Climate Change Could Kill Off One-Fifth of the World By End of the Century

[Amica Nostra 4,803]

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/articles/2017-08-03/climate-change-could-ravage-areas-of-south-asia-by-late-21st-century

If global populations continue with a business-as-usual attitude toward greenhouse gas emissions and global warming, a chunk of the population could be in serious peril.

A new study finds that going outdoors could become deadly across areas of India, Pakistan and Bangladesh by the end of the century as climate change causes heat and humidity to spike, making widespread areas uninhabitable. The threat targets up to a third of the people living throughout the Indo-Gangetic Plain, which is home to some 1.5 billion people, according to findings published Wednesday in Science Advances, a peer-reviewed journal.

"The fertile valleys of the Indus and the Ganges, where human population is currently in the hundreds of millions, will likely experience some of the most severe projected hazard from heat waves," according to the research team.

 

[READ: The Top 5 Countries for Green Living]

 

Researchers based their findings on computer simulations that used global models to project a so-called "wet bulb temperature," which considers the actual temperature, as well as the humidity and the human body's ability to cool down through evaporation.

Humidity levels combined with heat play a major role in heat-related heath risks. In cases of high humidity, human sweat doesn't evaporate, making it difficult for people to regulate and release heat. At a wet bulb temperature above 35 degrees Celsius, or 95 degrees Farehenheit, the human body can't cool itself enough to survive more than a few hours without protection.

 

The findings are in keeping with widespread research on climate change that paints the issue as a major threat to mankind. One study found that nearly a third of the world's population is currently exposed to lethal global warming, while another suggests that thousands will die from climate change-caused air pollution if we can't cuThe threat is already proving deadly, albeit at a lesser rate.

One of the deadliest heatwaves in history swept across South Asia during the summer of 2015, killing an estimated 3,500 people in Pakistan and India

 

People in these high-poverty areas are particularly vulnerable because they rely on hours of hard labor in the open sun to fulfill an economic dependence on subsistence farming, according to MIT professor Elfatih Eltahir, who co-authored the report.

"With the disruption to the agricultural production, it doesn't need to be the heat wave 

 

 

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[IAMX 3,055]

 

Nice simulations btw. Very reliable. 

Edited August 4, 2017 by IAMX

[jg121783 3,921]

Yeah just like the global warming cultists were saying we would have snowless winters by now. Al Gore must be desperate to sell his new propaganda film masquerading as a documentary.

[IAMX 3,055]

Just now, jg121783 said:

Yeah just like the global warming cultists were saying we would have snowless winters by now. Al Gore must be desperate to sell his new propaganda film masquerading as a documentary.

Pretty funny that this gets ratcheted up in time for this load of ####### film. Goes to show how gullible people are.

 

Saaaaave the planet. 

 

[Amica Nostra 4,803]

23 minutes ago, IAMX said:

 

Nice simulations btw. Very reliable. 

I don't know what you are talking about but it sounds very scientific without saying anything at all which is the best way to muddle the truth when you don't have facts. Do you mind if I quote you? I could use some of your impressive science sounding phrases

Edited August 4, 2017 by Il Mango Dulce

[bcking 3,157]

1 hour ago, IAMX said:

 

Nice simulations btw. Very reliable. 

Please do go on and tell us about the methodological flaws you have found in their simulation. I'd love to hear your critical scientific analysis of their paper.

 

To make it easier for you, here is a link to the pdf. I can't wait for your analysis.

 

http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/advances/3/8/e1603322.full.pdf

Edited August 4, 2017 by bcking

[ready4ONE 5,400]

Tweetsolini hath declared global warming a hoax, and determined a few corporations making huge bucks much better than silly environmental protection. No scientific argument is necessary or possible to overrule Dear Leader's declaration all is well! Pollution is so good for you, we need to accelerate it, and you won't even need healthcare to take care of any health issues that it causes, which it doesn't because Trump has spoken!

[smilesammich 10,727]

27 minutes ago, bcking said:

Please do go on and tell us about the methodological flaws you have found in their simulation. I'd love to hear your critical scientific analysis of their paper.

 

To make it easier for you, here is a link to the pdf. I can't wait for your analysis.

 

http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/advances/3/8/e1603322.full.pdf

you're gonna be waiting a while, i reckon. there's some serious issues pertaining to gay preschool agendas and whatever debauchery those crazy liberal arts college 'students' are up to this week. some real hot topics...this is all code for impending white genocide by my determinations  serious stuff.

[bcking 3,157]

Just now, smilesammich said:

you're gonna be waiting a while, i reckon. there's some serious issues pertaining to gay preschool agendas and whatever debauchery those crazy liberal arts college 'students' are up to this week. some real hot topics...this is all code for impending white genocide by my determinations  serious stuff.

I can't help myself.

 

I have a particular problem with people who are ignorant on a topic acting like because they can read a secondary (or sometimes tertiary source) quoting the primary research and creating an opinion based on no expertise, that they can also do the same.

 

There may very well be methodological flaws or limitations to the paper discussed in this thread. I just highly doubt any of us are really qualified to critically appraise the article.

 

Just stating "Oh it's a simulation, therefore pointless" is pretty much admiting a complete and total ignorance on this area of scientific research. Each field has to use the tools at their disposal. If you are in the field of climatologist investigating the potential impact current trends will have on the future, you pretty much have to do a simulation. The more important question is whether their simulation is well designed, incorporates/acknowledges significant confoundings, is replicable etc... I don't claim to have the expertise to evaluate it appropriately, and I doubt anyone else here does unless we have a climatologist among us.

[smilesammich 10,727]

2 minutes ago, bcking said:

I can't help myself.

 

I have a particular problem with people who are ignorant on a topic acting like because they can read a secondary (or sometimes tertiary source) quoting the primary research and creating an opinion based on no expertise, that they can also do the same.

 

There may very well be methodological flaws or limitations to the paper discussed in this thread. I just highly doubt any of us are really qualified to critically appraise the article.

 

Just stating "Oh it's a simulation, therefore pointless" is pretty much admiting a complete and total ignorance on this area of scientific research. Each field has to use the tools at their disposal. If you are in the field of climatologist investigating the potential impact current trends will have on the future, you pretty much have to do a simulation. The more important question is whether their simulation is well designed, incorporates/acknowledges significant confoundings, is replicable etc... I don't claim to have the expertise to evaluate it appropriately, and I doubt anyone else here does unless we have a climatologist among us.

we can just wait for breitbart to review then info, until then..the whole thing is just a reason to bring up al gore.

[jg121783 3,921]

2 hours ago, ready4ONE said:

Tweetsolini hath declared global warming a hoax, and determined a few corporations making huge bucks much better than silly environmental protection. No scientific argument is necessary or possible to overrule Dear Leader's declaration all is well! Pollution is so good for you, we need to accelerate it, and you won't even need healthcare to take care of any health issues that it causes, which it doesn't because Trump has spoken!

So man made global warming not being true is a conspiracy made up by big oil yet Al Gore the poster boy for man made global warming was on the board of Occidental Petroleum. 

[IAMX 3,055]

5 minutes ago, jg121783 said:

So man made global warming not being true is a conspiracy made up by big oil yet Al Gore the poster boy for man made global warming was on the board of Occidental Petroleum. 

Good thing he released his film in the summer, I had forgot to blame the summer heat on global warming, oil companies, rich people, capitalism, etc.

[bcking 3,157]

1 hour ago, smilesammich said:

we can just wait for breitbart to review then info, until then..the whole thing is just a reason to bring up al gore.

Ah yes. The best and the brighest. The expert scientific minds at Breitbart. 

 

Wouldn't be surprised if they borrow "Dr. Group" as their "expert" opinion on all things scientific.

[Dashinka 24,871]

Doesn't colder climates and cold snaps kill more people than heat?  I imagine if we completely turn around global warming and the glaciers start advancing on NYC we will all just ride them out.

 

Here is another scientific study that says this is normal cyclic oscillation.

 

 https://benthamopen.com/FULLTEXT/TOASCJ-11-44

[jg121783 3,921]

2 minutes ago, Bill & Katya said:

Doesn't colder climates and cold snaps kill more people than heat?  I imagine if we completely turn around global warming and the glaciers start advancing on NYC we will all just ride them out.

 

Here is another scientific study that says this is normal cyclic oscillation.

 

 https://benthamopen.com/FULLTEXT/TOASCJ-11-44

Is that study approved by Al Gore? If not it's fake science.