Aug 2013 I-130 filers

[Eastyo 100]

Done !!!

Welcome... eh !

Link to monitor current progress: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AsvZPBxJt8H4dDdiM2tUS0ZsTGhtbGxSN05uUGF5WGc#gid=0

Just so I am reading this right, the August filers on this list have their NOA2? or does the X mean unknown or doesn't have?

Where do the August filers seem to be going? and do their transfer notices state the "60 days" still?

[aditya3245 113]

Just so I am reading this right, the August filers on this list have their NOA2? or does the X mean unknown or doesn't have?

Where do the August filers seem to be going? and do their transfer notices state the "60 days" still?

Nobody from August has their NOA2 IF you don't count the expedites

We just started transferring last week.

Indeed X means unknown.

Meaning we do not know which SC it went to - if it has been transferred.

We have not received any transfer notices to answer your last question.

Hope this helps.

[Eastyo 100]

Nobody from August has their NOA2 IF you don't count the expedites

We just started transferring last week.

Indeed X means unknown.

Meaning we do not know which SC it went to - if it has been transferred.

We have not received any transfer notices to answer your last question.

Hope this helps.

I know you have JUST started transferring, i was asking about the "X's", which I know know what they mean.

Anyway, lets hope that they transfer all of August by the end of February. I think this is possible, and would mean that (if we go by the 60 days) we should see approvals starting, and hopefully ending, in April right?

[aditya3245 113]

I know you have JUST started transferring, i was asking about the "X's", which I know know what they mean.

Anyway, lets hope that they transfer all of August by the end of February. I think this is possible, and would mean that (if we go by the 60 days) we should see approvals starting, and hopefully ending, in April right?

I am inclined to support your forecast except that CIS is extremely unpredictable.

As you know, August has 14-20% less applications than May.

Now, If I were an efficient bureaucrat interested in making senior management decisions that make your (and my life) easier, I'd probably transfer this lower aggregate volume at a faster rate.

We are instead dealing with USCIS instead.

So, I anticipate slower (and lesser number of) transfers spread out past february.

To give you a concrete example, before August, they were transferring every third day.

Now they're transferring once a week.

At least thats what it looks like to me

I hope I'm wrong bro

Edited January 25, 2014 by aditya3245

[Eastyo 100]

I am inclined to support your forecast except that CIS is extremely unpredictable.

As you know, August has 14-20% less applications than May.

Now, If I were an efficient bureaucrat interested in making senior management decisions that make your (and my life) easier, I'd probably transfer this lower aggregate volume at a faster rate.

We are instead dealing with USCIS instead.

So, I anticipate slower (and lesser number of) transfers spread out past february.

To give you a concrete example, before August, they were transferring every third day.

Now they're transferring once a week.

At least thats what it looks like to me

I hope I'm wrong bro

You make good points, and i think that is the issue, it is just totally unpredictable. I mean, how can they approve so many July petitions and ignore so many others.

I think we may be screwed here, stuck between the July fast rate and the October "direct to service centre" petitions!

[Deep35472 130]

Total Tranfers / Total approvels / %

March 131 / 93 / 71%

April 147 / 107 / 73%

May 88 / 22 / 25%

June 81 / 25 / 31%

july 81 / 27 / 34

This all data is from Spredsheet. As we can see, July is way ahead of May and June.

July seems luckiest month of 2013.

Edited January 25, 2014 by Deep35472

[Eastyo 100]

Total Tranfers / Total approvels / %

March 131 / 93 / 71%

April 147 / 107 / 73%

May 88 / 22 / 25%

June 81 / 25 / 31%

july 81 / 27 / 34

This all data is from Spredsheet. As we can see, July is way ahead of May and June.

July seems luckiest month of 2013.

It still paints a pretty bleak picture for being approved in April, March and April are at only 70% ish while May - June are only 1/3 done!

[aditya3245 113]

It still paints a pretty bleak picture for being approved in April, March and April are at only 70% ish while May - June are only 1/3 done!

Actually that might not bode so bad for us.

As bad as it sounds, the fact that they're focussing on incoming months is actually not that bad (for us as Augusters)

The reason they processed July super-fast is because they can now claim 6 month processing (between July 2013 and Jan 2014).

Something tells me August will ALSO do this well.

~~~~~

UNLESS, their plan is to consolidate everything between March and July and NOT transfer ANYBODY - I think at least 30% of August filers are about to get very lucky and get their NOA2 when February finishes.

~~~~~~

Also they are extremely unpredictable - so they're probably going to be haphazard about everything.

Its quite Machiavellian how they're going to pitt May-June filers against July-August filers.

Good job Janet napolitano !

I hope your piece of ###### immigration reform bill never passes.

Edited January 25, 2014 by aditya3245

[nightingalejules 678]

Also, to keep up the hopeful spirit, it seems like the majority of the volume of DACA has been dealt with, and Phillipines expedites have now been mostly pulled out of the piles and processed, (since there don't seem to be as many of them getting NOA2s now) so the workers can go back to "business as usual" and process the regular applications a little bit more quickly. Everybody's processing seems to be speeding up - a month or so ago, hardly anybody who wasn't a Phillipines expedite was getting approved, and now it seems to be pretty across the board.

In addition, since last week was a short week for federal employees in the US (MLK day), it may be that we only wound up with one transfer day in the week rather than 2 as a result of that.

Of course, we have no idea what they're really doing in there, but I continue to be hopeful that barring another disaster that pushes us to the back of the line again, we can reasonably expect that the pace will be picking up for everybody. I think that if they really do want to get the processing times back to reasonable levels, they will be able to do it now.

And you never know, maybe they'll actually start processing the volumes of files they want to at NBC... eventually they'd hoped to be able to process all the stand alone i-130s there, and not transfer them at all, right? Has anybody in KC or Overland Park driven by the building designated for NBC lately? Does it look like people have moved in yet? If and when that facility is up and running to capacity, I imagine that the transfers will stop and they'll process what they have at the Overland Park facility.

[Eastyo 100]

Also, to keep up the hopeful spirit, it seems like the majority of the volume of DACA has been dealt with, and Phillipines expedites have now been mostly pulled out of the piles and processed, (since there don't seem to be as many of them getting NOA2s now) so the workers can go back to "business as usual" and process the regular applications a little bit more quickly. Everybody's processing seems to be speeding up - a month or so ago, hardly anybody who wasn't a Phillipines expedite was getting approved, and now it seems to be pretty across the board.

In addition, since last week was a short week for federal employees in the US (MLK day), it may be that we only wound up with one transfer day in the week rather than 2 as a result of that.

Of course, we have no idea what they're really doing in there, but I continue to be hopeful that barring another disaster that pushes us to the back of the line again, we can reasonably expect that the pace will be picking up for everybody. I think that if they really do want to get the processing times back to reasonable levels, they will be able to do it now.

And you never know, maybe they'll actually start processing the volumes of files they want to at NBC... eventually they'd hoped to be able to process all the stand alone i-130s there, and not transfer them at all, right? Has anybody in KC or Overland Park driven by the building designated for NBC lately? Does it look like people have moved in yet? If and when that facility is up and running to capacity, I imagine that the transfers will stop and they'll process what they have at the Overland Park facility.

You make a good point, however i wonder why the "average times" posted actually went UP rather than down?

I would love to be optimistic, and i would be if there was some sort of process we could follow.... trouble is you are either in the group that is lucky, or you wait 9 + months.

However, correct me if i am wrong, there are not to many over then 9 months still to go now?

I see you can't comment on this now!

http://uscisconnect.ideascale.com/a/dtd/Give-US-Citizen-I-130-I-129F-Petitions-Proper-Priority/461215-24738

[Lisa y Miguel 62]

You make a good point, however i wonder why the "average times" posted actually went UP rather than down?

I would love to be optimistic, and i would be if there was some sort of process we could follow.... trouble is you are either in the group that is lucky, or you wait 9 + months.

However, correct me if i am wrong, there are not to many over then 9 months still to go now?

I see you can't comment on this now!

http://uscisconnect.ideascale.com/a/dtd/Give-US-Citizen-I-130-I-129F-Petitions-Proper-Priority/461215-24738

hmm....archived as "off topic" now...nice move lol..unreal

[dirk_diggler 107]

july has a high rate of approval already because it seems most of their petition went to CSC

[aditya3245 113]

... trouble is you are either in the group that is lucky, or you wait 9 + months.

yes sir.

you are correct

[Eastyo 100]

yes sir.

you are correct

At the moment is there many over 9 months. From what I see, most are around 8 months, even those at TSC & NBC or am i completely wrong?

[Eastyo 100]

At the moment is there many over 9 months. From what I see, most are around 8 months, even those at TSC & NBC or am i completely wrong?

Actually i just looked at the April/May filers.... many of them are at 9 months and still waiting for action! this is a joke!