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Arctic methane release could cost economy $60 trillion -study

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By Nina Chestney



LONDON, July 24 (Reuters) - A release of methane in the Arctic could speed the melting of sea ice and climate change with a cost to the global economy of up to $60 trillion over coming decades, according to a paper published in the journal Nature.



Researchers at the University of Cambridge and Erasmus University in the Netherlands used economic modelling to calculate the consequences of a release of a 50-gigatonne reservoir of methane from thawing permafrost under the East Siberian Sea.



They examined a scenario in which there is a release of methane over a decade as global temperatures rise at their current pace.


They also looked at lower and slower releases, yet all produced "steep" economic costs stemming from physical changes to the Arctic.



"The global impact of a warming Arctic is an economic time-bomb," said Gail Whiteman, an author of the report and professor of sustainability, management and climate change at the Rotterdam School of Management, part of Erasmus University.



"In the absence of climate-change mitigation measures, the model calculates that it would increase mean global climate impacts by $60 trillion," said Chris Hope, a reader in policy modelling at the Cambridge Judge Business School, part of the University of Cambridge.



That approaches the value of the global economy, which was around $70 trillion last year.



The costs could be even greater if other factors such as ocean acidification were included, the study said, or reduced to some $37 trillion if action is taken to lower emissions.



As much as 80 percent of the costs would likely be borne by developing countries experiencing more extreme weather, flooding, droughts and poorer health as the Arctic melt affects the global climate, the paper said.




http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/07/24/arctic-methane-idUSL6N0FT1PU20130724?feedType=RSS&feedName=rbssEnergyNews&rpc=43


Edited by Lincolns mullet
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By Nina Chestney

LONDON, July 24 (Reuters) - A release of methane in the Arctic could speed the melting of sea ice and climate change with a cost to the global economy of up to $60 trillion over coming decades, according to a paper published in the journal Nature.

Researchers at the University of Cambridge and Erasmus University in the Netherlands used economic modelling to calculate the consequences of a release of a 50-gigatonne reservoir of methane from thawing permafrost under the East Siberian Sea.

They examined a scenario in which there is a release of methane over a decade as global temperatures rise at their current pace.

They also looked at lower and slower releases, yet all produced "steep" economic costs stemming from physical changes to the Arctic.

"The global impact of a warming Arctic is an economic time-bomb," said Gail Whiteman, an author of the report and professor of sustainability, management and climate change at the Rotterdam School of Management, part of Erasmus University.

"In the absence of climate-change mitigation measures, the model calculates that it would increase mean global climate impacts by $60 trillion," said Chris Hope, a reader in policy modelling at the Cambridge Judge Business School, part of the University of Cambridge.

That approaches the value of the global economy, which was around $70 trillion last year.

The costs could be even greater if other factors such as ocean acidification were included, the study said, or reduced to some $37 trillion if action is taken to lower emissions.

As much as 80 percent of the costs would likely be borne by developing countries experiencing more extreme weather, flooding, droughts and poorer health as the Arctic melt affects the global climate, the paper said.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/07/24/arctic-methane-idUSL6N0FT1PU20130724?feedType=RSS&feedName=rbssEnergyNews&rpc=43

Global temperatures are falling. You need to pull yourself out of the 90's. Al Gore has faded to irrelevance.

Edited by himher

 

i don't get it.

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I would say time to start building an ark .... Some people say there was never an ark....... what to do..... what to do

If more citizens were armed, criminals would think twice about attacking them, Detroit Police Chief James Craig

Florida currently has more concealed-carry permit holders than any other state, with 1,269,021 issued as of May 14, 2014

The liberal elite ... know that the people simply cannot be trusted; that they are incapable of just and fair self-government; that left to their own devices, their society will be racist, sexist, homophobic, and inequitable -- and the liberal elite know how to fix things. They are going to help us live the good and just life, even if they have to lie to us and force us to do it. And they detest those who stand in their way."
- A Nation Of Cowards, by Jeffrey R. Snyder

Tavis Smiley: 'Black People Will Have Lost Ground in Every Single Economic Indicator' Under Obama

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Democrats>Socialists>Communists - Same goals, different speeds.

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I would say time to start building an ark .... Some people say there was never an ark....... what to do..... what to do

You could do what they did in that movie.

2012-10.jpg

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I bet you didn't graduate from an Ivy League school.

http://notrickszone.com/2013/04/26/joe-bastardi-on-global-temperature-the-fall-is-very-very-plain-to-see-youll-see-this-trend-continue/

No need for an Ivy League education to read a trend. There were 11 years of stagnant temperatures and the last 4 years global temperatures have been falling.

Would you like more sources genius? Add your lack of knowledge of global temperatures to your lack of knowledge of guy buyback programs.

Edited by himher

 

i don't get it.

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http://notrickszone.com/2013/04/26/joe-bastardi-on-global-temperature-the-fall-is-very-very-plain-to-see-youll-see-this-trend-continue/

No need for an Ivy League education to read a trend. There were 11 years of stagnant temperatures and the last 4 years global temperatures have been falling.

Blasphemer
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