February 2015 filers - Texas Service Center

[Mad & J 25]

I though it might be useful to have a thread just for the TSC filers, especially seeing as CSC approvals are already coming in for Feb! This way those of us who are in for a looooong wait have our own place to commiserate and vent our frustrations.

Edited February 28, 2015 by Mad & J

[TabeaK 517]

Welcome to the waiting game. I tend to avoid threads with CSC filers at all cost. It is not their fault and I am sort of glad that some people have an easy time with this immigration journey, but, man, it makes me mad to read about those 7d approvals.

[Mad & J 25]

Exactly! I know it's not the fault of the CSC filers and I wish them all the best in their immigration journey, but I'd rather not be confronted with "what might have been" on a daily basis.

[HislittleSecret 21]

It is disappointing. I can't for the life of me understand what they are doing at TSC. We all spent the same money but we are not treated equally and fairly. Thus sad part is there is nothing we can do about it!

[TabeaK 517]

Can I point you guys to this thread - all the stuff that has been instigated by frustrated TSC filers.

Chances of success? Slim. But at least doing something!

http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/537595-tsc-k1-backlog-what-can-we-do-for-tsc-non-expedites-only/page-2#entry7500684

[cska5302 0]

Hi every one Im in the same boat and was wondering why TSC don't transfer some of petitions to the others SC .Can we all together make a kind of internet petition protest since we has not been treated equaly?What do you guys think?

[TabeaK 517]

Once again, pease read here: http://www.visajourn...-2#entry7500684 All petitions, activities and so on....

[pepper44 18]

Yes finally a much better thread (no offense to anyone) but I don't want to get updates on people who are already getting their NOA2 from CSC when most of us are stuck in the bottomless pit of TSC.

I was going to suggest a different post for Feb filers - one for CSC and the other for TSC.

So now this will help when I see someone is approved on this thread.. because they should be from TSC. Then I can start getting excited! :-)

[Mad & J 25]

We haven't even got our NOA1 yet and I'm already having second thoughts as to whether K1 was the right choice. Going by the timelines, wouldn't it have been better to get married and file for the spousal visa? We did K1 cause we thought it would get us together faster, but I'm beginning to doubt that, judging by the ridiculous wait times at TSC. At least if we had done the spousal visa, I'd have been able to work immediately and leave the country without waiting for the authorization to be issued.

Since we already sent them our packet (and our money), it's probably useless to wonder about these things now...

[yaizz 5]

Something is going to happen which will result in June becoming the month for February filers!

[Mad & J 25]

Something is going to happen which will result in June becoming the month for February filers!

That seems unlikely based on current timelines, but hey, I hope you're right!

[cska5302 0]

Something is going to happen which will result in June becoming the month for February filers!

Hi yaizz do you know something specifically?

[Kyle and Linh 64]

I posted this elsewhere today, I think there is hope in that the applications in the back half of 2014 are smaller than the first half of204 by a lot overall. Low numbers can't hurt in speeding things up. Here is what I looked at

I have spent the weekend looking over the data inside VJ using the tables. It seems to me that in the 2nd quarter of 2014 TSC got killed with more applications they could handle. In looking at our VJ data a number of applications in April and May 2014 were shown here to have moved from TSC to CSC and were expedited. If we can believe that VJ data is a representative sample of what is happening at USCIS for K-1 visa's I think I can see why they are not transferring any cases. The reason is that the number of actual cases (which they know measured in NOA1i applications) in the back half of 2014 actually is going down. Here is my table to show it.

15-Feb 15-Jan 14-Dec 14-Nov 14-Oct 14-Sep 14-Aug 14-Jul 14-Jun 14-May 14-Apr 14-Mar 14-Feb 14-Jan

VJ List of NOA 1 at TSC Only 85 111 126 137 173 191 182 219 192 62 95 221 202 190

VJ List of NOA 1 at CSC Only 65 121 82 65 97 95 102 138 97 94 110 113 96 82

VJ List of NOA 1 TX from TSC to CSC 19 10 16 20 20 22 21 13 21 123 130 32 24 39

Estimated TSC Workload Before TX 104 121 142 157 193 213 203 232 213 185 225 253 226 229

3 Month Average 122 140 164 188 203 216 216 210 208 221 235 236

% Below Peak -43.4% -35.2% -24.1% -13.1% -6.0% 0.0% Peak Done---------------------------------------------------->

In looking at the data its like big rat in the snake and it needs to get digested which is happening. The peak at TSC with applications measured with NOA1 was maxed out the first half of 2014. We show in VJ data that NOA1's were transferred for two months that made the NOA1's dated April and May 2014 shift to CSC. After May 2014 nothing of note has shifted. If you look at the estimated TSC workload (adding in the transferred cases) the Peak happens in August NOA1's and then drop after that the back half of 2014. In fact the 3 month rolling average for NOA1 cases for Feb 2015 is 43% lower than shown at the peak. So to me I would expect the time to process a case will drop from 200 to ? Not sure how low but less cases means faster processing.

Again there are a lot of if's in my analysis... but if VJ data tracks actual data. (that people sign up for VJ before or around getting NOA1). Then there is hope that the process may speed up over the next 6 months.... provided the output at TSC stays grinding out stuff at the same rate.

I see hope here, but will it mean 60-90 days faster? Maybe? For us February TSC filers I am hoping we may drop from 200+ to closer to 150. That is welcome news for me.

[Mad & J 25]

I see hope here, but will it mean 60-90 days faster? Maybe? For us February TSC filers I am hoping we may drop from 200+ to closer to 150. That is welcome news for me.

That's interesting stuff, thank you! I wonder if they always get fewer submissions in the latter half of the year? Anyway, anything that hints at a chance for my case to be processed before late September is good news to me. We are NOA1 buddies, btw!

[Henley1989 10]

Hi,

Our K1 was sent to TSC with a filing date of 2-13-15. Im hoping we get NOA2 by sep/oct.. As of now we hired a lawyer for the first part. We intend to rehire once we get NOA2, however, there are lots of people advising that a lawyer is not needed. Can I ask if anyone on this forum with a similar time frame has/had a lawyer? Also does anyone know how I can get my timeline to display below my text like everyone else has?

Thanks
Levy