Professor Who Predicted Last Five Elections Says Trump Has 87% Chance of Winning

[jg121783 3,921]

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OSNosmQYPs0&feature=youtu.be

[jg121783 3,921]

The only time this guy was wrong was the 2000 election when he said Al Gore would win but he was correct about the popular vote.

[Harpa Timsah 13,258]

WOW! If he is so good, why is he a nobody "Professor" on youtube instead of capitalizing on his amazing prescience?

[Teddy B 17,252]

What are Trump's odds if I drive around and steal all of the Trump signs I see?

WOW! If he is so good, why is he a nobody "Professor" on youtube instead of capitalizing on his amazing prescience?

It's the Democratic machine keeping him down.

[jg121783 3,921]

WOW! If he is so good, why is he a nobody "Professor" on youtube instead of capitalizing on his amazing prescience?

The accuracy of his past predictions speaks for it's self. He is just going by the numbers to make his predictions. Numbers don't lie or show bias.

[CarlosAndSveta 808]

http://election.scholastic.com/vote/

Since 1940, the results of the student vote have usually mirrored the outcome of the presidential election. In fact, Scholastic readers have been wrong only twice. In 1948, kids picked Thomas E. Dewey over President Harry S. Truman. And in 1960, more students voted for Richard M. Nixon than for the eventual president, John F. Kennedy.

This years student election picks Hillary Clinton the winner.

[Teddy B 17,252]

http://election.scholastic.com/vote/

This years student election picks Hillary Clinton the winner.

No doubt that was rigged Carlos, c'mon man.

[Rob L 3,811]

The accuracy of his past predictions speaks for it's self. He is just going by the numbers to make his predictions. Numbers don't lie or show bias.

I dont think he is biased, I think he is wrong to predict based on performance in the primaries. We will see.

[jg121783 3,921]

http://election.scholastic.com/vote/

This years student election picks Hillary Clinton the winner.

There is a big difference between some kids voting in a popularity contest and a statistical analysis.

[Harpa Timsah 13,258]

There is a big difference between some kids voting in a popularity contest and a statistical analysis.

Ah, so what make you of this reputable statistician? http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

[Rob L 3,811]

Ah, so what make you of this reputable statistician? http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Silly Harpa

Nate Silver is under 40 , college educated and lives on the east coast. With those type of elitist credentials of course he is skewing the numbers. Besides, because right of center folks are logical then left of center folks are by definition illogical and cannot be trusted with numbers.

[Harpa Timsah 13,258]

Silly Harpa

Nate Silver is under 40 , college educated and lives on the east coast. With those type of elitist credentials of course he is skewing the numbers. Besides, because right of center folks are logical then left of center folks are by definition illogical and cannot be trusted with numbers.

Ah, thanks for setting me straight. Trix are for kids!

[jg121783 3,921]

Ah, so what make you of this reputable statistician? http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Who created that website and what is their track record of predicting previous elections?

[CarlosAndSveta 808]

Who created that website and what is their track record of predicting previous elections?

You haven't heard of Nate Silver's 538 website because you live in the Fox News bubble.

[jg121783 3,921]

You haven't heard of Nate Silver's 538 website because you live in the Fox News bubble.

Actually I don't even own a idiot box and never watch Fox news. I don't trust the corporate media whether they are left or right leaning. I am neither a Republican or democrat and I tend not to participate in the false left right paradigm. No I have never heard of Nate Silver hence the reason I asked what his track record of predicting previous elections is. I find it funny that when a leftist objects to something you say they accuse you of watching Fox news and when a right winger objects they accuse you of watching MSNBC or something to that effect. Edited October 24, 2016 by jg121783