August visa bulletin 2014 in cluding september the final !

[vladek15425 7]

the density of the cases is lesser on the late months, caused by special countries that are maxing.

According to my calculations 85~87k followed up with forms, the 'second-holes' do not apply to all regions perfectly like asia the response rate is excellent from the two biggest countries (iran + nepal), there might be more holes from the rest of asia side but it won't affect the cutt-offs seriously to create super jumps or to hit current!

BTW I readjusted nepal limit to 10.5k

Giving average of 380 cns in every 1000 cn cut-off range.

On other hand I believe africa will benefit the most from the drop-out,

For all the reasons we discussed before... And looking at dv15 where they selected the same amount as dv14 minus nigeria! So I predict a super jumps for this region.

EU has seen high jump in the middle of the fiscal year ! With Uzbekistan running, now that it has maxed-out and of course there will be visa left for august and september, EU will see again bigger jumps...

OC still stuck and we didn't see the Fiji effect yet, but I believe it will still happen within the last two remaining months..

SA didn't do bad with its cut-off a long the year so I strongly believe (contrary to reavsky) that SA will reach 2k cn range.

AF 104~105k

AS. 14~ 15. k

EU. 44~ 45. k

OC. 2000

SA. 2000

Ps: I can be totally wrong so no hard feeling .

[rafikbo76 2]

I believe you mistyped AF,

it should no less than 105K,

did u?

[vladek15425 7]

I believe you mistyped AF,

it should no less than 105K,

did u?

I think 105k will be the max for AF rafik !

[rafikbo76 2]

I think 105k will be the max for AF rafik !

[ceskhermina 0]

the density of the cases is lesser on the late months, caused by special countries that are maxing.

According to my calculations 85~87k followed up with forms, the 'second-holes' do not apply to all regions perfectly like asia the response rate is excellent from the two biggest countries (iran + nepal), there might be more holes from the rest of asia side but it won't affect the cutt-offs seriously to create super jumps or to hit current!

BTW I readjusted nepal limit to 10.5k

Giving average of 380 cns in every 1000 cn cut-off range.

On other hand I believe africa will benefit the most from the drop-out,

For all the reasons we discussed before... And looking at dv15 where they selected the same amount as dv14 minus nigeria! So I predict a super jumps for this region.

EU has seen high jump in the middle of the fiscal year ! With Uzbekistan running, now that it has maxed-out and of course there will be visa left for august and september, EU will see again bigger jumps...

OC still stuck and we didn't see the Fiji effect yet, but I believe it will still happen within the last two remaining months..

SA didn't do bad with its cut-off a long the year so I strongly believe (contrary to reavsky) that SA will reach 2k cn range.

AF 104~105k

AS. 14~ 15. k

EU. 44~ 45. k

OC. 2000

SA. 2000

Ps: I can be totally wrong so no hard feeling .

do you think that this cn are for september or august?

[Alex2014 0]

My prediction for Asia in Sep.

AS 18,000 except Nepal 11,000

[vladek15425 7]

Final (september).

do you think that this cn are for september or august?

[ceskhermina 0]

i now that i am to optimistic but i think that europe will be current in august and september

Edited May 14, 2014 by ceskhermina

[brunash82 0]

i now that i am to optimistic but i think that europe will be current in august and september

Yes mate, I also think that europe will be current in august and september

[Britsimon 18]

Nice numbers Vladdy. I think these are about the most optimistic numbers now...

[vladek15425 7]

Nice numbers Vladdy. I think these are about the most optimistic numbers now...

Thanks pal !

From now on, I will just sit and wait hopefuly time will prove me wrong and numbers will go higher and more selectees will benefit

Franky malcom kayend...any comment mates ?

[Sloner 0]

EU has seen high jump in the middle of the fiscal year ! With Uzbekistan running, now that it has maxed-out and of course there will be visa left for august and september, EU will see again bigger jumps...

I agree, Vladek. Uzbekistan will finish its game in July. Max CN there ~20000.

[vladek15425 7]

I agree, Vladek. Uzbekistan will finish its game in July. Max CN there ~20000.

Yeah ! That's why when uzbekistan is cleared out a jump of 5k will happen again ! I think

[IheartNY 2]

OC 2000? LOL it just needs to be a couple spots higher IMHO

[Kayend 0]

I think Asia will end around 19k and Nepal below 12k. Nepal is quite straight forward because the success rate of 80% will make it end below 12k due to country limit but Iran and Rest of Asia is a bit tricky, it depends on how fast the AP cases get clear, the slow the AP the higher the CN. So next 2 months cut off will be interesting because it will tell us how KCC plan to handle this situation.