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VSC - I-130 Approval rate (Some number crunching)

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Filed: Country: India
Timeline

So while waiting for my NOA2 from VSC and trying to keep myself busy, I took data from Igor's list and came up with the approval rate on I-130 for VSC. Now keep in mind, that this data is only based on user input on this website but it should give us a general rate. The approval rate for earlier month is low as the data I used only showed applications started since August 2011. VSC probably approved lot of applications in early months that would have been started before August 2011.

Currently we are looking at 45-50 approvals a month on Igor's list. Which means we should be looking at closing around 40-50 applications/month from Igor's list.

Currently, Igor's list show around 156 unapproved timelines since Sept. 2011. Some of the timelines haven't been updated so essentially, there are fewer people with unapproved timelines than 156. But even with 156, if the current rate is kept up, we should see the July fillers to be approved by late October (I hope!!!) or early November.

Take these numbers as you may (as this is not a scientific study). They gave me a little faith and hope. Hopefully it helps you as well in order to cope with this difficult journey.

Month - Approvals

Jan - 1

Feb - 3

Mar - 10

Apr - 8

May - 11

Jun - 50

Jul - 46

Aug - 10

I would appreciate any thoughts or criticisms.

7/24/2012 - I-130 sent to Chicago lockbox
7/27/2012 - NOA1 via text/email - Case forwarded to VSC.
8/01/2012 - NOA1 received in mail
3/06/2013 - NOA2 received text

3/18/2013 - NVC received case (no case # yet)
4/01/2013 - NVC Case# & IIN number received
4/01/2013 - DS-3032 Generated
4/01/2013 - DS-3032 Sent (via email)
4/01/2013 - AOS fee invoiced
4/01/2013 - AOS fee paid (but shows "in process")
4/03/2013 - AOS packet sent
4/04/2013 - AOS received @ NVC
4/05/2013 - AOS fee shows as paid
4/09/2013 - IV fee invoiced
4/09/2013 - IV fee paid (but shows "in process")
4/10/2013 - IV packet sent
4/11/2013 - IV packet received @ NVC
4/17/2013 - AOS package accepted - False checklist for IV package generated
4/23/2013 - Case Complete

5/01/2013 - Interview date received

6/12/2013 - Interview Scheduled-- APPROVED!

6/28/3013 - POE - Atlanta

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: India
Timeline

Statistics, Number crunching works in Finance and Accounting Not with USCIS. But good work on collecting and mining that information.

Anyway you seem to have applied in August, when are u expecting your approval? I applied in April, still waiting.

Timeline

USCIS

04/20/2012: I-130 Sent

04/23/2012: NOA1 Priority Date

04/30/2012: I-797 Rec'd Hard copy

11/01/2012: NOA2 E-mail & Text

11/05/2012: Received NOA2 hardcopy

NVC

11/06/2012: NVC received case(Checked by calling)

11/06/2012: Got Case number/IIN from NVC (Over the phone)

11/07/2012: Provided Petitioner/Beneficiary email addresses to NVC

11/07/2012: Sent DS-3032 (EMail version)

11/08/2012: Received email from NVC (AOS Invoice and DS-3032)

11/08/2012: Paid AOS Bill(Status: InProcess)

11/08/2012: Beneficiary emailed Signed/Scanned copy of DS-3032

11/13/2012: AOS Bill Status Changed to PAID

11/13/2012: Sent AOS Package

11/15/2012: NVC Received AOS Packet

11/20/2012: Beneficiary received email from NVC that DS-3032 is accepted

11/21/2012: Received email from NVC about IV Invoice

11/21/2012: Paid IV Fee (Status: InProcess)

11/23/2012: IV Bill Status Changed to PAID)

11/23/2012: Sent IV Package

11/27/2012: NVC Received IV Packet

11/29/2012: NVC Accepted AOS

12/11/2012: NVC Accepted DS-230 partI & II

12/12/2012: Received Interview Date

12/12/2012: Case complete at NVC and Transferred to India

CONSULATE

12/18/2012: Embassy received

12/20/2012: Medical

01/15/2013: Interview

01/18/2013: Visa

03/07/2013: POE

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: India
Timeline

So while waiting for my NOA2 from VSC and trying to keep myself busy, I took data from Igor's list and came up with the approval rate on I-130 for VSC. Now keep in mind, that this data is only based on user input on this website but it should give us a general rate. The approval rate for earlier month is low as the data I used only showed applications started since August 2011. VSC probably approved lot of applications in early months that would have been started before August 2011.

Currently we are looking at 45-50 approvals a month on Igor's list. Which means we should be looking at closing around 40-50 applications/month from Igor's list.

Currently, Igor's list show around 156 unapproved timelines since Sept. 2011. Some of the timelines haven't been updated so essentially, there are fewer people with unapproved timelines than 156. But even with 156, if the current rate is kept up, we should see the July fillers to be approved by late October (I hope!!!) or early November.

Take these numbers as you may (as this is not a scientific study). They gave me a little faith and hope. Hopefully it helps you as well in order to cope with this difficult journey.

Month - Approvals

Jan - 1

Feb - 3

Mar - 10

Apr - 8

May - 11

Jun - 50

Jul - 46

Aug - 10

I would appreciate any thoughts or criticisms.

None of these are going to give you accurate stats unless you are really pulling out statistics data from USCIS website doing status check on all VSC case numbers and mapped them into each month. Yes, we had a VJ member who was doing this back in early this year during his spare time and it was fairly accurate.

I-130 Processed at USCIS

========================

12/17/2011 : I-130 Sent to USCIS

12/20/2011 : I-130 NOA1

05/11/2012 : I-130 NOA2

NVC

===

05/28/2012 : Received at NVC

06/11/2012 : Case number issued by NVC

06/11/2012 : DS-3032 Choice of Agent Email Sent to NVC

06/13/2012 : AOS Bill Issued

06/13/2012 : AOS Bill Paid

06/14/2012 : AOS Bill Marked as "PAID" in NVC System

06/14/2012 : AOS Package Mailed to NVC

06/18/2012 : AOS Package Delivered to NVC

06/19/2012 : DS-3032 Accepted

06/21/2012 : IV Bill Issued

06/21/2012 : IV Bill Paid

06/21/2012 : IV Package Mailed to NVC

06/22/2012 : IV Bill Marked as "PAID" in NVC System

06/22/2012 : IV Package Delivered to NVC

06/25/2012 : AOS Accepted by NVC

06/29/2012 : IV Accepted by NVC

06/29/2012 : Case Complete at NVC

08/01/2012 : Interview Date Assigned and Case Forwarded from NVC to Mumbai Consulate

09/07/2012 : Interview at Mumbai Consulate (Result: Approved!)

09/11/2012 : Received Visa in Mail at home

09/22/2012 : POE at Houston, TX (IAH)

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: India
Timeline

Statistics, Number crunching works in Finance and Accounting Not with USCIS. But good work on collecting and mining that information.

Anyway you seem to have applied in August, when are u expecting your approval? I applied in April, still waiting.

Go create your timeline so others can learn your updates.

I-130 Processed at USCIS

========================

12/17/2011 : I-130 Sent to USCIS

12/20/2011 : I-130 NOA1

05/11/2012 : I-130 NOA2

NVC

===

05/28/2012 : Received at NVC

06/11/2012 : Case number issued by NVC

06/11/2012 : DS-3032 Choice of Agent Email Sent to NVC

06/13/2012 : AOS Bill Issued

06/13/2012 : AOS Bill Paid

06/14/2012 : AOS Bill Marked as "PAID" in NVC System

06/14/2012 : AOS Package Mailed to NVC

06/18/2012 : AOS Package Delivered to NVC

06/19/2012 : DS-3032 Accepted

06/21/2012 : IV Bill Issued

06/21/2012 : IV Bill Paid

06/21/2012 : IV Package Mailed to NVC

06/22/2012 : IV Bill Marked as "PAID" in NVC System

06/22/2012 : IV Package Delivered to NVC

06/25/2012 : AOS Accepted by NVC

06/29/2012 : IV Accepted by NVC

06/29/2012 : Case Complete at NVC

08/01/2012 : Interview Date Assigned and Case Forwarded from NVC to Mumbai Consulate

09/07/2012 : Interview at Mumbai Consulate (Result: Approved!)

09/11/2012 : Received Visa in Mail at home

09/22/2012 : POE at Houston, TX (IAH)

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Filed: Country: India
Timeline

Statistics, Number crunching works in Finance and Accounting Not with USCIS. But good work on collecting and mining that information.

Anyway you seem to have applied in August, when are u expecting your approval? I applied in April, still waiting.

I was hoping by early December to have NOA2. CSC seems to be flying compare to VSC. I understand this "study" won't be accurate. Just something to give me hope, I guess.

Lot more timelines were created by VJ members from January till April this year compared to months after that. Now only USCIS knows whether that trend reflects the actual applications received by them or not.

7/24/2012 - I-130 sent to Chicago lockbox
7/27/2012 - NOA1 via text/email - Case forwarded to VSC.
8/01/2012 - NOA1 received in mail
3/06/2013 - NOA2 received text

3/18/2013 - NVC received case (no case # yet)
4/01/2013 - NVC Case# & IIN number received
4/01/2013 - DS-3032 Generated
4/01/2013 - DS-3032 Sent (via email)
4/01/2013 - AOS fee invoiced
4/01/2013 - AOS fee paid (but shows "in process")
4/03/2013 - AOS packet sent
4/04/2013 - AOS received @ NVC
4/05/2013 - AOS fee shows as paid
4/09/2013 - IV fee invoiced
4/09/2013 - IV fee paid (but shows "in process")
4/10/2013 - IV packet sent
4/11/2013 - IV packet received @ NVC
4/17/2013 - AOS package accepted - False checklist for IV package generated
4/23/2013 - Case Complete

5/01/2013 - Interview date received

6/12/2013 - Interview Scheduled-- APPROVED!

6/28/3013 - POE - Atlanta

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Filed: Country: India
Timeline

None of these are going to give you accurate stats unless you are really pulling out statistics data from USCIS website doing status check on all VSC case numbers and mapped them into each month. Yes, we had a VJ member who was doing this back in early this year during his spare time and it was fairly accurate.

yeah, it was just to give a general idea. it's dependent upon lots of assumptions and I only wish we could get accurate data from USCIS. anyways, I am hoping VSC speeds up and provides approval for people before me who have been waiting for a long time.

7/24/2012 - I-130 sent to Chicago lockbox
7/27/2012 - NOA1 via text/email - Case forwarded to VSC.
8/01/2012 - NOA1 received in mail
3/06/2013 - NOA2 received text

3/18/2013 - NVC received case (no case # yet)
4/01/2013 - NVC Case# & IIN number received
4/01/2013 - DS-3032 Generated
4/01/2013 - DS-3032 Sent (via email)
4/01/2013 - AOS fee invoiced
4/01/2013 - AOS fee paid (but shows "in process")
4/03/2013 - AOS packet sent
4/04/2013 - AOS received @ NVC
4/05/2013 - AOS fee shows as paid
4/09/2013 - IV fee invoiced
4/09/2013 - IV fee paid (but shows "in process")
4/10/2013 - IV packet sent
4/11/2013 - IV packet received @ NVC
4/17/2013 - AOS package accepted - False checklist for IV package generated
4/23/2013 - Case Complete

5/01/2013 - Interview date received

6/12/2013 - Interview Scheduled-- APPROVED!

6/28/3013 - POE - Atlanta

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