Jump to content

93 posts in this topic

Recommended Posts

Posted

Just in case it is needed ...

Method 1: Estimation

  1. Estimate the (filled) volume of the jar. In most cases, the container will be approximately a regular shape - spherical, cuboidal, etc. This volume can be estimated with reasonable accuracy.
  2. Estimate the volume of one bean. Considering the irregular shape of the beans, this may seem like a difficult task, but is pretty easily done. Fill a glass with water to the brim. Immerse a jelly-bean. Measure the volume of water before and after the immersion. The difference is the volume of a jelly-bean. Repeat with 5 or 6 different beans, and take the median/mean for best results.
  3. Estimate the packing fraction of beans in a large container. This is a difficult step. The only way I can think of is using a smaller container and measuring it out. The problem is, that the packing fraction is significantly affected by edge effect. So, while you may be able to ignore these effects in a very large container (like the one we're guessing for), you probably can't, for a smaller container that you can afford to fill.

    Here's one work-around: Do the experiment with two different sized, smaller containers. That way, you obtain two equations in two variables. A practical way to do this would be to assume that the outermost layer, of thickness 1" has a different, packing fraction, p1, while the 'main' body has a larger, also uniform packing fraction, p2.

    From these,(p1*(Volume of outer layer) + p2*(Volume of inner section))/(Volume of 1 bean) = number of beans.

    If you can do this experiment with two different sized/shaped containers, the only unknowns remaining should be p1 and p2. Solve the two linear equations simultaneously, for p1 and p2.

  4. Finally, Estimate the number of jelly beans in the big container as p2*(Estimated volume of container)/(Measured volume of 1 bean).

Method 2: Surveying

It has been observed that in such problems, wisdom of the crowds happens to be extremely applicable, and give a very accurate answer[1][2]

This idea involves asking as many random people as you can find to come up with an educated guess, and averaging all the answers. 'Wisdom of the crowds' is an idea that says that the collective wisdom of all of the people you ask, is likely to be more accurate thanany one of the people. So,

  1. Simply go ahead and ask as many people as you can, to guess how many beans are there in the jar.
  2. This step is optional, but makes the results mathematically more sound.

    Trim the outliers. That is, ignore the highest (say) 5% of the guesses, and the lowest 5% of the guesses.

  3. Take the mean of the rest of the numbers. That's your estimate.

That was good. You got two ones tonight

I never have paid much attention to the +1 thing. So I go and look at mine tonight. I got several +1's from names I have never seen posting in Chest. A question for both Ditches.

Do you all think a lot of people read all this hot air and Tom foolery, but never post ?

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
Posted

That was good. You got two ones tonight

I never have paid much attention to the +1 thing. So I go and look at mine tonight. I got several +1's from names I have never seen posting in Chest. A question for both Ditches.

Do you all think a lot of people read all this hot air and Tom foolery, but never post ?

They are probably dead registered members still posting...creeps me out.

The content available on a site dedicated to bringing folks to America should not be promoting racial discord, euro-supremacy, discrimination based on religion , exclusion of groups from immigration based on where they were born, disenfranchisement of voters rights based on how they might vote.

horsey-change.jpg?w=336&h=265

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
Posted

I think you should show a Platinum card to be able to post

I have the $55.00 in nickles ready to go..just tell me where to send the money for Platinum status

The content available on a site dedicated to bringing folks to America should not be promoting racial discord, euro-supremacy, discrimination based on religion , exclusion of groups from immigration based on where they were born, disenfranchisement of voters rights based on how they might vote.

horsey-change.jpg?w=336&h=265

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: United Kingdom
Timeline
Posted

That was good. You got two ones tonight

I never have paid much attention to the +1 thing. So I go and look at mine tonight. I got several +1's from names I have never seen posting in Chest. A question for both Ditches.

Do you all think a lot of people read all this hot air and Tom foolery, but never post ?

What about the anonymous plus ones?..., shivers.

Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
Timeline
Posted
  1. the outermost layer, of thickness 1" has a different, packing fraction, p1, while the 'main' body has a larger, also uniform packing fraction, p2.

    From these,(p1*(Volume of outer layer) + p2*(Volume of inner section))/(Volume of 1 bean) = number of beans.

    If you can do this experiment with two different sized/shaped containers, the only unknowns remaining should be p1 and p2. Solve the two linear equations simultaneously, for p1 and p2.

  2. Finally, Estimate the number of jelly beans in the big container as p2*(Estimated volume of container)/(Measured volume of 1 bean).

English-only* outside the regional forums! Reported!!!

*Quoted material appears to be Algebra, the national language of Algeria

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

Filed: Timeline
Posted

Uh huh. Doesn't happen. Oh wait. It does. Just not often reported on.

http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2016/05/23/cbs2-investigation-uncovers-votes-being-cast-from-grave-year-after-year/

Let me guess, 46,000 illegal voters isn't an issue with you?

http://www.discoverthenetworks.org/viewSubCategory.asp?id=2216

1.8 million dead people still registered as voters.

http://www.npr.org/2012/02/14/146827471/study-1-8-million-dead-people-still-registered-to-vote

It may not be prevalent, but even one illegal vote is two too many. Any sane person can see that.

Not one case of in-person voter fraud in all your stories. Instead, these cases talk about voter registration issues and lack of updates to the voter rolls. Voter ID laws address none of these issues. They are designed to address a kind of voter fraud that simply does not exist. Keep digging and report back with relevant fiundings. This one was a blank.

Posted

I do agree with the part in bold. In fact, I also agree with Stay Woke that it should be free. At the same time I strongly believe everyone should present a photo ID in order to vote. Again, it should be issued for free, as it is in Israel and many countries across the world. In Israel, Germany, The Netherlands and some other countries photo ids are separate from drivers licenses. I think we can't pick and choose what we want to point out that is in place in many countries other than the US(such as the health care and maternity leave discussions of late) but ignore something else that exists in most countries which is the requirement to present a photo ID in order to vote, including the countries mentioned above, as well as other countries in Europe, as well as Canada and Brazil.

Ahhhh...priorities. Wonderful word. There really is an issue with some people choosing to smoke or drink instead of spending it on something useful. So many people complain they can't afford to eat healthy yet they spend $300 a month or more on cigarettes and then some more on beer. We have neighbors here that smoke at least 2 packs of cigs a day each, and drink at least one six pack of beer. A few months ago their cat was dying of cancer. The poor thing was suffering and screaming in their house for 4 days because they couldn't "afford" the $85 to put it down, yet they could still afford their cancer sticks and six packs. Marvelous how that works. Had we known at the time we would have just given it to them because my wife hates letting animals suffer, but they didn't even bother asking, we only found out several days after they buried it in the yard.

I have no problem with using an ID, and I agree with the both of you. My only problem is in the obtaining of one. If a fraudulent vote is one too many, a person unable to vote because of being 'stuck in the system' and 'unable' to obtain an ID due to confounding state law is also one person unable to vote too many. There are examples of this all over the country (whether it is a red or blue state makes no difference actually), for some it might be the cost (thus yes it should be free) but for the majority it's the circular logic and poor language written into the law that makes obtaining an ID nearly impossible. I don't feel fraudulent voting provides a grave threat to our country or voting system (there are worse corrupt things that are a threat to that right now). Statistics have shown, even coming from conservative think tanks, it has a negligible effect. But if some feel it is a problem, we should be careful of how we solve that problem in a manner that doesn't cause harm. There should be no reason why a modern country cannot solve such issues, and our backward approach makes no sense to me. What are we as a nation afraid of?

Cat probably got cancer because of their habit, sad to say. But pets certainly can get just as much cancer in a smoking household.

Our Journey Timeline  - Immigration and the Health Exchange Price of Love in the UK Thinking of Returning to UK?

 

First met: 12/31/04 - Engaged: 9/24/09
Filed I-129F: 10/4/14 - Packet received: 10/7/14
NOA 1 email + ARN assigned: 10/10/14 (hard copy 10/17/14)
Touched on website (fixed?): 12/9/14 - Poked USCIS: 4/1/15
NOA 2 email: 5/4/15 (hard copy 5/11/15)
Sent to NVC: 5/8/15 - NVC received + #'s assigned: 5/15/15 (estimated)
NVC sent: 5/19/15 - London received/ready: 5/26/15
Packet 3: 5/28/15 - Medical: 6/16/15
Poked London 7/1/15 - Packet 4: 7/2/15
Interview: 7/30/15 - Approved!
AP + Issued 8/3/15 - Visa in hand (depot): 8/6/15
POE: 8/27/15

Wedding: 9/30/15

Filed I-485, I-131, I-765: 11/7/15

Packet received: 11/9/15

NOA 1 txt/email: 11/15/15 - NOA 1 hardcopy: 11/19/15

Bio: 12/9/15

EAD + AP approved: 1/25/16 - EAD received: 2/1/16

RFE for USCIS inability to read vax instructions: 5/21/16 (no e-notification & not sent from local office!)

RFE response sent: 6/7/16 - RFE response received 6/9/16

AOS approved/card in production: 6/13/16  

NOA 2 hardcopy + card sent 6/17/16

Green Card received: 6/18/16

USCIS 120 day reminder notice: 2/22/18

Filed I-751: 5/2/18 - Packet received: 5/4/18

NOA 1:  5/29/18 (12 mo ext) 8/13/18 (18 mo ext)  - Bio: 6/27/18

Transferred: Potomac Service Center 3/26/19

Approved/New Card Produced status: 4/25/19 - NOA2 hardcopy 4/29/19

10yr Green Card Received: 5/2/19 with error >_<

N400 : 7/16/23 - Oath : 10/19/23

 

 

 

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted

Cat probably got cancer because of their habit, sad to say. But pets certainly can get just as much cancer in a smoking household.

Actually in this particular case I believe it was just her time, old age...I think she was like 19. They didn't actually smoke in the house(shocking) because the mom wouldn't let them(she was the only non smoker), so they would step outside to the porch, plus the cat was free to go outdoors too(but in the winter of course she usually spent her time in the house). It is a house with a widowed mom and two unmarried brothers(and sometimes more when the rest of the family{2+ other brothers plus some others} come to stay there for days or weeks on end).

09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Posted

I disagree with court findings when they don't make sense. I am not now, nor have I ever been, a part of the "sheeple".

I said a retired military ID is not common because there are not all that many retired vets compared to the overall population.

But thanks for confirming what I already knew, that you DO possess all of those IDs. Several which prove you are who you say you are. Had to have them to get married, didn't you? Why is that? Why does buying alcohol or cigarettes, or getting married, require proof of who you are, but not voting? That's my point, and I think down deep inside, you agree with me, but you won't admit it. Because for your WHOLE LIFE, you have had to carry an ID to prove you are you. As it is in MANY countries, and as it SHOULD BE in the US. That is the premise we are discussing.

Now, do I think it should cost $35 to obtain a state ID? No. That's ridiculous. Anything over $10 is too much, IMO. If it costs a state more than $5 to generate an ID, then the government should step up and subsidize them. (And I am just as good with $Free.99, except that it DOES take time and resources to generate an ID; but if the federal folks want to pony up those fees, then great!) That way, everyone has equal access to said ID. And without it, one should NOT be able to vote, get married, buy a gun, buy alcohol, etc. It should be standardized.

My comments betray nothing except your own stubbornness to agree with me. You have an ID, your ex wife (from another country) had to have an ID, your current wife has an ID... Why do you resist everyone having one?

If by "doing homework", you mean posting links that others before you have done all the work, then you are falling WAY behind LIB. Yet you (and several other MDL folks here) refuse to give him an ounce of credit.

I read your article. More than once. Doesn't mean I agree with it. Doesn't mean it's right. Just means that someone (or three someone's) in a position of power made a decision that may or may not be fair for everyone. Heck, the governor himself says they will appeal the ruling. Seems not everyone agrees with it.

Also interesting to note is that all three of those judges were appointed by Clinton (1) and Obama (2).

Ill knock both of these out in one. If you say racism exists(which you've said it does and that I should just overcome it) why does this not make sense to you?

“Hate is too great a burden to bear. It injures the hater more than it injures the hated.” – Coretta Scott King

"Oppressive language does more than represent violence; it is violence; does more than represent the limits of knowledge; it limits knowledge." -Toni Morrison

He who passively accepts evil is as much involved in it as he who helps to perpetrate it.

Martin Luther King, Jr.

President-Obama-jpg.jpg

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
Posted

Feline lives matter

Even this guy..?

The content available on a site dedicated to bringing folks to America should not be promoting racial discord, euro-supremacy, discrimination based on religion , exclusion of groups from immigration based on where they were born, disenfranchisement of voters rights based on how they might vote.

horsey-change.jpg?w=336&h=265

 

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
- Back to Top -

Important Disclaimer: Please read carefully the Visajourney.com Terms of Service. If you do not agree to the Terms of Service you should not access or view any page (including this page) on VisaJourney.com. Answers and comments provided on Visajourney.com Forums are general information, and are not intended to substitute for informed professional medical, psychiatric, psychological, tax, legal, investment, accounting, or other professional advice. Visajourney.com does not endorse, and expressly disclaims liability for any product, manufacturer, distributor, service or service provider mentioned or any opinion expressed in answers or comments. VisaJourney.com does not condone immigration fraud in any way, shape or manner. VisaJourney.com recommends that if any member or user knows directly of someone involved in fraudulent or illegal activity, that they report such activity directly to the Department of Homeland Security, Immigration and Customs Enforcement. You can contact ICE via email at Immigration.Reply@dhs.gov or you can telephone ICE at 1-866-347-2423. All reported threads/posts containing reference to immigration fraud or illegal activities will be removed from this board. If you feel that you have found inappropriate content, please let us know by contacting us here with a url link to that content. Thank you.
×
×
  • Create New...