I-129f June 2017 filers (merged)

[Naes 12,205]

3 minutes ago, The Squirrel said:

One more thing . I can't stop now, as @Naes muffins/cupcakes seem to have done the job, 200+ touches with third of a day to go. Here is what I spoke about before, the pattern:

 

Judging by the previous work, they bring all days to these number "zones", down to 100-150, than they work further to 50-100, and than all days below 50. This is important when looking for the forward steps they take, meaning when they move on to the next week. So the 50 and below you can see in weeks 1 and 2, as all days are in that range. Next was the week of 15th to 19th, the first week with days in triple digits, 3 such days. Vey important, as of the afternoon scan, it clearly showed this "pattern of priority", so we only have one day in triple digits:

 

Mon 15th  - was 123 - 25 done - now 98

Tue  16th  - was   62  - 2 done  -  now 60

Wed 17th  - was 123 - 21 done - now 102

Thu  18th  - was 107 - 10 done - now  97 

 Fri   19th  - was  62  -  7 done  -  now  55

 

Again these numbers may be slightly off due to RFE factor, but even so, you may expect 6 (4+2) cases done a day for 16th and 19th to bring them under 50 by the weekend. Other 3 days should get on average 10-12 touches per day, which brings them all below 75. Next week this entire 3rd week in May is gone. More can get done, less definitely not. 

 

And if you add up these "guestimates" that I foresee, 36 touches a day go to 3rd week of May. I will take realistic 172 daily touches average (easy to round off), so we have 140 left per day. 4th week in May should have 665, and Hump week has 638 as of this moment, with 140 daily touches to share between them. 4th week needs another 185 touches to bring all days down to double digits, over three days left in this week, all they need is 62 a day to achieve that, so begs the question, should they do that, do they send a crew over to 1st June week to shave those 973 cases down to a reasonable number?    

 

I didn't even finish reading yet. But what Do you say maybe we should startup a company to analyze how to work productively and give advice to other companies?

 

cause I'm getting better at this just like you  and the consensus between my friend is that "why didn't they fire you yet?"

 

edit: and we can name it guesstimates 

Edited November 15, 2017 by Naes

[Gtuf22 76]

8 minutes ago, The Squirrel said:

One more thing . I can't stop now, as @Naes muffins/cupcakes seem to have done the job, 200+ touches with third of a day to go. Here is what I spoke about before, the pattern:

 

Judging by the previous work, they bring all days to these number "zones", down to 100-150, than they work further to 50-100, and than all days below 50. This is important when looking for the forward steps they take, meaning when they move on to the next week. So the 50 and below you can see in weeks 1 and 2, as all days are in that range. Next was the week of 15th to 19th, the first week with days in triple digits, 3 such days. Vey important, as of the afternoon scan, it clearly showed this "pattern of priority", so we only have one day in triple digits:

 

Mon 15th  - was 123 - 25 done - now 98

Tue  16th  - was   62  - 2 done  -  now 60

Wed 17th  - was 123 - 21 done - now 102

Thu  18th  - was 107 - 10 done - now  97 

 Fri   19th  - was  62  -  7 done  -  now  55

 

Again these numbers may be slightly off due to RFE factor, but even so, you may expect 6 (4+2) cases done a day for 16th and 19th to bring them under 50 by the weekend. Other 3 days should get on average 10-12 touches per day, which brings them all below 75. Next week this entire 3rd week in May is gone. More can get done, less definitely not. 

 

And if you add up these "guestimates" that I foresee, 36 touches a day go to 3rd week of May. I will take realistic 172 daily touches average (easy to round off), so we have 140 left per day. 4th week in May should have 665, and Hump week has 638 as of this moment, with 140 daily touches to share between them. 4th week needs another 185 touches to bring all days down to double digits, over three days left in this week, all they need is 62 a day to achieve that, so begs the question, should they do that, do they send a crew over to 1st June week to shave those 973 cases down to a reasonable number?    

 

I'll be honest, and I'm sure I speak for many others...but this whole message confuses me. I am not sure if this is good progress, bad progress, or you just plain are unsure about what to expect. Some type of high-level statement would help clarify this much more.

 

For example, "This is good news" or "This is not the progress we were expecting". I am unsure as to how to process this message based on prior expectations or context.

 

Thank you.

[useful89 692]

4 minutes ago, Gtuf22 said:

I'll be honest, and I'm sure I speak for many others...but this whole message confuses me. I am not sure if this is good progress, bad progress, or you just plain are unsure about what to expect. Some type of high-level statement would help clarify this much more.

 

For example, "This is good news" or "This is not the progress we were expecting". I am unsure as to how to process this message based on prior expectations or context.

 

Thank you.

I think @The Squirrel is just guessing as to how they divide the different days up to be worked. I don't think it changes estimates it's just a theory meant to explain why a May 25th case could get an approval well before a May 1st, for example. 

[Naes 12,205]

8 minutes ago, Gtuf22 said:

I'll be honest, and I'm sure I speak for many others...but this whole message confuses me. I am not sure if this is good progress, bad progress, or you just plain are unsure about what to expect. Some type of high-level statement would help clarify this much more.

 

For example, "This is good news" or "This is not the progress we were expecting". I am unsure as to how to process this message based on prior expectations or context.

 

Thank you.

Nothing is a really "good" progress anymore. Even their updating systems doesn't work properly.

 

we are just trying to find meaning in the numbers so we can guess somehow when this hell will end

 

good news: they are trying to pick it up

bad news: it may be a little bit late for them to finally start to pick up

expectation: we expected them to pick up faster. 

 

Edited November 15, 2017 by Naes

[Naes 12,205]

Simply put; whatever we guess in the end what happens happens whenever it will happen.

 

we are just a bunch trying not to go crazy by just waiting 😊

[The Squirrel 1,318]

1 minute ago, useful89 said:

I think @The Squirrel is just guessing as to how they divide the different days up to be worked. I don't think it changes estimates it's just a theory meant to explain why a May 25th case could get an approval well before a May 1st, for example. 

 

Pattern of their progress , or better forward movement.

 

8 minutes ago, Gtuf22 said:

I'll be honest, and I'm sure I speak for many others...but this whole message confuses me. I am not sure if this is good progress, bad progress, or you just plain are unsure about what to expect. Some type of high-level statement would help clarify this much more.

 

For example, "This is good news" or "This is not the progress we were expecting". I am unsure as to how to process this message based on prior expectations or context.

 

Thank you.

 

News is borderline great/awesome ! I am trying to say that June 5th and 6th cases should see action this Thursday or Friday. 

 

NOTE: I only bring good news and smiles, no exceptions  

[Gtuf22 76]

1 minute ago, Naes said:

Simply put; whatever we guess in the end what happens happens whenever it will happen.

 

we are just a bunch trying not to go crazy by just waiting 😊

Yea, I understand. There have been so many posts on this forum that stretch across different topics that sometimes it can be confusing.

 

Sorry for not having full understanding, but I really only check this forum 1-2 times per day...so context is bound to be lost in the mix.

 

Thanks for the clarification!

[Naes 12,205]

1 minute ago, Gtuf22 said:

Yea, I understand. There have been so many posts on this forum that stretch across different topics that sometimes it can be confusing.

 

Sorry for not having full understanding, but I really only check this forum 1-2 times per day...so context is bound to be lost in the mix.

 

Thanks for the clarification!

Anytime!

 

what we want is positivity and happy people around us!

 

we use whatever data we get and then guess all the way 🤔 

 

my job is forecasting data's like this (mostly big data, mostly accurate good data tho 😂)

but with UsCIS being this inaccurate we are the loose forecasting period at he moment! 

[Gtuf22 76]

20 minutes ago, The Squirrel said:

 

Pattern of their progress , or better forward movement.

 

 

News is borderline great/awesome ! I am trying to say that June 5th and 6th cases should see action this Thursday or Friday. 

 

NOTE: I only bring good news and smiles, no exceptions  

Hahaha...thanks for that @The Squirrel!

As for all of us, this whole process so strenuous...and this is on top of our everyday stresses. So this is all much appreciated!

[The Squirrel 1,318]

1 hour ago, Naes said:

I didn't even finish reading yet. But what Do you say maybe we should startup a company to analyze how to work productively and give advice to other companies?

 

cause I'm getting better at this just like you  and the consensus between my friend is that "why didn't they fire you yet?"

 

edit: and we can name it guesstimates 

 

With that kind of name we would go out of business before we get into it 

 

1 hour ago, Gtuf22 said:

Hahaha...thanks for that @The Squirrel!

As for all of us, this whole process so strenuous...and this is on top of our everyday stresses. So this is all much appreciated!

 

No problem! All of the stress you had today is behind, tomorrow is another day. Come here to relax, here we are all together up the "sewage" creek in a boat named "June", paddling with our nerves.  

 

Edited November 15, 2017 by The Squirrel

[Naes 12,205]

2 minutes ago, The Squirrel said:

 

With that kind of name we would go out of business before we get into it 

 

Well that explains why I'm not rich 😔

[Catseal 268]

This is me every morning these days:

 

 

It's a brand neew daaaay *sing*

[Hadassah123 523]

@Naes & @The Squirrel you guys crack me up!

 

I love baking and would happily join in baking whatever if that would help!

[Perfect two 💑 1,147]

1 hour ago, Catseal said:

This is me every morning these days:

 

 

It's a brand neew daaaay *sing*

That is exactly me! 

[msscarlette 488]

 

 

 

 

My exact expressions when I see the daily scans...

 

 

 

 

 

 

But it's mostly this everyday.....

 

 

Edited November 15, 2017 by msscarlette