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VJ's timeline processing estimates question

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Colombia
Timeline

I am a newbie here, just about 2 days old and I want to thank the moderators and users for this great and free website.

I am very excited, my G-1145 worked just fine, today I received my NOA 1 via text message and email, 3 days after I express mailed my I-130 file to Chicago and best of all, it was assigned to California, (faster processing), I am in Atlanta , under Texas Service Center coverage.

I am confused about my timeline processing estimate, it says: Based on timeline data, your I130 may be adjudicated between October 30, 2015 and November 8, 2015. That is between 49 and 59 days after NOA1.

I performed a customized timeline search for IR-1/CR-1 Filtering:Colombia, California Service Center and Bogota US Embassy.

It shows the average time between I-130 NOA-1 and NOA-2 = 126 days.

The average time between I-130 NOA-2 and Interview = 149 days.

That is total of 275 days between NOA-1 and Interview. (Great news, compared with the other service centers)

What does ADJUDICATED mean? Does it mean the aproximate time for I-130 NOA2? If the answer is yes, then why the difference between my timeline estimate (49 to 59 days) and the customized timeline search (126 days)?

CR-1 VISA

STAGE 1: USCIS

CALIFORNIA SERVICE CENTER US EMBASSY BOGOTA

09-08-2015 Express mailed my I-130 package to Chicago Lock-box.

09-11-2015 Received NOA1 via email with a PD of 09-09-2015

09-19-2015 Received I-797C via snail mail. (NOA1)

10-21-2015 My wife came to visit me on a B1/B2. No problems at POE Miami :P

11-04-2015 Received NOA2 via email. (56 days after NOA1)

11-08-2015 My wife ends visit and returns to Colombia to wait for interview :(

11-09-2015 Received I-797 via snail mail. (NOA2)

STAGE 2: NVC

11-16-2015 NVC received our case,(12 days after NOA2).

12-07-2015 Emailed inquiry to NVC to inform them my email. http://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/contact.html

12-08-2015 NVC assigned case and invoice ID number,(34 days after NOA2) Case was assigned after 13:00 PM. I called at 12:30 then at 19:00 PM

12-08-2015 Completed Choice of Agent DS-261

12-09-2015 Received 2 emails with Welcome Letters for my wife and I, they were sent by ASKnvc@state.gov

12-09-2015 AOS bill became available and I paid it. (IN PROCESS)

12-12-2015 Mailed AOS and IV packages.

12-14-2015 Received via email IV bill from ASKnvc@state.gov and paid the IV fee.

12-14-2015 AOS fee updated to PAID

12-15-2015 USPS tracking shows AOS/IV packages were delivered to NVC. Waiting for a SCAN date.

12-16-2015 IV fee updated to PAID and completed DS-260

12-19-2015 Scan Date (45 days after NOA2). I called on 01-13-16 and I was told my scan date is 12-15-15????

01-26-2016 Case complete. (83 days after NOA2)

01-29-2016 Called NVC, I was informed my CO Interview will be on 03-01-2016 at 08:00.

02-02-2016 Received Interview Letter (P4) via email.

02-09-2016 Package picked-up by DHL at 15:29 Waybill 5992952011. CEAC status "IN TRANSIT"

STAGE 3: US Embassy Bogota

02-11-2016 US Embassy Bogota received my package at 10:39.

02-12-2016 CEAC Visa Status changed from "IN TRANSIT" to "READY"

02-24-2016 Lab exams at the clinic and Bio-metrics at the CAS center.

02-25-2016 Medical Exams.

03-01-2016 Interview Date (175 days after I mailed I-130) VISA APPROVED. CEAC status changed to AP

03-02-2016 Paid Immigrant Visa Fee via ELIS account. CEAC status changed to ISSUED

03-03-2016 US Embassy Bogota sends Passport and Visa package via DHL Waybill 2900131780 to Cali.

03-04-2016 My wife picked up at DHL sealed approved IV package and her passport with a stamped I-551 IV Category CR1.

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Colombia
Timeline

I am a newbie here, just about 2 days old and I want to thank the moderators and users for this great and free website.

I am very excited, my G-1145 worked just fine, today I received my NOA 1 via text message and email, 3 days after I express mailed my I-130 file to Chicago and best of all, it was assigned to California, (faster processing), I am in Atlanta , under Texas Service Center coverage.

I am confused about my timeline processing estimate, it says: Based on timeline data, your I130 may be adjudicated between October 30, 2015 and November 8, 2015. That is between 49 and 59 days after NOA1.

I performed a customized timeline search for IR-1/CR-1 Filtering:Colombia, California Service Center and Bogota US Embassy.

It shows the average time between I-130 NOA-1 and NOA-2 = 126 days.

The average time between I-130 NOA-2 and Interview = 149 days.

That is total of 275 days between NOA-1 and Interview. (Great news, compared with the other service centers)

What does ADJUDICATED mean? Does it mean the aproximate time for I-130 NOA2? If the answer is yes, then why the difference between my timeline estimate (49 to 59 days) and the customized timeline search (126 days)?

#1 - For CR1, the average processing time is about 6months looking at user reports. Mine was 6 months on the dot! The website USCIS website suggests it will be 5 months. When you actually call USCIS they will probably tell you 7 months and please call back later............. I took a look at your timeline and I agree, it is pretty odd that they esitmate you will be adjucated so soon. VisaJourney estimates are just that, estimates based off of past reports from other users.

#2 TimeLine searches - When doing a timeline search at the USCIS stage...... Do not use Colombia in the search parameters. Only search CR1 + California service center.

I say this because A) There are several service centers and each of them are on their own progress. Nebraska being backlogged for example will not affect California. B) The country of immigrant does not matter at this point. Colombia,Iraq,Mexico,Africa; they are all on equal footing at this point in the process. Simply to verify that a legitimate marriage took place and the sponsor is in fact able to sponsor someone.

#2a - NVC - When you do finally get to the NVC stage, then you only search with filters: CR1, and Country of immigrant. Do not use USCIS filters..... .....

I say this because A) Uscis service centers are out of the picture at this point and do not matter B) Once NVC completes the case they will wait for the US Embassy to tell them they have an appointment available and only THEN; they will send the package to the US embassy. ( So in this case, embassy scheduling times are different for each embassy )

#3 Adjucation means : "To make a decision"............... To say this differently: "My I-130 petition was adjucated on 7/1/2015 , exactly 6 months after my submission"

#4 Prediction time estimates - Again, I think Visajourney is giving you a bad estimate. Remember that visajourney estimates are Nothing official............... And the estimates they give are based on past-data that is submitted by users filling in their timelines..... I think its also important to note that the USCIS centers process upward of 1/4million application per year ( 250,000 + ) and here on the VisaJourney website you will see only a fraction of those people.... And only a fraction of that already small number fills in their timeline correctly. Which means that "VisaJourney numbers are a very very small sample size of the entire USCIS population", thus the estimates may not be as accurate as we would wish them to be.

Welcome to the forums

Viva Colombia

Edited by Karmalious

PETITION I-130

1/2/2015 - Petition sent to Phoenix Lockbox

1/6/2015 - NOA #1 Receipt

7/1/2015 - NOA #2 Approved

7/10/2015 - Email from Nebraska stating sent the case to NVC

NVC

7/16/15 - Case Received by NVC

7/30/15 - Case number assigned

8/3/15 - DS-261 Agent available

8/4/15 - DS-261 Agent completed

8/4/15 - AOS fee available & paid

8/6/15 - Check cleared the bank & bar-code cover sheet now available

8/13/15 - AOS Packet & IV Packet sent to NVC by priority mail

8/15/15 - IV fee available & paid same day

8/17/15 - NVC received package

8/19/15 - Check cleared the bank & DS-260 available & DS-260 completed!!! ALSO, we received email notification from NVC that they received package on 8/17

- Case completed at NVC

- Case sent to Embassy on this date

EMBASSY

- Embassy received packet

- Wife received Packet 3/4 Instructions

- Medical appointment

- Interview

Point of Entry

- Enter Austin, Texas

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
Timeline

Welcome to the forum. :)

A duplicate of your opening post has been removed from an existing thread in the Site Discussion forum -- we strongly advocate posting just once on a single topic. This helps to keep answers in one place and enable cohesive discussion.

Glad to hear that your G-1145 is working. Good luck in your immigration journey.

Edited to add: Weekend traffic on this site is typically far slower than during the week, which might explain your second posting of your query. We simply have to be more patient on the weekends...

Edited by TBoneTX

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Colombia
Timeline

Thanks Karmalious for your detailed and extensive reply.

Thanks TBoneTX for welcoming me. I promise I will not double post in the future. I did it because I found a more suited thread.

CR-1 VISA

STAGE 1: USCIS

CALIFORNIA SERVICE CENTER US EMBASSY BOGOTA

09-08-2015 Express mailed my I-130 package to Chicago Lock-box.

09-11-2015 Received NOA1 via email with a PD of 09-09-2015

09-19-2015 Received I-797C via snail mail. (NOA1)

10-21-2015 My wife came to visit me on a B1/B2. No problems at POE Miami :P

11-04-2015 Received NOA2 via email. (56 days after NOA1)

11-08-2015 My wife ends visit and returns to Colombia to wait for interview :(

11-09-2015 Received I-797 via snail mail. (NOA2)

STAGE 2: NVC

11-16-2015 NVC received our case,(12 days after NOA2).

12-07-2015 Emailed inquiry to NVC to inform them my email. http://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/contact.html

12-08-2015 NVC assigned case and invoice ID number,(34 days after NOA2) Case was assigned after 13:00 PM. I called at 12:30 then at 19:00 PM

12-08-2015 Completed Choice of Agent DS-261

12-09-2015 Received 2 emails with Welcome Letters for my wife and I, they were sent by ASKnvc@state.gov

12-09-2015 AOS bill became available and I paid it. (IN PROCESS)

12-12-2015 Mailed AOS and IV packages.

12-14-2015 Received via email IV bill from ASKnvc@state.gov and paid the IV fee.

12-14-2015 AOS fee updated to PAID

12-15-2015 USPS tracking shows AOS/IV packages were delivered to NVC. Waiting for a SCAN date.

12-16-2015 IV fee updated to PAID and completed DS-260

12-19-2015 Scan Date (45 days after NOA2). I called on 01-13-16 and I was told my scan date is 12-15-15????

01-26-2016 Case complete. (83 days after NOA2)

01-29-2016 Called NVC, I was informed my CO Interview will be on 03-01-2016 at 08:00.

02-02-2016 Received Interview Letter (P4) via email.

02-09-2016 Package picked-up by DHL at 15:29 Waybill 5992952011. CEAC status "IN TRANSIT"

STAGE 3: US Embassy Bogota

02-11-2016 US Embassy Bogota received my package at 10:39.

02-12-2016 CEAC Visa Status changed from "IN TRANSIT" to "READY"

02-24-2016 Lab exams at the clinic and Bio-metrics at the CAS center.

02-25-2016 Medical Exams.

03-01-2016 Interview Date (175 days after I mailed I-130) VISA APPROVED. CEAC status changed to AP

03-02-2016 Paid Immigrant Visa Fee via ELIS account. CEAC status changed to ISSUED

03-03-2016 US Embassy Bogota sends Passport and Visa package via DHL Waybill 2900131780 to Cali.

03-04-2016 My wife picked up at DHL sealed approved IV package and her passport with a stamped I-551 IV Category CR1.

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  • 1 month later...
Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Colombia
Timeline

Hi Karmalious,

This website is amazingly accurate. I had my doubts on VJ's projections and VJ was right on the money, I received my NOA2 yesterday as they predicted it, within 56 days.

Thanks again for your reply last September 11th.

#1 - For CR1, the average processing time is about 6months looking at user reports. Mine was 6 months on the dot! The website USCIS website suggests it will be 5 months. When you actually call USCIS they will probably tell you 7 months and please call back later............. I took a look at your timeline and I agree, it is pretty odd that they esitmate you will be adjucated so soon. VisaJourney estimates are just that, estimates based off of past reports from other users.

#2 TimeLine searches - When doing a timeline search at the USCIS stage...... Do not use Colombia in the search parameters. Only search CR1 + California service center.

I say this because A) There are several service centers and each of them are on their own progress. Nebraska being backlogged for example will not affect California. B) The country of immigrant does not matter at this point. Colombia,Iraq,Mexico,Africa; they are all on equal footing at this point in the process. Simply to verify that a legitimate marriage took place and the sponsor is in fact able to sponsor someone.

#2a - NVC - When you do finally get to the NVC stage, then you only search with filters: CR1, and Country of immigrant. Do not use USCIS filters..... .....

I say this because A) Uscis service centers are out of the picture at this point and do not matter B) Once NVC completes the case they will wait for the US Embassy to tell them they have an appointment available and only THEN; they will send the package to the US embassy. ( So in this case, embassy scheduling times are different for each embassy )

#3 Adjucation means : "To make a decision"............... To say this differently: "My I-130 petition was adjucated on 7/1/2015 , exactly 6 months after my submission"

#4 Prediction time estimates - Again, I think Visajourney is giving you a bad estimate. Remember that visajourney estimates are Nothing official............... And the estimates they give are based on past-data that is submitted by users filling in their timelines..... I think its also important to note that the USCIS centers process upward of 1/4million application per year ( 250,000 + ) and here on the VisaJourney website you will see only a fraction of those people.... And only a fraction of that already small number fills in their timeline correctly. Which means that "VisaJourney numbers are a very very small sample size of the entire USCIS population", thus the estimates may not be as accurate as we would wish them to be.

Welcome to the forums

Viva Colombia

CR-1 VISA

STAGE 1: USCIS

CALIFORNIA SERVICE CENTER US EMBASSY BOGOTA

09-08-2015 Express mailed my I-130 package to Chicago Lock-box.

09-11-2015 Received NOA1 via email with a PD of 09-09-2015

09-19-2015 Received I-797C via snail mail. (NOA1)

10-21-2015 My wife came to visit me on a B1/B2. No problems at POE Miami :P

11-04-2015 Received NOA2 via email. (56 days after NOA1)

11-08-2015 My wife ends visit and returns to Colombia to wait for interview :(

11-09-2015 Received I-797 via snail mail. (NOA2)

STAGE 2: NVC

11-16-2015 NVC received our case,(12 days after NOA2).

12-07-2015 Emailed inquiry to NVC to inform them my email. http://travel.state.gov/content/visas/en/contact.html

12-08-2015 NVC assigned case and invoice ID number,(34 days after NOA2) Case was assigned after 13:00 PM. I called at 12:30 then at 19:00 PM

12-08-2015 Completed Choice of Agent DS-261

12-09-2015 Received 2 emails with Welcome Letters for my wife and I, they were sent by ASKnvc@state.gov

12-09-2015 AOS bill became available and I paid it. (IN PROCESS)

12-12-2015 Mailed AOS and IV packages.

12-14-2015 Received via email IV bill from ASKnvc@state.gov and paid the IV fee.

12-14-2015 AOS fee updated to PAID

12-15-2015 USPS tracking shows AOS/IV packages were delivered to NVC. Waiting for a SCAN date.

12-16-2015 IV fee updated to PAID and completed DS-260

12-19-2015 Scan Date (45 days after NOA2). I called on 01-13-16 and I was told my scan date is 12-15-15????

01-26-2016 Case complete. (83 days after NOA2)

01-29-2016 Called NVC, I was informed my CO Interview will be on 03-01-2016 at 08:00.

02-02-2016 Received Interview Letter (P4) via email.

02-09-2016 Package picked-up by DHL at 15:29 Waybill 5992952011. CEAC status "IN TRANSIT"

STAGE 3: US Embassy Bogota

02-11-2016 US Embassy Bogota received my package at 10:39.

02-12-2016 CEAC Visa Status changed from "IN TRANSIT" to "READY"

02-24-2016 Lab exams at the clinic and Bio-metrics at the CAS center.

02-25-2016 Medical Exams.

03-01-2016 Interview Date (175 days after I mailed I-130) VISA APPROVED. CEAC status changed to AP

03-02-2016 Paid Immigrant Visa Fee via ELIS account. CEAC status changed to ISSUED

03-03-2016 US Embassy Bogota sends Passport and Visa package via DHL Waybill 2900131780 to Cali.

03-04-2016 My wife picked up at DHL sealed approved IV package and her passport with a stamped I-551 IV Category CR1.

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