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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Romania
Timeline
Posted

There was an October approved today guys!!! Keep up the positivity!

What I find more telling is that there was also an April approval, and several Junes. At this point seeing an October approval smells of them manipulating the stats in order keep the average processing time down.

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Pakistan
Timeline
Posted

not moved I got a RFE ugh

I-130 Timeline Spouse visa

I-130 Sent July 1 2013

I-130 NOA 1 July 8 2013
I-130 Transferred NSC Jan 2 2014
R F E Mar 17 2014
R F E Mailed back Mar 23 2014
I-130 Approved April 2 2014
NOA 2 in the mail April 7 2014
NVC received April 23 2014
got case number May 19 2014
email with case # May 27 2014
email to pay AOS fee May 27 2014
Ds 261 sent May 27 2014
Aos fee paid $ 88.00 May 30 2014

Aos sent out June 20 2014

IV bill in email July 16 2014

paid IV July 18 2014
sent IV doc July 23 2014
check list on AOS Aug 13 2014
sent out check list Aug 26 2014
aos CHANGED NA Oct 23 2014
CC email Oct 30 2014
Interview Dec 16 2014 :dancing:
POE Dec 27 2014
You need to have patience as a Saint and Love that can endure anything, this will not be easy..ClockWatch2.gif smiley-angelic011.gif

Posted

What I find more telling is that there was also an April approval, and several Junes. At this point seeing an October approval smells of them manipulating the stats in order keep the average processing time down.

Could be, but if we start seeing more October approvals then I guess they're really working on October.

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Romania
Timeline
Posted

Could be, but if we start seeing more October approvals then I guess they're really working on October.

What I've noticed, with a few exceptions, is that all the NSC approvals are the transfers. October it seems is the month that the mass influx of transfers ends and the mass amount of directs begins. It will certainly get my attention when the approval rate starts to swing in the direction of direct filings. Until that happens, I'm withholding excitement. I'm going to be going to see my wife again the second half of May (for her birthday). I swear the two of us, but her in particular, could really use the boost.

Posted (edited)

What I've noticed, with a few exceptions, is that all the NSC approvals are the transfers. October it seems is the month that the mass influx of transfers ends and the mass amount of directs begins. It will certainly get my attention when the approval rate starts to swing in the direction of direct filings. Until that happens, I'm withholding excitement. I'm going to be going to see my wife again the second half of May (for her birthday). I swear the two of us, but her in particular, could really use the boost.

I know what you mean. Hopefully we'll start to see more October approvals, then you'll be up next pretty soon!

Tell your wife only positive news haha, that will give her the boost. Good luck!

Edited by v4b
Posted

It really sounds like agents get cases assigned as they come in and they work on them in order but some work faster through their queue then others for whatever reason and so get to later dates faster...it fits the kind of strange pattern we see

IR-1/CR-1 Visa

Event Date

Service Center : National Benefits Center

Consulate : Sydney, Australia

Marriage (if applicable): 2013-08-25

I-130 Sent : 2013-09-14

I-130 NOA1 : 2013-09-27

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Poland
Timeline
Posted

what is the PD day?

Hi, My PD 10/15 ;).

10-15-2013 - Priority Date
3-05-2014 - Transferred to NSC

3-25-2014 - Approved!
3-27-2014 - Shipped to NVC


4-08-2014 - NVC Received
5-13-2014 - Case number and IIN assigned

5-13-2014 - DS261 available and submitted / accepted
5-13-2014 - Pay the AOS Bill

5-14-2014 - AOS send to NVC
5-19-2014 - AOS delivered to NVC
5-22-2014 - AOS scanned

6-24-2014 - Packet IV send

7-01-2014 - Received IV Fee and paid
7-03-2014 - Packet IV scanned
7-07-2014 - Completed DS260
8-15/16-2014 (?) - Case Complete! ( Talking to NVC said that CC 16 August - it's Saturday :o
) :energy:
9-10-2014 - Medical exam (DONE)
10-15-2014-INTERVIEW! APPROVED! Exactly one year from NOA1 :))))))))))
10-16-2014- Visa Issued
10-17-2014- Visa in hand!

10-23-2014 - POE in Chicago

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Pakistan
Timeline
Posted

Can I ask what the RFE was for?

RobbieG

Dallas, T

The RFE was for a another Divorce paper I did send in one however in pakistan there is more than 1 document and the Nikah Nama paper I did send that in and I had to send it in again, its all about proof and I can understand that and we have it,

I-130 Timeline Spouse visa

I-130 Sent July 1 2013

I-130 NOA 1 July 8 2013
I-130 Transferred NSC Jan 2 2014
R F E Mar 17 2014
R F E Mailed back Mar 23 2014
I-130 Approved April 2 2014
NOA 2 in the mail April 7 2014
NVC received April 23 2014
got case number May 19 2014
email with case # May 27 2014
email to pay AOS fee May 27 2014
Ds 261 sent May 27 2014
Aos fee paid $ 88.00 May 30 2014

Aos sent out June 20 2014

IV bill in email July 16 2014

paid IV July 18 2014
sent IV doc July 23 2014
check list on AOS Aug 13 2014
sent out check list Aug 26 2014
aos CHANGED NA Oct 23 2014
CC email Oct 30 2014
Interview Dec 16 2014 :dancing:
POE Dec 27 2014
You need to have patience as a Saint and Love that can endure anything, this will not be easy..ClockWatch2.gif smiley-angelic011.gif

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Mexico
Timeline
Posted

What I find more telling is that there was also an April approval, and several Junes. At this point seeing an October approval smells of them manipulating the stats in order keep the average processing time down.

VJ Peeps,

I'm still fairly new and you may be correct but the processing times they post are called "averages." So to me that means some will be way before and some way after but the "average" may indeed by the current 5 months. Thoughts?

RobbieG

Dallas, TX

RobbieG,

Dallas, TX

event.png

Filed: Timeline
Posted

The way I understand it is that those times are not average processing times but a time frame. So it can be a couple of weeks less or more, that's why you're supposed to contact them after 30 days, not right away when it's not exactly that time frame for your case. (Also sometimes they show a filing date instead of the processing time in months, that's definitely not the average but the PD they are processing)

6/5/2013 got married

11/14/2013 mailed I-130

11/19/2013 I-130 NOA1 (NSC)

12/20/2013 mailed I-129f (just in case)

12/27/2013 I-129f NOA1 (NSC)

1/2/2014 ARN changed on both I-130 and I-129f

1/7/2014 I-129f updated/touched?

11/10/2014 NOA2 FINALLY!!! (after 356 days & 4 service requests)

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Romania
Timeline
Posted

VJ Peeps,

I'm still fairly new and you may be correct but the processing times they post are called "averages." So to me that means some will be way before and some way after but the "average" may indeed by the current 5 months. Thoughts?

RobbieG

Dallas, TX

There are two opposing forces at work here. The first is that processing is supposed to take place in the order received. I don't know all of the ins and outs at the federal level of government, but having decades of experience with local and county level government, there are certain things where extraordinary efforts are made to rule out any possible accusations of improper favoritism. In fact so much so that the entire effort to ensure fairness winds up tripling (or more) the cost of whatever it oversees and inevitably slows down the entire process because of all the inefficiencies.

The opposing force to first in first out is the target processing time which I believe is 5 months, just like the recently updated claimed processing time for Nebraska at the USCIS website. If you are in fact processing in the order received, the only reason to have an "average" at all should be to take into account delays caused by RFEs. Theoretically speaking, were it not for RFEs and assuming FIFO, they should pretty much have the processing time nailed down to the number of weeks per application. But instead we have this nebulous "average" processing time which allows for a substantial amount of wiggle room. Furthermore, I don't know if the expedites are factored into this average or not, but if they are then we sort of have a curve busting element thrown into the equation. It seems like there are a few lucky lottery winners who get processed at the speed of light for no apparent reason, there are a few who languish for a year or more because their file was accidentally used to prop up the short leg on someone's desk, and then there's everybody else.

If the community of people here are indeed a pretty good representation of the actual caseload that USCIS takes on, then you can see some trends that are likely very close to what's going on. The one thing that drives me nuts here is people who fail to update their timelines at all or who update it several months late. It makes looking into the crystal ball all the more difficult.

 
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