bulletins number jump

[yunvanne 1]

Hi all

Is there any case that bulletins number jump from February Asia 3250 to AS177xx I'm holding. Breath and pray for that is there any chance for me? And when should I get 2 NL if I receive an interview from kcc?

Thank you for help me

[right123 0]

My brother has close number to yours and I am afraid if they keep making those small jumps, they won't even reach 7000 !!!

Any experienced one can give us an idea about the jumps probability to make sudden big jumps.. or will it likely to continue about 500-600 cases every month? I am talking about Asia specifically.

[Hank1 1]

There is no way of predicting this year's numbers other than judging by previous years. However each year is unique, and sometimes new things happen. For example in previous years up to 2013, they used to only select about 110,000 people and so everyone would become current towards August, but in 2014 they picked a lot more (140,000 or so) and therefore the allocation only went up to certain numbers in each region (Asia was around 13,000). This year they have a new form (DS-260) and have picked around 125000 selectees so it is different from previous years and may not follow the same pattern. Having said that, it won't be massively different from 2014 judging by the numbers so far, all be it a bit faster. There are also countries like Iran and Nepal that have very high applicants and success rates so the numbers can jump if they hit the country limit, but jumping to 177xx from 3250 isn't on the cards I suspect. Moe likely to be in September if at all would be my guess. Good luck.

[siliconeslinger 0]

Hank1 what about my CN is it safe 13,6xx, its only a few hundred above 13,350 what percentage is it safe

I'm not from nepal or iran

[Hank1 1]

Hank1 what about my CN is it safe 13,6xx, its only a few hundred above 13,350 what percentage is it safe

I'm not from nepal or iran

I'm no expert. I am only going by the pattern of previous years which as I have said may or may not be the pattern this year. Judging from 2014 results you are in the danger zone, but fingers crossed you should make it. Look, as I have said to Mustafa above, the CN number is what it is. We all fret about it, but not much we can do. It is in the lap of the gods. I myself was asking others when my number would come up before I learned how to interpret the visa stats. Best thing to do is get your documents ready without spending too much money on it, and look up the visa bulletin at http://travel.state.gov/content/visas/english/law-and-policy/bulletin.html

which is the official site and gets updated every month (around 10th or 12th day of the month, you can subscribe to be notified by email) and see how far it has gone. Currently it is up to February 2015 so 2 months ahead. By June or July you would be able to see if your number has come up or is likely to come up. That means you get about 6 weeks or more notice to get things that don't take much time sorted e.g. translation of documents, police check vaccination etc. How long they take to do would very much depend on the country at which you are residing (some take only a few days to do a police check like in UK, some take a month or two like Russia) so time it well so that you have all the documents you need ready before the interview. Given your relatively high number, you won't have time to go through a long Administrative Process if your documents are deficient. Each embassy has a slightly different requirement so make sure you read the embassy specific page but they all essentially want the same things. All in all I would say that you have a pretty good chance of making it.

Good luck