finish it.

 

Below is a graph with the average processing time of all cases received every considered day and approved within the next 173 days from each of those days.

 

Example: For all cases received the 3rd of April I calculated the average processing time of all of those cases approved within the next 173 days from that day; from 04/03/17 to 09/23/17. The same goes for all cases received the 4th of April, but only considering approvals up to 09/24/17, and so on.

 

The explanation for it being 173 days is that that is the amount of days from the last day considered 05/31/17 up to the last scan available 11/20/17.

 

It was important to do it this way because this time I'm comparing all days individually, hence they had to be considered under the same circumstances. As in my previous graphs, only updated cases could be used for these results.

 

The interpretation is pretty easy and I think it gives a very good idea of (at last!) what the tendency is being (which was the whole purpose of going into so much trouble ). I will only say that April has some pretty inconsistent days for which I don't have a clear answer (maybe they assigned each of those days' cases to faster or slower adjudicators?? I simply don't know). Also the original April file had to be manually modified (thanks again to Naes!), although I'm not sure that had anything to do with it.

 

As for May, it is much consistent and appears to show some stabilization after that nightmarish growth, which hopefully means what we all want to see, the first beams of light at the end of the tunnel.

 

 

Thankyou for researching all this information! Im just still hoping us October filers get March/April approvals (fingers crossed emoji)

[Naes 12,205]

On 11/29/2017 at 12:00 AM, EllyNelly said:

I know K1 and K3 are different, but a relative of mine did their paperwork sometime in August and they just got their interview date. Can numbers be ran for k3 too? Can we compare those as well? 

K3 doesn't even really exist anymore? It is extremely rare.

 

maybe you meant cr1 I130 forms?

but comparing them doesn't really give us much, as they will in the and have different processing times and dates.

 

also too big of a data to go to trouble with.

[ChuAni 1,191]

On 11/28/2017 at 4:00 PM, EllyNelly said:

I know K1 and K3 are different, but a relative of mine did their paperwork sometime in August and they just got their interview date. Can numbers be ran for k3 too? Can we compare those as well? 

I think K3 is based on 'married couple'. They get married, file the petition, come over to US to process their papers.

[Sarac9 1,122]

I am just living life. Trust me I've had my breakdowns when I feel like this is a never ending process. However, I remind myself that when our fiance and future spouses are here and permanently living with us together.. we will remember this time too. Pros and cons to both situation. Hahahaha trying to put a lighter spin on things. My fiance returned to his birth country after more than 10 years. He is enjoying himself. It's his vacation lol. It doesn't mean we don't miss each other.  As long as we have our health, we are happy, and talk to each other then this temporary separation is nothing. 

Hope you all have a great Friday and weekend!

 

 

[Yasemin & Rıdvan 46]

Hi everyone,

My fiance(beneficiary) has changes his address. I have been trying to find how I need to update the address but could not figure it out. Any idea how?

Thanks for your responses.