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Michael2017

IR-1 / CR-1 Visa Denial Rate

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Filed: F-2A Visa Country: Germany
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There are companies out there like RapidVisa that claim 99%+ success rates with IR-1/CR-1 visas.

Are those services having superior success rate, or is the normal approval rate of this visa type 99%+?

Are there any statistics out there to see the normal approval rate?

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Depends.

I've worked with marketing for several years. I can tell you it CAN be skewed in their favor. Could be 99% of cases THEY ACCEPT. Meaning if it is a difficult case with many red flags that require waivers, they can refer them to a lawyer instead of taking it on themselves.

But it is no different than what we do here on VJ. I have seen many many cases of where the poster was told that they just were not eligible for a visa. Or that their case was too complicated and was advised to get competent lawyer.

I haven't heard anything bad about Rapidvisa but I and a great deal of other VJ members will tell you that if you have a straight forward case (legitimate/bonafide marriage with sufficient proof) then lawyers and agencies are needed. You can save your money and do it on your own.

“When starting an immigration journey, the best advice is to understand that sacrifices have to be made... whether it is time, money, or separation; or a combination of all.” - Unlockable

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Filed: F-2A Visa Country: Germany
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Thanks, I found this thread here, but the links are not working anymore. Not sure If just I cant find those statistics anymore, or if they have been removed. I only find how many visas are issued, not how many were denied:

http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/253246-k-1-visa-approval-rate-95/

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Are you looking for denial rates for Rapdvisa or the USCIS?

Try searching here: https://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/law-and-policy/statistics/non-immigrant-visas.html

Keep in mind that Rapidvisa is not in any way affiliated to US immigration. Their claims is based on their own business.

“When starting an immigration journey, the best advice is to understand that sacrifices have to be made... whether it is time, money, or separation; or a combination of all.” - Unlockable

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Filed: F-2A Visa Country: Germany
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Ok, So am I right to assume, that a legit CR1 petition from a real couple with lots of bona fide proof, and all other requirements in place (e.g. income, health, police certificates) has a something like a 99.5% approval rate, especially if from a visa waiver country considered low fraud?

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Russia
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Yes, JHF hits on good point. There's a difference between a denial and a 221(g) request for further evidence/missing documents. In general, I'd say it's extremely hard to put a statistical percentage on something like this due to the variables involved.

There are also common reasons for denials. As I've learned on this site, a previous history of drug use, even if it happened only once, will definitely increase your chances of denial. We can debate about whether or not that makes any sense/is discriminatory, but the reality is it seems to be one of the most common reasons for denials. Needless to say any other kind of prior criminal record will contribute to the denial factor in the end.

Denial rates also tend to be higher at certain Embassies/countries than others. Again, we can argue about whether or not that's discrimination, but it's just the reality. Some places are going to scrutinize more than others.

And then lastly, the individual discretion of the CO. CO's, as human beings, have the ability to make mistakes. You could be denied just because they don't feel the relationship is legitimate. Rare, but it's happened that some unlucky people end up getting denied merely because for whatever reason their case didn't convince the CO. That also works in the opposite way: CO's approve people who are actually just using immigration for a green card.

I think everyone here is paranoid about getting denied, especially if you have anything which could be remotely considered a red flag. If I were you, I wouldn't look at it like "Yes, I'm going to be approved because I'm from a low fraud country/don't have red flags/etc!" I'd just do the best I can preparing my case and hope for the best, but be prepared for any bumps along the way.

🇷🇺 CR-1 via DCF (Dec 2016-Jun 2017) & I-751 ROC (Apr 2019-Oct 2019)🌹

Spoiler

Info about my DCF Moscow* experience here and here

26-Jul-2016: Married abroad in Russia 👩‍❤️‍👨 See guide here
21-Dec-2016: I-130 filed at Moscow USCIS field office*
29-Dec-2016: I-130 approved! Yay! 🎊 

17-Jan-2017: Case number received

21-Mar-2017: Medical Exam completed

24-Mar-2017: Interview at Embassy - approved! 🎉

29-Mar-2017: CR-1 Visa received (via mail)

02-Apr-2017: USCIS Immigrant (GC) Fee paid

28-Jun-2017: Port of Entry @ PDX 🛩️

21-Jul-2017: No SSN after three weeks; applied in person at the SSA

22-Jul-2017: GC arrived in the mail 📬

31-Jul-2017: SSN arrived via mail, hurrah!

 

*NOTE: The USCIS Field Office in Moscow is now CLOSED as of February 28th, 2019.

 

Removal of Conditions - MSC Service Center

 28-Jun-2019: Conditional GC expires

30-Mar-2019: Eligible to apply for ROC

01-Apr-2019: ROC in the mail to Phoenix AZ lockbox! 📫

03-Apr-2019: ROC packet delivered to lockbox

09-Apr-2019: USCIS cashed check

09-Apr-2019: Case number received via text - MSC 📲

12-Apr-2019: Extension letter arrives via mail

19-Apr-2019: Biometrics letter arrives via mail

30-Apr-2019: Biometrics appointment at local office

26-Jun-2019: Case ready to be scheduled for interview 

04-Sep-2019: Interview was scheduled - letter to arrive in mail

09-Sep-2019: Interview letter arrived in the mail! ✉️

17-Oct-2019: Interview scheduled @ local USCIS  

18-Oct-2019: Interview cancelled & notice ordered*

18-Oct-2019: Case was approved! 🎉

22-Oct-2019: Card was mailed to me 📨

23-Oct-2019: Card was picked by USPS 

25-Oct-2019: 10 year GC Card received in mail 📬

 

*I don't understand this status because we DID have an interview!

 

🇺🇸 N-400 Application for Naturalization (Apr 2020-Jun 2021) 🛂

Spoiler

Filed during Covid-19 & moved states 1 month after filing

30-Mar-2020: N-400 early filing window opens!

01-Apr-2020: Filed N-400 online 💻 

02-Apr-2020: NOA 1 - Receipt No. received online 📃

07-Apr-2020: NOA 1 - Receipt No. received via mail

05-May-2020: Moved to another state, filed AR-11 online

05-May-2020: Application transferred to another USCIS field office for review ➡️

15-May-2020: AR-11 request to change address completed

16-Jul-2020: Filed non-receipt inquiry due to never getting confirmation that case was transferred to new field office

15-Oct-2020: Received generic response to non-receipt inquiry, see full response here

10-Feb-2021: Contacted senator's office for help with USCIS

12-Feb-2021: Received canned response from senator's office that case is within processing time 😡

16-Feb-2021: Contacted other senator's office for help with USCIS - still no biometrics

19-Feb-2021: Biometrics reuse notice - canned response from other senator's office 🌐

23-Feb-2021: Interview scheduled - notice to come in the mail

25-Feb-2021: Biometrics reuse notice arrives via mail

01-Mar-2021: Interview notice letter arrives via mail  ✉️ 

29-Mar-2021: Passed interview at local office! Oath Ceremony to be scheduled

13-Apr-2021: Oath Ceremony notice was mailed

04-May-2021: Oath Ceremony scheduled 🎆 Unable to attend due to illness

04-May-2021: Mailed request to reschedule Oath to local office

05-May-2021: "You did not attend your Oath Ceremony" - notice to come in the mail

06-May-2021: Oath Ceremony will be scheduled, date TBA

12-May-2021: Oath Ceremony re-scheduled for June 3rd, then de-scheduled same day 😡 

25-May-2021: New Oath Ceremony notice was mailed

16-Jun-2021: Oath Ceremony scheduled 🎆 - DONE!!

17-Jun-2021: Certificate of Naturalization issued

 

🎆 Members new and old: don't forget to fill in your VJ timeline! 🎇 https://www.visajourney.com/timeline/

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I think the majority of denials are cases where the person has NO possible path to immigration due to drug use, certain crimes, material misrep - the kind of stuff where even if you were married for years and living together, etc, etc would not make any difference. If you don't fit the requirements for US immigration because of your character, there's nothing you can do. Things that cause 221(g)s are fixable. Even 'not enough evidence of bona fide relationship' is fixable with a few more visits. I sometimes think a denial is a test to see if the couple comes back fighting or whether they give up. A true and genuine couple would carry on fighting to be together.

My husband has been denied a spousal visa from the UK with a lifetime ban due to his criminal record. In truth, we should never have bothered applying for him because I read the requirements and saw that anyone who has been sentenced to 3 years in prison has no chance but we thought/hoped they would take pity on us and make an exception. We quickly learnt that immigration has no shades of grey - you either qualify or you don't. His denial had nothing to do with being from a high-fraud or low-fraud country (I would imagine the US is seen as a low-fraud country for the UK) but based on his poor decisions in the past. There's nothing that can be done about that. We can't erase it.

Timeline in brief:

Married: September 27, 2014

I-130 filed: February 5, 2016

NOA1: February 8, 2016 Nebraska

NOA2: July 21, 2016

Interview: December 6, 2016 London

POE: December 19, 2016 Las Vegas

N-400 filed: September 30, 2019

Interview: March 22, 2021 Seattle

Oath: March 22, 2021 COVID-style same-day oath

 

Now a US citizen!

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OP,

Follow the tips on this website on gathering the evidence for your marriage and you should be fine.

I sometimes think a denial is a test to see if the couple comes back fighting or whether they give up. A true and genuine couple would carry on fighting to be together.

I'm glad you mentioned this because I have thought of this about how Ghana is handling K1 visas.

“When starting an immigration journey, the best advice is to understand that sacrifices have to be made... whether it is time, money, or separation; or a combination of all.” - Unlockable

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I'm glad you mentioned this because I have thought of this about how Ghana is handling K1 visas.

Yes, it was exactly Ghana that I was thinking of. Almost as if the COs are saying 'You reckon you're genuinely in love? Let me put that to the test and you show me how serious you are about this. I'll deny you and let's see if you come back with a CR-1 or disappear altogether.'

Timeline in brief:

Married: September 27, 2014

I-130 filed: February 5, 2016

NOA1: February 8, 2016 Nebraska

NOA2: July 21, 2016

Interview: December 6, 2016 London

POE: December 19, 2016 Las Vegas

N-400 filed: September 30, 2019

Interview: March 22, 2021 Seattle

Oath: March 22, 2021 COVID-style same-day oath

 

Now a US citizen!

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I know for a high fraud country like Dominican Republic the approval rate is 87% (if I'm not mistaken) I can't imagine any visa company having a success rate of 99% but I do know from experience that the whole process for me and my husband was pretty easy and the folks at vj have been extremely helpful

I love my husband ?‍?‍?

Married June 2016

Por siempre y para siempre Mi amor

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Also me and my husband have known each other for 3 years, dated 8 months and married for 4 months. We front loaded our application with conversations since February, close to 100 photos and some conversation between me and my family. We gave a lot more evidence than we needed to but we worried about being in high fraud country. He barely knows English and I barely know Spanish but we're learning each other's language so of course that was a worry also and we use google translate for most of our conversations but The interview was extremely easy they didn't really talk to my husband just me. They did ask about how we communicate and the co was satisfied with our answer. We're waiting on his visa now

I love my husband ?‍?‍?

Married June 2016

Por siempre y para siempre Mi amor

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Ok, So am I right to assume, that a legit CR1 petition from a real couple with lots of bona fide proof, and all other requirements in place (e.g. income, health, police certificates) has a something like a 99.5% approval rate, especially if from a visa waiver country considered low fraud?

A rate like this isn't a useful metric because every case is judged on its own merits. If one year the denial rate goes up or down it only has to do with the cases that are presented.

If you are a real couple, if you are not otherwise barred from the US (for crimes or drug use or communicable disease), and if you can do all the forms the right way (have a suitable sponsor, etc), you will not be denied.

The surprise denials that you hear of most often are for suspicions of romance/ immigration fraud, where one person pretends to be in a relationship to get to the US.

So the answer to your question is if a person has all those the things you mention the approval rate is 100%.

AOS for my husband
8/17/10: INTERVIEW DAY (day 123) APPROVED!!

ROC:
5/23/12: Sent out package
2/06/13: APPROVED!

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ukraine
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There are companies out there like RapidVisa that claim 99%+ success rates with IR-1/CR-1 visas.

Are those services having superior success rate, or is the normal approval rate of this visa type 99%+?

Are there any statistics out there to see the normal approval rate?

If you've done everything correctly, if you didn't lie about anything, if you haven't broken any laws, if you meet all the requirements, you will be approved.

Success rates by companies are not verifiable and have little meaning.

People are too paranoid about getting a denial.

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