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Filed: Lift. Cond. (pnd) Country: Japan
Timeline
Posted
18 minutes ago, BK&MC said:

Hi Naes, first off, I hope all is alright with your fiance and family in Cali. I can't imagine the worry, the stress and the anxiety it must be putting you through.

 

Second, thank you for all the numbers and analysis!

 

They look like they are picking up speed for June so that's a good sign.

You mentioned they'll be really slow again for July, but do you mean when they first start on July, or July in general?

By when do you suppose they'll start on July?

 

I was hopeful to get my NOA2 in February but my timeline on VJ got pushed back day by day :wacko:

Was from Feb 23, and now it's March 2. SO everyday, my hope for Feb NOA2 get squashed a little lol.

Hi,

 

thank you he is ok right now, I'm so glad nobody is injured badly so far. And sad that many people lost their home.

 

about july yes I meant the start, cause I don't want anyone to expect huge numbers and get disappointed.

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Hungary
Timeline
Posted
On 12/7/2017 at 9:00 AM, Naes said:

Hi everyone,

 

By now, you know I am crazy right?

Ok so that's established... I checked March hehe....hehe... distraction from the most needed fire....

It is getting extremely close to my wedding venue... (I feel so bad for even thinking like this :cry:)

 

These are the concluded cases - only concluded cases- that will appear as either denial or approval on USCIS reports for this quarter.

This data has March to November mostly up to date.

 

   March      April      May     June     July       Aug       Sept         Oct      Nov      Total
Oct W1 74 163 111 7 8 7 16 31   417
Oct W2 58 109 191 4 2 2   62   428
Oct W3 70 95 161 1 1     42   370
Oct W4 60 84 239 2   1   47   433
Nov W1 63 105 345 12 9 11 3 56 8 612
Nov W2 23 59 223 8 3   3 1 41 361
Nov W3 29 83 278 20 2 4 1   26 443
Nov W4 17 74 172 69 1         333
Nov W5 31 63 187 115 2         398
Dec W1 4 35 93 105           237
Total 429 870 2000 343 28 25 23 239 75 4032

 

As it shows around 4000. I want to add something to that number.

I've checked all of March and April.

 

And this is how it looks (I have also checked February but not relevant to our numbers at the moment.)

 

               March      April     Total
Received 2105 830 2935
Pending 859 593 1452
Approved 1019 1898 2917
Excluded 679 636 1315
Total 4662 3957 8619

 

Apparently, especially in March the tracker wasn't working properly,  and I believe we can easily say the same for April & a 20% of May. 

However, as most of March was done by October, I'll only give a 500 cases concluded in this Q for them, and about a 1000 for April.

I believe we can also easily say a 500 cases in May goes into the same category.

 

So I'll be generous about denials and Make this a total of 3000 cases not updated on the tracker.

which makes a 4000(from above)+3000=7000

 

As a low expected number per quarter would be around 10000 cases. we have 3000 to go.

 

This is a close touch to the end of June to July.

I hope they won't suddenly slow down again, 

however at this point I am expecting for June to be touched every where by Christmas (just like May a few weeks ago, touched everywhere but a few Juners waiting around)

 

And for July to start slowly please understand this really means slowly.

Just like May and June it will start with small amount of 30-40s would be my estimation.

 

I really hope things can pick up further, because at this moment I believe VJ timelines are +-a week correct.

 

But hey I am still hoping for a Valentine day approval----romantic in me never dies and I like to live dangerously

 

*Notice for new comers:

(I'm sorry if anyone is new and never heard or read about the past calculations and discussions has been made here.)

 However, 2 important things to know would be

  1) They don't update every status correctly, we have seen many approvals without an update on the USCIS case tracker

  2) The new month tends to start when "case received" status is around 1000s 

I have absolutely no idea how to read any of this information. Can someone give me the short and simple version? 

Filed: Lift. Cond. (pnd) Country: Japan
Timeline
Posted
3 hours ago, zamardii12 said:

I have absolutely no idea how to read any of this information. Can someone give me the short and simple version? 

 

1 hour ago, needlesss said:

Same here haha. Help please anyone? 

Short and simple would be "wait" continues.

 

these info is meant for June, and close to July. I put it in other months cause some people are interested, but for someone who's not following the cases at the moment it can be overwhelming, in that case all there is "wait"

 

none of the info is really important without the rest of it. If there's anything specific, I'm always here to answer. 

 

So as it's not a graph for anyone to "read", but a text to read I'll just repeat it:

 

•may and June is being processed

•july may start after Christmas but they're slow so it is bad than expected

•there are still aproximately 3000 cases for them to approve in this quarter

 

Posted

Another week gone by, and another 4 days added to my timeline. :(

 

I'm mostly going to be venting with this post, because I'm just getting frustrated.

Work has been keeping me busy, which is a wonderful distraction, but watching the processing times approach our set wedding date is making me nauseated. I'm going to lose so much money if I can't manage to get my fiancé here before our planned celebration. We started this process thinking we allowed enough time. My original processing date was mid-January, then mid-February, and now mid-March. With the way Pennsylvania marriage laws are, if he's not here by the end of April, we won't have enough time to apply for/receive our marriage license. Working with the government is awful.  

 

At the end of the day, I wouldn't change my situation for the world. I love my fiancé to death. He is absolutely my rock. If I had to do all of this over again, I would. But man, I'm so edgy right now.

K-1

Spoiler

 

Mailed I-129F:   5 September, 2017

Received:  8 September, 2017
I-129F NOA1:    11 September, 2017

I-129F NOA2:     8 March, 2018

NVC Received:  20 March, 2018

NVC # Assigned: 22 March, 2018

Consulate Rec'd:  28 March, 2018

Medical:   24 April, 2018

Interview:   8 May, 2018

Visa on Hand:   21 May, 2018

POE:   8 June, 2018 (Manchester > Boston > Pittsburgh)

Legal Marriage:    27 June, 2018

Traditional Wedding: 7 October, 2018

 

AOS/EAD

Mailed Packet:   8 September, 2018

NOA1:  13 September, 2018

Biometrics: 19 October, 2018

EAD Approval:   5 February, 2019

Interview: 4 March, 2019

Approval Notice: 4 March, 2019

 

RoC

Mailed Packet:   8 February, 2021

Packet Received: 12 February, 2021

NOA1:  20 March, 2021

Biometrics: September 2021

RFE: 13 July, 2022

RFE Submitted: Soon

Interview: Waiting

Approval: Waiting

 

Posted

You know, just out of curiosity, I was peeking at the I-130 forum.

 

Seems like I-130 June 2017 filers are being approved over there. That means that the processing time for the K-1 and CR-1 are now about the same.

Which sucks. The reason we're doing the K1 is cos it's supposed to be the faster route.

 

Couldn't help but wonder if we should have went with the CR-1 instead.

 

 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: India
Timeline
Posted
6 hours ago, madelineshea said:

Another week gone by, and another 4 days added to my timeline. :(

 

I'm mostly going to be venting with this post, because I'm just getting frustrated.

Work has been keeping me busy, which is a wonderful distraction, but watching the processing times approach our set wedding date is making me nauseated. I'm going to lose so much money if I can't manage to get my fiancé here before our planned celebration. We started this process thinking we allowed enough time. My original processing date was mid-January, then mid-February, and now mid-March. With the way Pennsylvania marriage laws are, if he's not here by the end of April, we won't have enough time to apply for/receive our marriage license. Working with the government is awful.  

 

At the end of the day, I wouldn't change my situation for the world. I love my fiancé to death. He is absolutely my rock. If I had to do all of this over again, I would. But man, I'm so edgy right now.

 I am on the same boat😟 waiting here with my wedding date fixed and paid for church and reception because I trusted my lawyer without doing my homework in the beginning. Now i am waiting for a miracle to happen. Hopefully we will not have to make a trip to Vegas for a fast marriage certificate until we will have another day fixed for church marriage, reception  etc. 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: India
Timeline
Posted
1 hour ago, BK&MC said:

You know, just out of curiosity, I was peeking at the I-130 forum.

 

Seems like I-130 June 2017 filers are being approved over there. That means that the processing time for the K-1 and CR-1 are now about the same.

Which sucks. The reason we're doing the K1 is cos it's supposed to be the faster route.

 

Couldn't help but wonder if we should have went with the CR-1 instead.

 

 

You serious😮.. i had everything done even the court marriage scheduled in India but we canceled when my lawyer told me and USCIS that will be shorter time for waiting if we choose K1 visa. Now I feel disappointed if that is the case. 

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Gambia
Timeline
Posted
16 hours ago, madelineshea said:

Another week gone by, and another 4 days added to my timeline. :(

 

I'm mostly going to be venting with this post, because I'm just getting frustrated.

Work has been keeping me busy, which is a wonderful distraction, but watching the processing times approach our set wedding date is making me nauseated. I'm going to lose so much money if I can't manage to get my fiancé here before our planned celebration. We started this process thinking we allowed enough time. My original processing date was mid-January, then mid-February, and now mid-March. With the way Pennsylvania marriage laws are, if he's not here by the end of April, we won't have enough time to apply for/receive our marriage license. Working with the government is awful.  

 

At the end of the day, I wouldn't change my situation for the world. I love my fiancé to death. He is absolutely my rock. If I had to do all of this over again, I would. But man, I'm so edgy right now.

I understand your frustration, every week or so I look on my timeline to check my date .It started mid February now it's at the end of March. I'm planning my wedding for September 30, because I'm hoping he'll be here this summer or sooner. My patience is growing short with this process :angry: 

Love knows no reason,no boundaries,no distance .It has a sole intention of bringing people together to a time called FOREVER!!!!!!!!:wub:

 

 

 

 

Posted
7 hours ago, LizM said:

Just out of curiosity, how long does it take to receive your marriage license in Pennsylvania? I know in New York it takes about 24 hours (given that there are vacant appointment time slots, but you can book that in advance I believe). So that could be an alternative maybe - or is there a requirement that you need the license to be issued in Pennsylvania in order to get married there?

Both parties have to apply in person at the courthouse at least 2-3 weeks before the scheduled wedding date. Once your application is approved, there is a 3 business day waiting period. So in some cases, 24 business days. Potentially more or less, depending on the clerk/court. To be married in Pennsylvania, you must obtain your marriage license in Pennsylvania.

The good thing for me is I live about a two hours' drive from Ohio, where there is no waiting period. We could always marry in Ohio, easily. That is actually the plan if things keep going awry. But we'd still have to get married before our planned events, because I've already paid my officiant, and I'd be out all that money ($600, because holy heck, everything surrounding weddings in PA is expensive). :/

K-1

Spoiler

 

Mailed I-129F:   5 September, 2017

Received:  8 September, 2017
I-129F NOA1:    11 September, 2017

I-129F NOA2:     8 March, 2018

NVC Received:  20 March, 2018

NVC # Assigned: 22 March, 2018

Consulate Rec'd:  28 March, 2018

Medical:   24 April, 2018

Interview:   8 May, 2018

Visa on Hand:   21 May, 2018

POE:   8 June, 2018 (Manchester > Boston > Pittsburgh)

Legal Marriage:    27 June, 2018

Traditional Wedding: 7 October, 2018

 

AOS/EAD

Mailed Packet:   8 September, 2018

NOA1:  13 September, 2018

Biometrics: 19 October, 2018

EAD Approval:   5 February, 2019

Interview: 4 March, 2019

Approval Notice: 4 March, 2019

 

RoC

Mailed Packet:   8 February, 2021

Packet Received: 12 February, 2021

NOA1:  20 March, 2021

Biometrics: September 2021

RFE: 13 July, 2022

RFE Submitted: Soon

Interview: Waiting

Approval: Waiting

 

Posted
11 hours ago, Damaris Martis said:

 I am on the same boat😟 waiting here with my wedding date fixed and paid for church and reception because I trusted my lawyer without doing my homework in the beginning. Now i am waiting for a miracle to happen. Hopefully we will not have to make a trip to Vegas for a fast marriage certificate until we will have another day fixed for church marriage, reception  etc. 

That's so near my situation. I didn't have the money to hire a lawyer or any professional help, because I just graduated from college in August. So everything I've done is based off of my own research and understanding. I didn't have a full understanding of the process, or know that it took another month or more to process after USCIS got its hands on the case. Which, of course, is my own fault. After I learned what a big mistake I made by waiting as long as I did to file, I thought I'd still be safe, back when my processing time was still in January.

I've already sent out save the dates with our planned wedding date on them (which of course I could always change), but I don't even think that I could re-schedule without losing all the money I've paid for my venue and my officiant. It's so difficult because I'm not in a financial position to re-plan my wedding. There are nights that worry wakes me up in the middle of the night, and I just cry. 

K-1

Spoiler

 

Mailed I-129F:   5 September, 2017

Received:  8 September, 2017
I-129F NOA1:    11 September, 2017

I-129F NOA2:     8 March, 2018

NVC Received:  20 March, 2018

NVC # Assigned: 22 March, 2018

Consulate Rec'd:  28 March, 2018

Medical:   24 April, 2018

Interview:   8 May, 2018

Visa on Hand:   21 May, 2018

POE:   8 June, 2018 (Manchester > Boston > Pittsburgh)

Legal Marriage:    27 June, 2018

Traditional Wedding: 7 October, 2018

 

AOS/EAD

Mailed Packet:   8 September, 2018

NOA1:  13 September, 2018

Biometrics: 19 October, 2018

EAD Approval:   5 February, 2019

Interview: 4 March, 2019

Approval Notice: 4 March, 2019

 

RoC

Mailed Packet:   8 February, 2021

Packet Received: 12 February, 2021

NOA1:  20 March, 2021

Biometrics: September 2021

RFE: 13 July, 2022

RFE Submitted: Soon

Interview: Waiting

Approval: Waiting

 

Posted

Hi Naes I'm new on these forums but read some of your post and i already know your a great help but was wondering if you can check the Ysc179 from Potomac Alington VA because im also a I-130 sept. 5 filer for a spouse and would like a estimate of when will i receive my NOA2

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Gambia
Timeline
Posted

Does anyone know why out of the 3 location VSC seems to be processing at a faster rate? I'm also frustrated that it is taking so long because I was advised by a friend that went through this process 3 years ago to file for the fiancée visa. When I told her the processing time she told me that it only took 5 months for her 3 years ago.

 
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