I-129f June 2017 filers (merged)

[Naes 12,205]

1 minute ago, Gators15 said:

 

Hey all! Quick question to the statisticians what are working so tirelessly on these scans (a huge thank you btw). I have a degree in biochemistry, so I understand stats as it applies to the medical field,  but I have to admit I’m getting a little lost on some of the numbers posted here. My question is simple: what is the mean number of cases approved and/or touched per work day? Feel free to include the σ if you’re so inclined. The numbers I’ve seen seems to show that they are only approving 20-25 cases/day. I understand that there are many variable and several cannot be quantified through the scans and you all do a great job defining those throughout your posts. I was pretty confident at the beginning of the month that they’d be very deep into June by the end of the month, but that doesn’t seem to be coming to fruition. 

 

Sorry if this his question is redundant, just want to verify what I’m seeing in your numbers. Thank you again for being so diligent and dedicated to the process. You’ve really helped ease the anxiety that comes with the uncertainty of our situation. If you ever need any help, let me know and I’ll be happy to contribute. Fingers crossed to all that are waiting for approvals this week. I’m a June 23 and already accepted this week is a wash and next week is looking very unlikely. I hate how my VJ timeline moved back every time I check it. Lol I’ve stop looking to avoid the bad news. 

To tell the truth I'm aiming for a longer timeline to see if there's a trend of getting better. For June daily updates is around 30s. But I'm actually looking into April and May and all other months I can, so the daily average is around 170-200

 

normally if they could get to a daily average of 200+ they can save the backlog a bit and in 2 months it could actually solve this problem by reducing the wait for August and further dates to 150 days.

 

they have a tendency to go really low for about 10 days for each month when they start and then focus on that month. Right now they are still focused on May.

 

i admit none of these matters, because they don't update properly. Some noas come without updates( actually a lot comes without updates) 

 

and we we don't know if their goal is to improve the situation or stick with how it is.

 

i just like to grasp information and have different analyses because it helps to cope. 😊

 

But to answer more simply, may had average 30 approvals per day at the start. Then they focused. June has average 30 now and then they will focus. Hopefully workload of April will be gone and they will focus harder on June. My aim is for July to start around Christmas... or I'm here camping till summer 2018! Oooo yeahhh

[Naes 12,205]

9 minutes ago, Gators15 said:

 

Hey all! Quick question to the statisticians what are working so tirelessly on these scans (a huge thank you btw). I have a degree in biochemistry, so I understand stats as it applies to the medical field,  but I have to admit I’m getting a little lost on some of the numbers posted here. My question is simple: what is the mean number of cases approved and/or touched per work day? Feel free to include the σ if you’re so inclined. The numbers I’ve seen seems to show that they are only approving 20-25 cases/day. I understand that there are many variable and several cannot be quantified through the scans and you all do a great job defining those throughout your posts. I was pretty confident at the beginning of the month that they’d be very deep into June by the end of the month, but that doesn’t seem to be coming to fruition. 

 

Sorry if this his question is redundant, just want to verify what I’m seeing in your numbers. Thank you again for being so diligent and dedicated to the process. You’ve really helped ease the anxiety that comes with the uncertainty of our situation. If you ever need any help, let me know and I’ll be happy to contribute. Fingers crossed to all that are waiting for approvals this week. I’m a June 23 and already accepted this week is a wash and next week is looking very unlikely. I hate how my VJ timeline moved back every time I check it. Lol I’ve stop looking to avoid the bad news. 

Oh and I really thought they would be in deep in June by now too. Cause if improvements happened last month it could have been.

 

but situation improved extremely since they started May. April was sooo painful it took 4 months to go through their cases. And still updates are coming.. 

 

May is only taking 2.5 months overall.

 

June hopefully 1.5 and then only rfes when they start July.

 

I mean this is all to just have a fun discussion and hopefully say "yes!" Cause once anybody gets the noa2 nobody cares what we're talking 😂😂😂

 

or "nah" and let's wait a bit more

 

 

[IshTre 288]

5 hours ago, The Squirrel said:

Here again all credits go to "The Big 3" ! 

 

NOTE: I only have May numbers from last night @Naes, and midday scan from @Shoegum, so numbers can only be better.   

 

To ease you into this, we are looking good . So far 5 of 22 days in June have been touched. May weeks are dwindling, almost done, there is no more room for adjudicators to hide, but to go June. Here go the weeks first, as they are most important:

 

1st week  - 102 cases left

2nd week - 135 cases left

3rd week  - 270 cases left

4th week   - 515 cases left

The Hump- 383 cases left

1st week  - 825 cases left

2nd week - 775 cases to go

3rd week  - 836 cases to go

Last week - 763 cases to go

 

 

May 30th with  216

May 31st with   39 

June  1st with   27

June 2nd with  101

------------------------------

Week Total :     383

 

May 30th now looks big pedestrian with 216 cases, but keep in mind that 2 weeks ago it had 422 cases, so it is almost half done at 48.8% (it is over 50% at this point we just didn't get the scan). Next 2 days are a joke with 66 cases combined, and the last day in that week is at the magic line, about to dip into double digits. With 3 days to go, June 2nd should be at about 65-75 mark on Friday, and done completely by mid next week. Today June 2nd had 4 approvals and 5 RFE's, so rest of the way this week should be all approvals. 

 

And next is the first full week of June that is melting before our eyes . Big show on what is to come! It still counts relatively high, robust 825 cases, of total 975 it had 7 working days ago.  Days are as follows:

 

June 5th  -  149

June 6th  -   229

June 7th  -   116 (untouched)

June 8th  -   184 

June 9th  -   147 (untouched)

---------------------------

Total  -  825  cases untouched

 

Here you have a totally different landscape than 10 days ago, Monday the 5th has gone from 2nd highest day in two months combined, all the way down to 12th highest day of 44 days total. Now that my friends is a freefall ! And than today, that same day gets answered loud and clear - 10 cases touched, all 10 cases RFE's. Following is as per the established pattern, a bonanza of approvals. Sooooo....

 

@DuaneAnna 

@tifmiklos 

@Hadassah123 

@GarryAndMarie

@Allen&Ann 

@britishandusa 

@Ivan D 

@Nefertari

@viNs

@IshTre

 

......... if you guys survived today without the RFE, you should be at the exit door, with tears in your eyes, saying goodbye to this semi sane family you made here, thanks to your journey. Some will go before others, first ones celebrate hard, ones that have to wait another day or few just cool and graceful, it's real and it is here, about to be you. 

 

June 8th thoroughly surprised me, I thought Thursday, but I thought June 7th would go Wednesday. So I may get ladder one to be a go, but now I'm thinking one group will do 7th and 8th, and other will start 9th and 12th Thursday with RFE's, Friday with approvals, and following week - bonanza !   

 

Thanks for this thorough analysis. Cheers 

[Naes 12,205]

Hey all, 

 

I baked cookies! For the day 232 of them  

I am actually surprised with this number, as it was a really calm day....

 

This weeks numbers; (There are also some RFE's happening in July - scanning and investigating Special Thanks to @Geo_nerd82)

 

 

	April	May	June	Total
11/27/17	18	80	35	133
11/28/17	37	161	33	231
Future Dated		1		1
Total	55	242	68	365

 

 

And @The Squirrel May received cases as sprinkles

 

05/01/17	31
05/02/17	24
05/03/17	4
05/04/17	10
05/05/17	32
05/08/17	48
05/09/17	18
05/10/17	30
05/11/17	19
05/12/17	21
05/15/17	71
05/16/17	28
05/17/17	69
05/18/17	64
05/19/17	29
05/22/17	189
05/23/17	103
05/24/17	56
05/25/17	37
05/26/17	122
05/30/17	178
05/31/17	33
総計	1216

Edited November 29, 2017 by Naes

[Hadassah123 523]

21 minutes ago, Naes said:

Hey all, 

 

I baked cookies! For the day 232 of them  

I am actually surprised with this number, as it was a really calm day....

 

This weeks numbers; (There are also some RFE's happening in July - scanning and investigating Special Thanks to @Geo_nerd82)

 

 

	April	May	June	Total
11/27/17	18	80	35	133
11/28/17	37	161	33	231
Future Dated		1		1
Total	55	242	68	365

 

 

And @The Squirrel May received cases as sprinkles

 

05/01/17	31
05/02/17	24
05/03/17	4
05/04/17	10
05/05/17	32
05/08/17	48
05/09/17	18
05/10/17	30
05/11/17	19
05/12/17	21
05/15/17	71
05/16/17	28
05/17/17	69
05/18/17	64
05/19/17	29
05/22/17	189
05/23/17	103
05/24/17	56
05/25/17	37
05/26/17	122
05/30/17	178
05/31/17	33
総計	1216

Aren't the May numbers good though? I got kinda sad seeing Igor's list this morning after having already seen the scan from yesterday before I went to bed. Once I caught up with reading the May thread and saw the scan, I was relieved that it wasn't such a slow day after all. May deserves to be processed and done with before us.

 

Although I'm still annoyed that 1861 and 1862 (us) have nothing, while cases right before and after have had action. I was soooo hoping for our case to be in that same box and on someone's desk on Monday. But alas... not yet.

 

Just a couple more hours till a new Cali working day, so come on USCIS! We'll love you lots if you give us our NOA2s today!!

[Naes 12,205]

1 minute ago, Hadassah123 said:

Aren't the May numbers good though? I got kinda sad seeing Igor's list this morning after having already seen the scan from yesterday before I went to bed. Once I caught up with reading the May thread and saw the scan, I was relieved that it wasn't such a slow day after all. May deserves to be processed and done with before us.

 

Although I'm still annoyed that 1861 and 1862 (us) have nothing, while cases right before and after have had action. I was soooo hoping for our case to be in that same box and on someone's desk on Monday. But alas... not yet.

 

Just a couple more hours till a new Cali working day, so come on USCIS! We'll love you lots if you give us our NOA2s today!!

The numbers are actually good!

 

its just there are too many May filers overall so it looks like too many left... because unfortunately most of untoucheds are from vj...

[Swissmiss82 1,620]

56 minutes ago, Naes said:

Hey all, 

 

I baked cookies! For the day 232 of them  

I am actually surprised with this number, as it was a really calm day....

 

This weeks numbers; (There are also some RFE's happening in July - scanning and investigating Special Thanks to @Geo_nerd82)

 

 

	April	May	June	Total
11/27/17	18	80	35	133
11/28/17	37	161	33	231
Future Dated		1		1
Total	55	242	68	365

 

 

And @The Squirrel May received cases as sprinkles

 

05/01/17	31
05/02/17	24
05/03/17	4
05/04/17	10
05/05/17	32
05/08/17	48
05/09/17	18
05/10/17	30
05/11/17	19
05/12/17	21
05/15/17	71
05/16/17	28
05/17/17	69
05/18/17	64
05/19/17	29
05/22/17	189
05/23/17	103
05/24/17	56
05/25/17	37
05/26/17	122
05/30/17	178
05/31/17	33
総計	1216

oh wooooooow - so 1216 untouched cases, and how many are RFE's that are pending?

that's actually a really really good number, I thought we are still closer to 2000! yaaaaaaay

[Naes 12,205]

2 minutes ago, Swissmiss82 said:

oh wooooooow - so 1216 untouched cases, and how many are RFE's that are pending?

that's actually a really really good number, I thought we are still closer to 2000! yaaaaaaay

Around 1150 pending on any type of updates.

[Hadassah123 523]

43 minutes ago, Naes said:

The numbers are actually good!

 

its just there are too many May filers overall so it looks like too many left... because unfortunately most of untoucheds are from vj...

Right!

 

Upon re-reading your post, I'm not even sure anymore why I asked the question. Probably going a bit nuts myself reading all the stuff on here and all the ups and downs in expectation of NOA2 soon.....

[Naes 12,205]

8 minutes ago, Hadassah123 said:

Right!

 

Upon re-reading your post, I'm not even sure anymore why I asked the question. Probably going a bit nuts myself reading all the stuff on here and all the ups and downs in expectation of NOA2 soon.....

 

I believe by this point we are allowed to ask anything even senseless 😂😂😂

 

I'm in the coucou land and need to recharge... basically I need my fiancé

[Hadassah123 523]

1 minute ago, Naes said:

 

I believe by this point we are allowed to ask anything even senseless 😂😂😂

 

I'm in the coucou land and need to recharge... basically I need my fiancé

Ah yes. I need my Mister too!    But then again - we all do (Mister or future Mrs), otherwise we wouldn't be on here

[Christy&J 837]

3 minutes ago, Naes said:

 

I believe by this point we are allowed to ask anything even senseless 😂😂😂

 

I'm in the coucou land and need to recharge... basically I need my fiancé

Kinda wondering, which filer are you ?  

[Naes 12,205]

4 minutes ago, Christy&J said:

Kinda wondering, which filer are you ?  

Septembeeeeeerrrr 😂😂😂😂😂

 

Edit: oh you asked like petitioner or beneficiary??

 

then I'm the lady beneficiary 

Edited November 29, 2017 by Naes

[Christy&J 837]

7 minutes ago, Naes said:

Septembeeeeeerrrr 😂😂😂😂😂

 

Edit: oh you asked like petitioner or beneficiary??

 

then I'm the lady beneficiary 

Hahaha !!! you answered both questions... sorry my question was kinda ambiguous...

 

My NOA 1 is 2 October and I am beneficiary too...

[INNSU09 242]

15 minutes ago, Naes said:

Septembeeeeeerrrr 😂😂😂😂😂

 

Edit: oh you asked like petitioner or beneficiary??

 

then I'm the lady beneficiary 

wow, September?? Like still no Noa2?? Or like you’re waaaaay beyond that and just sticking around here to help us Junies?

 

just got me curious is all, wondering why yours is taking extremely long.

 

anyway, I feel the same, everybody feels the same, we just need the good ole fiance recharge hug.. and maybe more.