December 2016 Filers (merged)

[Kevin&Kanyanat 172]

I wish it was my dec 5th case they processed and approved. Maybe today

[db2016 100]

Hi All, 

 

Sorry if any of you already asked this, but has anyone who filed in December received their NOA2 yet? My NOA1 was on December 14th, I did see someone whose timeline said they applied 12/2 and they got their NOA2 earlier this week. Anyone else?

 

Praying it comes soon!!

 

 

[gtiorobertsf 72]

11 hours ago, Serik said:

9 cases from December 5th were touched today!!! Yay... congrats to the ones who got approved  

How do you find the data?

Im a 12/6 filer

[Kevin&Kanyanat 172]

Geo, posts the days progress every night. There were apparently 5 December 5th filers yesterday. Mine was not one of them. Boo. Geo posts in the November filer forum

[db2016 100]

3 hours ago, Kevin&Kanyanat said:

Geo, posts the days progress every night. There were apparently 5 December 5th filers yesterday. Mine was not one of them. Boo. Geo posts in the November filer forum

Hey Kevin, what is Geo? A site? Can you send the link if so...

[Kevin&Kanyanat 172]

1 hour ago, hy2016 said:

Hey Kevin, what is Geo? A site? Can you send the link if so...

Geo is an abbreviation of the name of someone who posts in the November filers forum

[Kevin&Kanyanat 172]

17 hours ago, geowrian said:

***Today's comprehensive update***
Date: 2/23/2017
Scan ran: 10:30 PM EST
Scan finished: 11:09 PM EST
Records: 3460

 

Cases updated today: 185
Approved: 127
RFEs: 32
Other: 26

 

Today's Data: https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B8es4j04tzi2R1M0RFVzdEZhclk

 

All data: https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B1B_oR3Imoi-dVhQSG02YkFhVjg
MS Access Database: https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B8es4j04tzi2WndWWDFpM2gxVm8

 

*Keep in mind I'm only counting WACs from WAC1790048000 onward. Records untouched prior to this are not included.*

 

  Reveal hidden contents

	23-Feb	22-Feb	# Touched
10/20/2016	1	1	0
10/31/2016	8	8	0
11/1/2016	6	6	0
11/2/2016	5	6	1
11/3/2016	31	31	0
11/4/2016	6	6	0
11/7/2016	21	23	2
11/8/2016	5	5	0
11/9/2016	16	18	2
11/10/2016	13	13	0
11/14/2016	60	72	12
11/15/2016	26	29	3
11/16/2016	30	38	8
11/17/2016	57	59	2
11/18/2016			0
11/21/2016	142	162	20
11/22/2016	74	76	2
11/23/2016	71	85	14
11/25/2016	76	100	24
11/28/2016	172	178	6
11/29/2016	90	104	14
11/30/2016	70	93	23
12/1/2016	85	87	2
12/2/2016	108	108	0
12/5/2016	336	345	9
12/6/2016	212	212	0
12/7/2016	108	108	0

 

 

 

Wow, lots of work today, too! And many of them are approvals this time. Quite a few early Dec. approvals today as well. Congrats to all those approved today!

This what he posts every night 

[db2016 100]

18 minutes ago, Kevin&Kanyanat said:

This what he posts every night 

thanks so much Kevin!

[BeccaM 34]

My nerves are so much worse now that they have actually started working on Dec. I'm Dec 5th but our case is more complex so probably be one of the last to hear anything. doesn't stop me checking compulsively 

[amillimo 31]

Hey everyone I'm just checking to let you guys know I received my noa1 nov 30 but still no word it has been 86 days but I know our time is coming soon I know we will have our noa2 because I manifest it!!! I wish everyone luck and don't give up hope!!! We got this ❤️❤️❤️

[AlohaDestiny 86]

Hello. 

 

Dec. 22 filer here with receipt date of Dec.28.

 

I've been following the November filers' thread eversince and really find it sooooo helpful. And his December thread has been my home since I join VJ. 

 

Glad to see that USCIS has started touching the December batch. My question is—Is it safe to assume that the current processing speed for the November batch will be the same for the December? Is there a way we can know the ratio or number of cases received on Nov and Dec? I hope Mr. @geowrian and @JimJesDumacan show some light on this (if it's not too much to ask, Sirs?) Any thoughts or estimate on this? ?

 

Also, I noticed that the average waiting time now falls on 80-100days from NOA1-NOA2. 

 

Since increase in fees started on December, hence lots of cases received, do you think it's safe for us (December batch) to expect results in more than 100days? 

 

Thank you so much. 

 

Aloha! ?

 

ELR (beneficiary)

Philippines

 

 

[geowrian 22,337]

1 hour ago, AlohaDestiny said:

Glad to see that USCIS has started touching the December batch. My question is—Is it safe to assume that the current processing speed for the November batch will be the same for the December? Is there a way we can know the ratio or number of cases received on Nov and Dec? I hope Mr. @geowrian and @JimJesDumacan show some light on this (if it's not too much to ask, Sirs?) Any thoughts or estimate on this? ?

 

Also, I noticed that the average waiting time now falls on 80-100days from NOA1-NOA2. 

 

Since increase in fees started on December, hence lots of cases received, do you think it's safe for us (December batch) to expect results in more than 100days?

It's hard to guess what will happen in the future, but I'd assume the processing rate will roughly continue the same pattern at least for the coming weeks. Nov. had about 4400 I-129Fs, while Dec. "only" has about 4,000. Roughly 10% of the cases tend to be rejected almost immediately for things such as wrong/missing payment, wrong form., missing signatures, etc. The vast majority of the rest go through roughly the same processing time (with a spread of 2-3 weeks). There's always outliers that get processed earlier or later than that timeframe. This can be seen with the few remaining Oct. 31st and early Nov. filers - 105 left and only a handful getting processed each day now. At the current rate, I am seeing ~176 cases being worked on per working day over the past 2 weeks. This means it will take about 18 working days to process most Dec. filers (4000 total * 90% accepted * 85% coverage within a 3 week spread). Note that this does not mean 18 days from today - only a few Dec. filers are being processed per day still. We probably have another week or 2 (my guess) before we start really hitting Dec. filers (887 unworked cases left in Nov => ~7 working days to hit that target coverage zone).

 

Edit: Please quote or tag me if you want me to see something. There's too much activity going on for me to actively watch this filers' thread as well. Thank you.

Edited February 25, 2017 by geowrian

[amillimo 31]

5 minutes ago, geowrian said:

It's hard to guess what will happen in the future, but I'd assume the processing rate will roughly continue the same pattern at least for the coming weeks. Nov. had about 4400 I-129Fs, while Dec. "only" has about 4,000. Roughly 10% of the cases tend to be rejected almost immediately for things such as wrong/missing payment, wrong form., missing signatures, etc. The vast majority of the rest go through roughly the same processing time (with a spread of 2-3 weeks). There's always outliers that get processed earlier or later than that timeframe. This can be seen with the few remaining Oct. 31st and early Nov. filers - 105 left and only a handful getting processed each day now. At the current rate, I am seeing ~176 cases being worked on per working day over the past 2 weeks. This means it will take about 18 working days to process most Dec. filers (4000 total * 90% accepted * 85% coverage within a 3 week spread). Note that this does not mean 18 days from today - only a few Dec. filers are being processed per day still. We probably have another week or 2 (my guess) before we start really hitting Dec. filers (887 unworked cases left in Nov => ~7 working days to hit that target coverage zone).

 

Edit: Please quote or tag me if you want me to see something. There's too much activity going on for me to actively watch this filers' thread as well. Thank you.

Hello geo quick question do you know which centers approve what visas is that in you daily updates cause I follow them all the time I have seen someone with the same date as me got approved but I didn't I was wondering if it was because it was a different center @geowrian

[geowrian 22,337]

1 minute ago, amillimo said:

Hello geo quick question do you know which centers approve what visas is that in you daily updates cause I follow them all the time I have seen someone with the same date as me got approved but I didn't I was wondering if it was because it was a different center @geowrian

All I-129Fs are processed through CSC currently. Very rarely, a case gets transferred elsewhere for various reasons, but the default is they all go to CSC now.

[amillimo 31]

Thank you so much for answering my question so quickly @geowrian I know this is going to be a stupid question but what is CSC