January Filers

[RobandTania 1]

It must just seem like lots happens when it's someone else's month. I did some playing around with the timeline search and it seems - if I did it correctly - that about 36% of Jan, CSC filers have received their NOA2s. I searched for how many Dec, CSC filers there were and how many of them had their NOA2s by March 23 (about a one-month corresponding offset), and they had only 43%. That's more, sure. But they had fewer filers with about the same actual number of NOA2s.

I don't think that makes me feel *better* per se, but like I said, when I get really frustrated, I like to play with the data to see if I can try to work some kind of voodoo mojo magic on the whole thing and make a data-crystal ball.

Doesn't seem to be working, but what the hell.

And to be clear - that's data for K1, Jan, CSC filers, compared to K1, Dec, CSC filers.

Here is the similar table for December NOA1s with NOA2s beginning to be issued a few weeks later:

For 86 total Dec NOA1s,

total 61 NOA2s posted for

this six week period:

NOA2 Week:...CA.NE.TX..TTL

==========================

2/04 - 2/10...0..0..0...0

2/11 - 2/17...0..0..0...0

2/18 - 2/24...7..1..2..10

2/25 - 3/03..16..4..8..28

3/04 - 3/10..12..3..4..19

3/11 - 3/17...4..0..0...4

==========================

........TTL..39..8.14..61

Five weeks ago, December 2006 NOA1 recipients had THREE TIMES more NOA2s issued.

Similar Period January 2006 NOA1s, ONE YEAR AGO 2006:

NOA2 Week:...CA.NE.TX.TTL

=========================

2/28 - 3/04...0..2..0..2

3/05 - 3/11...0..3..1..4

3/12 - 3/18...5..7..2.14

3/19 - 3/25...8..1..2.11

3/26 - 4/01...0..8..2.10

4/02 - 4/08...4..5..1.10

4/09 - 4/15...3..1..3..7

4/16 - 4/22..10..3..0.13

=========================

........TTL..30.30.11.72

[tijuanahilton 0]

It must just seem like lots happens when it's someone else's month. I did some playing around with the timeline search and it seems - if I did it correctly - that about 36% of Jan, CSC filers have received their NOA2s. I searched for how many Dec, CSC filers there were and how many of them had their NOA2s by March 23 (about a one-month corresponding offset), and they had only 43%. That's more, sure. But they had fewer filers with about the same actual number of NOA2s.

I don't think that makes me feel *better* per se, but like I said, when I get really frustrated, I like to play with the data to see if I can try to work some kind of voodoo mojo magic on the whole thing and make a data-crystal ball.

Doesn't seem to be working, but what the hell.

And to be clear - that's data for K1, Jan, CSC filers, compared to K1, Dec, CSC filers.

True, January NOA2's lag is not as bad as it appears. But there was an abnormal slowdown during the three weeks 4/1 to 4/21. If you calculate the days between January's NOA1s that have not received NOA2s yet, the wait has increased about ten calendar days. I did this a couple days ago, so this is an estimate: December's NOA1s waited an average of about 79 days for their NOA2s. January's NOA1s waited about 82 days for their NOA2s. There is little increase from December's NOA1s, only three days. However, if you calculate the days from January's NOA1s without NOA2s yet, to April 23(today), the average is about 89 days.

George

sigh

we waited 90 days!

[TimsDaisy 0]

I'm passing the 90 mark (based on how fwaguy calculates) and the 100 day mark (based on the way the VJ counter calculates - from submission, not NOA1, as far as I can tell).

[RobandTania 1]

I'm passing the 90 mark (based on how fwaguy calculates) and the 100 day mark (based on the way the VJ counter calculates - from submission, not NOA1, as far as I can tell).

Several touches reported today! Let's hope CSC catches up!

George

[kengumbo 0]

Not a whole lot happened for Jan filers today. I've updated the stats...

[lucho562 0]

Nothing here

[Christine n Carl 0]

It must just seem like lots happens when it's someone else's month. I did some playing around with the timeline search and it seems - if I did it correctly - that about 36% of Jan, CSC filers have received their NOA2s. I searched for how many Dec, CSC filers there were and how many of them had their NOA2s by March 23 (about a one-month corresponding offset), and they had only 43%. That's more, sure. But they had fewer filers with about the same actual number of NOA2s.

I don't think that makes me feel *better* per se, but like I said, when I get really frustrated, I like to play with the data to see if I can try to work some kind of voodoo mojo magic on the whole thing and make a data-crystal ball.

Doesn't seem to be working, but what the hell.

And to be clear - that's data for K1, Jan, CSC filers, compared to K1, Dec, CSC filers.

True, January NOA2's lag is not as bad as it appears. But there was an abnormal slowdown during the three weeks 4/1 to 4/21. If you calculate the days between January's NOA1s that have not received NOA2s yet, the wait has increased about ten calendar days. I did this a couple days ago, so this is an estimate: December's NOA1s waited an average of about 79 days for their NOA2s. January's NOA1s waited about 82 days for their NOA2s. There is little increase from December's NOA1s, only three days. However, if you calculate the days from January's NOA1s without NOA2s yet, to April 23(today), the average is about 89 days.

George

sigh

Hello all

First let me wish you luck, hope you all get approved tomorrow!!!

As a early january filer, I got lucky on April 5, 2007. But your right something is going on, all the people regardless of when they file (K1 or K3) that got NOA2 around last few days of March up thru April are still waiting for NVC to show they have recieved anything from CSC. If you check Vermont..No problem.. 2-5 days receipt time. But from CSC there are people entering 4th week and still no indication from NVC of receipt. Yet just a week before (3rd week of March NOA2 recipients) show 4-8 days consistently from CSC to NVC receipt. Something fishy here.....for all CSC related activities.

[Dan&Tiffany 0]

Guys...come on now...you don't REALLY expect them to work on a Monday, now do you?

Seriously - didn't we decide the emails go out at 9:30pm Pacific Time anyways? Still hope for this Miserable Monday. MAYBE they'll be some sent out tonight. I'll hope to wake up to good news in the morning. Don't think I'll make it to see that time (11:30 CST) tonight. Gonna be lots of them. Think happy thoughts.

[hmm1 0]

Guys...come on now...you don't REALLY expect them to work on a Monday, now do you?

Seriously - didn't we decide the emails go out at 9:30pm Pacific Time anyways? Still hope for this Miserable Monday. MAYBE they'll be some sent out tonight. I'll hope to wake up to good news in the morning. Don't think I'll make it to see that time (11:30 CST) tonight. Gonna be lots of them. Think happy thoughts.

I'll think happy thoughts for us all...however reality sucks...good luck and lets these January NOA2s out of the way already...come on CSC...show us why Cali is supposed to be number one.

[Jake & Ali 0]

Guys...come on now...you don't REALLY expect them to work on a Monday, now do you?

Seriously - didn't we decide the emails go out at 9:30pm Pacific Time anyways? Still hope for this Miserable Monday. MAYBE they'll be some sent out tonight. I'll hope to wake up to good news in the morning. Don't think I'll make it to see that time (11:30 CST) tonight. Gonna be lots of them. Think happy thoughts.

9:59pm...still nothing.

Edited April 24, 2007 by Jake & Ali

[Len & How 0]

Hi Guys,

I'm checking back in after spending a woooonderful week with my Fiance here in CZ.

<== these smileys say it best, right?

But gosh, it went by fast!!! I just returned from the airport, it was sad as always... How I wished I could fly home with him!!!

Anyways, I see there has been some approvals and touches here, but not as many as I was hoping for. What's going on with CSC? I really wish they pick up speed and make us all happy very soon.

I'm trying to attach some pictures from Prague and spa town Luhacovice - hope it works!

[Dan&Tiffany 0]

Awww. Glad you had a good visit! Spending time with sweetheart = sure way to make time pass faster!!!

[tijuanahilton 0]

Hello all

First let me wish you luck, hope you all get approved tomorrow!!!

As a early january filer, I got lucky on April 5, 2007. But your right something is going on, all the people regardless of when they file (K1 or K3) that got NOA2 around last few days of March up thru April are still waiting for NVC to show they have recieved anything from CSC. If you check Vermont..No problem.. 2-5 days receipt time. But from CSC there are people entering 4th week and still no indication from NVC of receipt. Yet just a week before (3rd week of March NOA2 recipients) show 4-8 days consistently from CSC to NVC receipt. Something fishy here.....for all CSC related activities.

though I wish they were moving faster, I'm certainly glad to hear this. I was starting to think that my file had been lost in the shuffle.

Come on already, this phase is supposed to be faster. And MArco already got his ticket to the consulate...let's move CSC!!!!!

[Cinders 0]

Got another touch today! Two days in a row. Hope that means something good!

We are in the process of shipping everything from Munich, Germany to Seattle and our house is a disaster zone. The movers show up tomorrow morning at 8 am to load the container. Really want my Sweetie to come home to some good news after all the stress of waiting and packing and planning a wedding.

Its gonna suck being separate for 2 months or more. We have never been apart more then 2 weeks!

Come on CSC....sending some postive thoughts to whomever has our file in front of them!!!

[Beauty for Ashes 257]

Got another touch today! Two days in a row. Hope that means something good!

We are in the process of shipping everything from Munich, Germany to Seattle and our house is a disaster zone. The movers show up tomorrow morning at 8 am to load the container. Really want my Sweetie to come home to some good news after all the stress of waiting and packing and planning a wedding.

Its gonna suck being separate for 2 months or more. We have never been apart more then 2 weeks!

Come on CSC....sending some postive thoughts to whomever has our file in front of them!!!

I got touched Friday, Monday and today already

WHAT THE HELL DOES THIS ALL MEAN