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South Carolina results 2016: Jeb Bush quits the race after disappointing finish

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Jeb Bush has finally admitted what's been obvious for months: Republican voters don't want him to be their presidential nominee.

So, after an embarrassing finish behind the top three candidates in the South Carolina primary, Bush announced that he was withdrawing from the race.

"The people of Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina have spoken," a choked-up Bush said. "And I really respect their decision. So tonight, I am suspending my campaign."

Bush's withdrawal helps clear up what some pundits have referred to as the "establishment lane" of the GOP primary race, in a way that seems likely to benefit his fellow Floridian, Marco Rubio.

With Bush's exit, he and his well-funded Super PAC will no longer be spending tens of millions of dollars on ads trashing Rubio. And his connected endorsees and fundraisers are also now up for grabs.

When it comes to actual voters, though, Bush's withdrawal may make only a small difference. His support was so negligible that he was only in the low single digits in national polls. And before tonight's embarrassing defeat, he finished in sixth place in Iowa and in fourth in New Hampshire. So it's clear his exit has been in the cards for quite some time.

Bush was thought to be the party favorite. But the party has changed.

When Jeb Bush made clear that he would likely run back in December 2014, it quickly became apparent that he was the favorite of much of the moneyed, lobbyist-connected GOP donor class. This led many to deem him the Republican frontrunner. And indeed, he did spend most of the first half of 2015 in first place in the polls — though his peak in the HuffPost Pollster average was a mere 15 percent.

A funny thing happened along the way, though — actual Republican elected officials never rallied to Bush's side.

According to FiveThirtyEight's endorsement tracker, Bush was never endorsed by a single sitting Republican governor. And only five senators and a handful of congressmen (many of whom were from Florida) publicly backed him.

The hesitancy of GOP elites to rally to Bush's side shows how much the Republican Party has changed since his brother's presidency. Jeb has been out of politics since early 2007. So, effectively, he missed the economic crisis, the rise of the Tea Party, the battles against Obamacare, the various showdowns on the debt ceiling and government funding, and the rebellion of the GOP base against its elites' immigration reformism.

In the interim, the wave elections of 2010 and 2014 have brought a new crop of Republican elected officials to power — officials who owe little or nothing to the Bush family, but who have learned that they'd better make sure not to get on the wrong side of their party's base.

And that party's base had no use whatsoever for John Ellis "Jeb" Bush. His support for immigration reform — which he, unlike Marco Rubio, never abandoned — and his ties to the GOP establishment made him an ill fit for this year's primary electorate, which has seemed to be in an anti-establishment mood.

Rubio's presence in the race was a huge problem for Bush from the start

But even as Donald Trump and other outsiders surged in the polls, Bush's team thought he still had a path to victory. That path involved knocking out the other establishment-friendly candidates in the race, so he could consolidate support among the party's more mainstream voters — and then, hopefully, win a head-to-head matchup with Trump or Ted Cruz.

The problem with that was named Marco Rubio.

From the start, it was clear that Rubio shared many of Bush's political strengths, and had little of his baggage.

Bush hoped to use optimistic rhetoric to sell conservative principles, but Rubio does the same — and he's much more charismatic and a much better speaker than Bush.
Bush might have hoped that his Spanish-language fluency and Mexican-American wife could help him appeal to Latino voters — but Rubio actually is Latino.
Bush hoped to argue that he's more electable than Trump or Cruz — but how could he convincingly argue that nominating a Bush against Hillary Clinton would be better than nominating a young, dynamic, fresh-faced Marco Rubio?

In addition to all this, Rubio has done a better job at appealing to both the party's mainstream voters than Bush has — and he's also demonstrated potential appeal to its conservative voters, as a crossover candidate. For instance, Rubio managed to win 23 percent support in the Iowa caucuses, while Bush couldn't even pull 3 percent. He's just a more appealing candidate.

The total failure of Bush's campaign shows money can't buy everything

In retrospect, the Bush 2016 operation was most notable for raising a massive amount of money — money that utterly failed to improve the candidate's prospects.

When Bush's team announced in July of last year that an affiliated Super PAC had raised over $103 million — a massive and unprecedented sum for a primary — many of his rivals, including Hillary Clinton, were reportedly terrified.

But it turns out they shouldn't have been. Donald Trump surpassed Bush in national polls that very month, and would never fall behind him again. Then Ben Carson shot past Bush. Then Marco Rubio did. Then Ted Cruz did. And now even John Kasich has.

Naturally, Bush's Super PAC started spending tens of millions of dollars on ads promoting Jeb and savaging his rivals. But it was to no avail — the polls barely budged. It seemed like no amount of money could convince Republican voters to give Jeb Bush a shot.

Eventually, Bush tried to rejuvenate his campaign by taking on the new frontrunner, Donald Trump (who had memorably dubbed Bush a "low-energy person"). But nothing he tried there seemed to work either. He seemed to get the better of Trump in a few later debate exchanges, but Trump remained at the top of the polls, and Bush remained near the bottom.

It's an ignominious end to the Bush campaign — and perhaps the Bush family's political prominence overall. Both Republican politicians and Republican voters have simply decided to turn the page. As Marco Rubio likes to say: "Yesterday is over."

http://www.vox.com/2016/2/20/11079780/south-carolina-results-jeb-bush-quits

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Ok, I take it back - I think Trump will win the GOP nomination.

torn between Sanders and Trump? Not a fan of Trump but a no brainer for me. Hint: I don't feel the bern.

But I think it will be Clinton vs Trump - and I think he's going to crush her.

But what do I know.

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Bush = good riddance.

Just voted early in the Texas primary...

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Good Lord - what's the Donor Class going to do now ?

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Good Lord - what's the Donor Class going to do now ?

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Yes, it looks like Trump may win the GOP although there a a few more primaries left that will tell us a lot more. I am not a big fan of Trump and some of his social leanings, but if it comes down to him, I would definitely take him over either of the Democrats. Both seem to be running a who is more socialists/progressive, and history tells us Socialism does not work (Venezuela, Soviet Bloc, North Korea, Plymouth Colony, etc., etc., etc.). Trump may be liberal on social issues, but he does truly seem to be a capitalist.

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Yes, it looks like Trump may win the GOP although there a a few more primaries left that will tell us a lot more. I am not a big fan of Trump and some of his social leanings, but if it comes down to him, I would definitely take him over either of the Democrats. Both seem to be running a who is more socialists/progressive, and history tells us Socialism does not work (Venezuela, Soviet Bloc, North Korea, Plymouth Colony, etc., etc., etc.). Trump may be liberal on social issues, but he does truly seem to be a capitalist.

Yes...Hillary and Bernie want to make us exactly like the Soviet Block and North Korea.

and those illegal immigrants with the Plymouth Colony...don't get me started

The content available on a site dedicated to bringing folks to America should not be promoting racial discord, euro-supremacy, discrimination based on religion , exclusion of groups from immigration based on where they were born, disenfranchisement of voters rights based on how they might vote.

horsey-change.jpg?w=336&h=265

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Yes...Hillary and Bernie want to make us exactly like the Soviet Block and North Korea.

and those illegal immigrants with the Plymouth Colony...don't get me started

One never knows about Hillary. She tends to lean toward the money, but Bernie is an avowed Socialist, so yes, I think he would lead us to the a similar result if his ideas are made reality. Everyone always thinks they have a better plan to implement Socialism, but I have yet to hear it work. Even Denmark is having issues.

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2015/10/15/bernie-sanders-scandinavia-not-socialist-utopia/lUk9N7dZotJRbvn8PosoIN/story.html

Relative to the colonists of Plymouth, I don't think we need to delve into their immigration status to understand their expirment into Socialism failed.

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Yes...Hillary and Bernie want to make us exactly like the Soviet Block and North Korea.

and those illegal immigrants with the Plymouth Colony...don't get me started

LOL at Plymouth colony. That was a grasp at air, no straw involved.

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One never knows about Hillary. She tends to lean toward the money, but Bernie is an avowed Socialist, so yes, I think he would lead us to the a similar result if his ideas are made reality. Everyone always thinks they have a better plan to implement Socialism, but I have yet to hear it work. Even Denmark is having issues.

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2015/10/15/bernie-sanders-scandinavia-not-socialist-utopia/lUk9N7dZotJRbvn8PosoIN/story.html

Relative to the colonists of Plymouth, I don't think we need to delve into their immigration status to understand their expirment into Socialism failed.

FACT CHECK

The failed "Experiment" and eventual revolt from "Socialism" had to with rules imposed by their landlord back in England who wanted their money back from investing in the colony.

“Open field farming was not some kind of communism. All the villagers were tenants of the landlord.”

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Making Haste from Babylon: The Mayflower Pilgrims and Their World: A New History

LOL at Plymouth colony. That was a grasp at air, no straw involved.

LOL at what part? The fact that they settled illegally?

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As a Republican, I can look at the results from the first three states and proclaim, without a doubt, that I still want to shoot myself in the face.

At this point, my dream is that Cruz (the far right lunatic) will win the nomination and that Trump (the narcissist lunatic) will get his feelings hurt and run as an independent. On the other side, I hope that Sanders (the far left lunatic, but I secretly like him) will win the nomination which will prompt Bloomberg (who I don't know but he must be a lunatic) to enter the race as another independent. Four candidates, not a single good one in the bunch, but it would definitely be interesting.

I give up!

 

 

 

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Gonna get interesting as the field tightens.

I am torn between Trump or Sanders

As kooky as this sounds, so am I. They both represent drastic change and I like that. Although I would much prefer Sanders over Trump, Trump has grown on me a bit simply because he speaks what he feels and doesn't back down when called on it, even though a lot of what he says is garbage and simply meant to grab headlines. I think Trump is out to lunch on pretty much everything including foreign policy, but out to lunch in a way that will make other countries think twice before screwing with him (kinda like Putin), that's not such a bad thing. I do like his stance on illegal immigration and I think a wall between Mexico and the US is long overdo.

If by chance Sanders wins the Democratic nomination, he will be my vote in Nov.

If it comes down to Hillary vs Trump, it's 50/50 for me either way. The Hillary e-mail fiasco really took her down a few notches with me. That type of irresponsible behavior is not what I want in our President. I really like the fact that Trump is his own man and isn't owned by any special interest groups, that's very hard to come by these days. Anyone that can bang heads with the Pope and come out on top has to be doing something right.

If it's Hillary vs any other Republican, I will hold my nose and vote Hillary.

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