ALL F4's 2

[manna 14]

Can we send affidavit from Mother if Date of birth was not registered? Can somebody give some advise on this.

[jolly786 96]

Important Data Announcement: Immigrant Visa Applicants from China waiting at NVC: sorted by catetory and PD: (As of Febrary 2014 when F4 PD was Oct 2001)

hi ...

please provide us the above detail and also provide us the link from where you get this information.......this is looking very confusing....are you taking about the total i130 inventory for F4 under every year ??????means how many i130 petitions were filled under particular year ?????????

[lengygf 25]

hi ...

please provide us the above detail and also provide us the link from where you get this information.......this is looking very confusing....are you taking about the total i130 inventory for F4 under every year ??????means how many i130 petitions were filled under particular year ?????????

OK. Per everyone's request, here is the source: http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/32199257.html

Explaination and Analysis:

This data shows the PD of all Chinese family-based immigration applicants waiting at NVC as of the beginning of 2014. Numbers are the total number of people (primary + derivative registered at NVC, not the number of cases), listed by their priority dates. Please note: immigration cases will be retained and processed at NVC until the priority date is close to current, at which point the case will be sent to consulates (thus removed from this waiting list).

Important analysis: At the beginning of 2014, the F4 cutoff date was Oct 22 2001, which means most F4 in 2001 have already received the visa. The only 2001 F4 folks on this table are those with PD between Oct 2001 to December 2001, and this number was 8600!

For the year of 2002, all cases were then at NVC because the cutoff date had not yet entered 2002, and the total number of 2002 F4 in the waitinglist was 16000, year 2003 is also around 16000.

Some may noticed that a lot of columns were 0, or have a very small number. It is because the VB cutoff dates at the beginning of 2014 had already past that year for so long, only a few people were still left behind. For year 2010 onward, F4 numbers was also small - most cases haven't been approved yet, they are still sitting at USCIS, and will be added to the waiting list once they're approved and forwarded to NVC.

So simply math shows that the last 2.25 months of 2001 has 8600 F4 folks while the entire year of 2002 has only 16000 people. Conclusion: there was a ridiculous number of F4 applicants with PD 2001, that's why VB moved extremely slow for 2001. Year 2002 and 2003 has far fewer people than that of 2001, it is expected that the cutoff dates for F4 will move a little bit faster from now on.

(Note: this is only the data for China, I don't have a complete set of data for worldwide F4 applicants, so this analysis may not be true because it's based solely on a limited amount of information)

Now

Edited December 12, 2014 by lengygf

[baly 4]

Hi all priority date is 6 may 2002 Will it be current in February visa bulletin or march visa bulletin. can I expect interview letter in march.any idea

[Visa Grant 78]

Hi guys, I'm still waiting for my interview, today makes one month one day wait after the letter : (

Preference Category: F4

Priority Date: 05-JUN-01

Right now, the Peru Embassy is taking 2 months to schedule an interview...you have to wait and keep calling NVC...

Good Luck

[manna 14]

Can we send affidavit from Mother if Date of birth was not registered? Can somebody give some advise on this.

Need expert advise on this.

Can we send affidavit from Mother if Date of birth was not registered? Can somebody give some advise on this.

[manna 14]

Hi all priority date is 6 may 2002 Will it be current in February visa bulletin or march visa bulletin. can I expect interview letter in march.any idea

No body can predict this , if it moves at current speed ( Fiscal year 2015) of 20d/Month then you may be current in march or april.2015

[Visa Grant 78]

Can we send affidavit from Mother if Date of birth was not registered? Can somebody give some advise on this.

Only if the Birth Date is before 1970...

Birth Certificates

Available. Prior to l970, the reporting of births was voluntary. Birth certificates of Europeans, Anglo-Indians, Armenian Christians, Jews and Parsis born prior to l970 may be obtained from the State Registrar General of Births,..............

Good Luck

[manna 14]

Only if the Birth Date is before 1970...

Birth Certificates

Available. Prior to l970, the reporting of births was voluntary. Birth certificates of Europeans, Anglo-Indians, Armenian Christians, Jews and Parsis born prior to l970 may be obtained from the State Registrar General of Births,..............

Good Luck

My date on1970 but never got it registered now I have got non availability certificate from municipal corporation so can send it along with affidavit??

[pink_niru 41]

My date on1970 but never got it registered now I have got non availability certificate from municipal corporation so can send it along with affidavit??

Until i know ...on the basis of "No Record" certificate , you can have Birth certificate. U need to go though some court procedures and then u will have Birth Certi

[Visa Grant 78]

OK. Per everyone's request, here is the source: http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/32199257.html

Explaination and Analysis:

.........................

Important analysis: At the beginning of 2014, the F4 cutoff date was Oct 22 2001, which means most F4 in 2001 have already received the visa. The only 2001 F4 folks on this table are those with PD between Oct 2001 to December 2001, and this number was 8600!

For the year of 2002, all cases were then at NVC because the cutoff date had not yet entered 2002, and the total number of 2002 F4 in the waitinglist was 16000, year 2003 is also around 16000.

Some may noticed that a lot of columns were 0, or have a very small number. It is because the VB cutoff dates at the beginning of 2014 had already past that year for so long, only a few people were still left behind. For year 2010 onward, F4 numbers was also small - most cases haven't been approved yet, they are still sitting at USCIS, and will be added to the waiting list once they're approved and forwarded to NVC.

So simply math shows that the last 2.25 months of 2001 has 8600 F4 folks while the entire year of 2002 has only 16000 people. Conclusion: there was a ridiculous number of F4 applicants with PD 2001, that's why VB moved extremely slow for 2001. Year 2002 and 2003 has far fewer people than that of 2001, it is expected that the cutoff dates for F4 will move a little bit faster from now on.

(Note: this is only the data for China, I don't have a complete set of data for worldwide F4 applicants, so this analysis may not be true because it's based solely on a limited amount of information)

.....................

Based on the NVC data the total number of visas for China in a Fiscal Year is 6971..and the number of applications are nearly 16000 and above till 2010...So even if you assume the number of waiting list in a year is true from this data.....the visa movement will not drastically change and this also implies for the rest of the countries too...Unless DOS stop counting derivatives, there may not be a big jump..

From this chart in the below provided link, which i have posted before... the number of petitions filed are decreasing after 2001 and the only way for visa movement forward in this scenario is if there are less derivatives counted in these petitions..

http://thevisabulletin.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/uscis-naturalization-delays-chart-big.gif

So by March 2015, if GOP passes a immigration bill...then we might see a big jump in April / May 2015 Visa Bulletins..

Good Luck

Edited December 12, 2014 by Visa Grant

[Visa Grant 78]

My date on1970 but never got it registered now I have got non availability certificate from municipal corporation so can send it along with affidavit??

Better if you get a non availability certificate from Registrar from Birth & Death......Just provide your details of name and year to them and they will not find any and then they issue that Nonavailability Certificate....

Good Luck

[pink_niru 41]

R u all sure that Obama's so called Executive order for "Modernize immigration visa" will help "Family Immigration"?.

Find below link of USICS, in it "Who" will benefit from this is showing as "U.S. businesses, foreign investors, researchers, inventors and skilled foreign workers.".

It's not showing family or USC ...

http://www.uscis.gov/immigrationaction

4. Modernize, improve and clarify immigrant and nonimmigrant programs to grow our economy and create jobs Who

• U.S. businesses, foreign investors, researchers, inventors and skilled foreign workers.

What

USCIS will:

• Work with the Department of State to develop a method to allocate immigrant visas to ensure that all immigrant visas authorized by Congress are issued to eligible individuals when there is sufficient demand for such visas.
• Work with the Department of State to modify the Visa Bulletin system to more simply and reliably make determinations of visa availability.
• Provide clarity on adjustment portability to remove unnecessary restrictions on natural career progression and general job mobility to provide relief to workers facing lengthy adjustment delays.
• Clarify the standard by which a national interest waiver may be granted to foreign inventors, researchers and founders of start-up enterprises to benefit the U.S economy.
• Authorize parole, on a case-by-case basis, to eligible inventors, researchers and founders of start-up enterprises who may not yet qualify for a national interest waiver, but who:
  • Have been awarded substantial U.S. investor financing; or
  • Otherwise hold the promise of innovation and job creation through the development of new technologies or the pursuit of cutting-edge research.
• Finalize a rule to provide work authorization to the spouses of certain H-1B visa holders who are on the path to lawful permanent resident status.
• Work with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to develop regulations for notice and comment to expand and extend the use ofoptional practical training (OPT) for foreign students, consistent with existing law.
• Provide clear, consolidated guidance on the meaning of “specialized knowledge” to bring greater clarity and integrity to the L-1B program, improve consistency in adjudications, and enhance companies’ confidence in the program.

When

• Upon issuing necessary guidance and regulations.

How

• Subscribe to this page to receive updates by email.

[jolly786 96]

Feb 2015 VB predictions......

F4- 15April,2002

http://blog.mygcvisa.com/

[pink_niru 41]

Feb 2015 VB predictions......

F4- 15April,2002

http://blog.mygcvisa.com/

Personally i dont belive such prediction...they predicated 2 weeks for Jan VB...