I129f September 2017 filers

[Naes 12,205]

26 minutes ago, KatziGuthmann said:

I seems so, but we better wait for @Naes with numbers! I'm quite afraid to think they might speed up because who knows what will be in a month haha

To give a simple sum for what I'm expecting at the moment;

 

I'm guessing they will try to get to at least 12000 cases for their 1 quarter of FY18 which ends in December 31

usually (historical uscis report based) around 2000 (15+% )of these touched cases go denied. (such as rejected and other denied in the process)

We have the cases updated online only, and from the amount of May filers who got their noa2 without online notice or case activity updated at the moment,I say we should add roughly 15% to any numbers we have.

 

12000-2000= 10000

since we started Q1, the overall activity of rejection + approvals (concluded cases) is 2700+ (online) and I add 15% to that which makes 3100+

April looks like it still has a lot to go on, however activity on April slowed down extremely which indicates, they mostly just sent them noa2 in mail, or denied and another handful is waiting to be approved.

 

So they already gone through let's say 2000 cases of April + 3000 cases of may = 5000

We have a 5000 to go, which around 3000 of it will be June.

And the rest 2000 will be the start of July.

 

So with all the calculations I am doing at the moment.

Yes it sped up a little bit however, It all depends on if they continue with this good numbers.

1) I expect July to start at the end of December, right before Christmas with small numbers.

2) August to start January similar to July  and February is to follow for September...

 

However,

There is still room for improvement.

I am as a September 15 filer awaiting my noa to be around Valentine.

It can also get slower.

 

But the most important is we can just continuously check what is going on every week, and estimate. But have no clue what USCIS is thinking...and how their work system is  

 

Anything can happen!  

 

[KatziGuthmann 171]

30 minutes ago, Naes said:

To give a simple sum for what I'm expecting at the moment;

 

I'm guessing they will try to get to at least 12000 cases for their 1 quarter of FY18 which ends in December 31

usually (historical uscis report based) around 2000 (15+% )of these touched cases go denied. (such as rejected and other denied in the process)

We have the cases updated online only, and from the amount of May filers who got their noa2 without online notice or case activity updated at the moment,I say we should add roughly 15% to any numbers we have.

 

12000-2000= 10000

since we started Q1, the overall activity of rejection + approvals (concluded cases) is 2700+ (online) and I add 15% to that which makes 3100+

April looks like it still has a lot to go on, however activity on April slowed down extremely which indicates, they mostly just sent them noa2 in mail, or denied and another handful is waiting to be approved.

 

So they already gone through let's say 2000 cases of April + 3000 cases of may = 5000

We have a 5000 to go, which around 3000 of it will be June.

And the rest 2000 will be the start of July.

 

So with all the calculations I am doing at the moment.

Yes it sped up a little bit however, It all depends on if they continue with this good numbers.

1) I expect July to start at the end of December, right before Christmas with small numbers.

2) August to start January similar to July  and February is to follow for September...

 

However,

There is still room for improvement.

I am as a September 15 filer awaiting my noa to be around Valentine.

It can also get slower.

 

But the most important is we can just continuously check what is going on every week, and estimate. But have no clue what USCIS is thinking...and how their work system is  

 

Anything can happen!  

 

Thank youuu! And I hope you get better soon (lurking at June's xD) 😊

[jeine 74]

1 hour ago, Annaguilar said:

Hi everyone!! Sept. 21st filer here!! Got our noa1 on sept 29. Been wanting to join this thread lol. Good luck guyss 😀😀😀

Welcome to the club 

[Swissmiss82 1,620]

1 hour ago, Naes said:

To give a simple sum for what I'm expecting at the moment;

 

I'm guessing they will try to get to at least 12000 cases for their 1 quarter of FY18 which ends in December 31

usually (historical uscis report based) around 2000 (15+% )of these touched cases go denied. (such as rejected and other denied in the process)

We have the cases updated online only, and from the amount of May filers who got their noa2 without online notice or case activity updated at the moment,I say we should add roughly 15% to any numbers we have.

 

12000-2000= 10000

since we started Q1, the overall activity of rejection + approvals (concluded cases) is 2700+ (online) and I add 15% to that which makes 3100+

April looks like it still has a lot to go on, however activity on April slowed down extremely which indicates, they mostly just sent them noa2 in mail, or denied and another handful is waiting to be approved.

 

So they already gone through let's say 2000 cases of April + 3000 cases of may = 5000

We have a 5000 to go, which around 3000 of it will be June.

And the rest 2000 will be the start of July.

 

So with all the calculations I am doing at the moment.

Yes it sped up a little bit however, It all depends on if they continue with this good numbers.

1) I expect July to start at the end of December, right before Christmas with small numbers.

2) August to start January similar to July  and February is to follow for September...

 

However,

There is still room for improvement.

I am as a September 15 filer awaiting my noa to be around Valentine.

It can also get slower.

 

But the most important is we can just continuously check what is going on every week, and estimate. But have no clue what USCIS is thinking...and how their work system is  

 

Anything can happen!  

 

seriously - you rock! I hope they catch up more and go through it quicker, I got hope!!!

 

I've been sick for almost 14 days also, this cold doesn't go away ugh... so stay warm, drink a lot of ginger tea and feel better (which means you also need some sleep and rest, no scanning and stuff hahaha)

[Annaguilar 30]

@Naes Hello. 😊😊 How to be included in your scans? 

[Naes 12,205]

2 minutes ago, Annaguilar said:

@Naes Hello. 😊😊 How to be included in your scans? 

If your number is in that list of September filers you are in. Check the google drive link -you can find it in my signature and tell me if you're not in it 😊

 

But it use a pc because those files don't show all the cases when used on phones

[totalrequest 19]

Hi everyone!

 

I'm from Guam and my beneficiary is from the Philippines. We are a young gay couple (both in our mid-20s) and met like so many young people do nowadays—on a social dating app. We met in early April when I was on a solo holiday and ended up coming by three or four times before coming every week (yes, I travel to see him every weekend) beginning in August. We decided to tie the knot Labor Day weekend and sent our packet off and received our NOA1 on September 13. I intend to continue seeing him regularly until we I receive the NOA2 which we are hoping to get around mid-February (super optimistic I know but hopeful)... The passion and effort some of you put into compiling this data does not go unrecognized and I look up and admire you all! I can't wait for that day when I can come back to this forum with good news for myself and I can't wait for that day for each and every one of you as well

[KatziGuthmann 171]

13 minutes ago, totalrequest said:

Hi everyone!

 

I'm from Guam and my beneficiary is from the Philippines. We are a young gay couple (both in our mid-20s) and met like so many young people do nowadays—on a social dating app. We met in early April when I was on a solo holiday and ended up coming by three or four times before coming every week (yes, I travel to see him every weekend) beginning in August. We decided to tie the knot Labor Day weekend and sent our packet off and received our NOA1 on September 13. I intend to continue seeing him regularly until we I receive the NOA2 which we are hoping to get around mid-February (super optimistic I know but hopeful)... The passion and effort some of you put into compiling this data does not go unrecognized and I look up and admire you all! I can't wait for that day when I can come back to this forum with good news for myself and I can't wait for that day for each and every one of you as well

Welcome! 🏳️‍🌈

Join us, seeing all the posts here definitely makes this waiting a bit easier  

[Swissmiss82 1,620]

Hey @Naes - sorry to sound like a crazy person hahaha

 

on my app, I have randomly added cases from mid April - September on a bi-weekly base basically.

so 3 cases have received the Request for add. evidence, one almost one month ago. I mean everybody would think you submit the reply in within days or a week...

 

My question for the entire calculation now.... is it possible that these also never get updated in the system, meaning they are technically not pending in your calculation and have possibly already been processed and approved? would that mean they are not updating these anymore but we can possibly deduct from the calc?

 

I am trying eeeeeeeeeeeverything to stay positive and see a way to believe our NOA2 comes before end of feb hahaha sorryyyyy

[Daniel P 2,022]

52 minutes ago, Swissmiss82 said:

so 3 cases have received the Request for add. evidence, one almost one month ago. I mean everybody would think you submit the reply in within days or a week...

 

Maybe they did reply within days but from USCIS they haven't updated the cases to "Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received" simply because they haven't started working on those cases again? After all it's been less than a month...

Edited November 20, 2017 by Daniel P

[Swissmiss82 1,620]

42 minutes ago, Daniel P said:

Maybe they did reply within days but from USCIS they haven't updated the cases to "Response To USCIS' Request For Evidence Was Received" simply because they haven't started working on those cases again? After all it's been less than a month...

that's what I thought first.

but again, we are talking about april/may filers that have been waiting 5-6 months and now get an RFE... wouldn't you react immediately and send the missing part to not wait another few months? that it takes a few days possibly ok... maaaaybe a week! but 3 random cases I picked and all of them with no update, not even received evidence?

[Daniel P 2,022]

14 minutes ago, Swissmiss82 said:

that's what I thought first.

but again, we are talking about april/may filers that have been waiting 5-6 months and now get an RFE... wouldn't you react immediately and send the missing part to not wait another few months? that it takes a few days possibly ok... maaaaybe a week! but 3 random cases I picked and all of them with no update, not even received evidence?

What I don't know is, does USCIS start working on those cases again right after they receive the required evidence? They should, but maybe they don't for some reason, no matter how long it took for the filer to answer to that RFE. Maybe it's just up to each adjudicator and how they like to organize their work.

Edited November 20, 2017 by Daniel P

[Swissmiss82 1,620]

12 minutes ago, Daniel P said:

What I don't know is, does USCIS start working on those cases again right after they receive the required evidence? They should, but maybe they don't for some reason, no matter how long it took for the filer to answer to that RFE. Maybe it's just up to each adjudicator and how they like to organize their work.

there is a bunch of people on here that received a RFE and returned in within days and usually takes about 1-2 weeks till USCIS gives them reply for approval.

 

that's the reason why I started to think about this - as it's not normal to me... maybe I'm wrong  crazy or desperate.. whichever... just sharing my thought and hopefully @Naes our superstar may give some good opinion lol

[Naes 12,205]

5 hours ago, Swissmiss82 said:

there is a bunch of people on here that received a RFE and returned in within days and usually takes about 1-2 weeks till USCIS gives them reply for approval.

 

that's the reason why I started to think about this - as it's not normal to me... maybe I'm wrong  crazy or desperate.. whichever... just sharing my thought and hopefully @Naes our superstar may give some good opinion lol

😂😂😂

Actually @Daniel Ps guess is as good as mine, he is the upcoming tracker of November.

what I think when I look at those rfes are;

•we don't know what those are for, maybe hard to get papers (divorce or court papers?) because september also has rfe received.

•not everyone is like the people in here and in a hurry. We are mostly anxious, don't want to wait, too in love maybe, thats how we found this web site and stuck here until now after 2 months?? So those are not that old cases to think something is up.

• we didn't see any rfes that are not updated to rfe sent. Although I saw some rfe sent go directly to approval without hem first doing received, but rfe sent is more important as an information. 

 

And  most important of them all, it doesn't matter. They didn't start September, not going to happen till at least end of January unless they change their strategy. 

 

So please sit sit back and relax till you see 15+ approvals 😁

[Naes 12,205]

6 hours ago, Daniel P said:

What I don't know is, does USCIS start working on those cases again right after they receive the required evidence? They should, but maybe they don't for some reason, no matter how long it took for the filer to answer to that RFE. Maybe it's just up to each adjudicator and how they like to organize their work.

They don't start working on them but update the status to inform the delivery is received. And then leave the case in line for background check list.