Estimate for NOA2

[RandT 0]

I turned in my I-129F in early December and my NOA2 estimate is end of May and it keeps pushing back further each week.

I know the average is 5 months but in my case it's almost 6 months. Is this normal?

I believe they are working on August filers. I'm wondering are others getting similar estimate for the NOA2?

thanks

[Inky 1,110]

if you look at the time lines on VJ currently most are being approved around 6 month time frame.

[photomile 101]

The estimate dates on VJ are JUST estimates based on what is put on here by VJ members, and isn't a perfect estimation. It should also be taken with a pinch of salt since the number of people who use the Timeline feature is just a small fraction of the total number of petitions and applicants. The best thing to suggest here is to sit and wait, as the USCIS won't tell you any more than "5 Months" unless they are behind.

[Moomin 292]

I've seen use of the word guesstimate. It fits well into the waiting for NOA2. It goes up and down for the service centers, last year around this time it was the same with VSC, then CSC, then they pick up and slow down(so it seems). I'd say when it's this early after submitting the petition, try to get the best out of the waiting by not focusing too much on time lines. It's like boiling an egg and you stand around waiting for it to be done. Takes forever!

[GandK 168]

I turned in my I-129F in early December and my NOA2 estimate is end of May and it keeps pushing back further each week.

I know the average is 5 months but in my case it's almost 6 months. Is this normal?

I believe they are working on August filers. I'm wondering are others getting similar estimate for the NOA2?

thanks

VJ estimate is based on timeline statistics and it is re-computed as the timelines are updated to reflect the current trend. A lot of people don't update their timeline here. Even A LOT more people don't even use this forum.

CSC completes ~ 2000 I129F cases per month which means the timeline data on VJ here only represents about ~5% or less of all of the actual cases, but it does give quite a reasonably accurate trend nevertheless.

You should definitely not make any plan based on the estimate and IMO you should just take it with a grain of salt. Your NOA2 can come weeks sooner or weeks later.

Without expedition or RFE, my guesstimate is that NOA2 will come 4-6 months after NOA1 ( USCIS's expressed processing time of 5 months +- 30 days)

Edited January 18, 2012 by GandK

[Dan & Jenni 457]

I've seen use of the word guesstimate. It fits well into the waiting for NOA2. It goes up and down for the service centers, last year around this time it was the same with VSC, then CSC, then they pick up and slow down(so it seems). I'd say when it's this early after submitting the petition, try to get the best out of the waiting by not focusing too much on time lines. It's like boiling an egg and you stand around waiting for it to be done. Takes forever!

i think you forgot to turn on the hob if it is taking forever

[TiklingGuy 211]

6 monts is common. Give them a call at 5 month mark and check up on it.

[Moomin 292]

i think you forgot to turn on the hob if it is taking forever

Solves a bunch of mysteries out of a sudden!

[Dan & Jenni 457]

Solves a bunch of mysteries out of a sudden!

i am just glad i can help VJ members solve all these life altering mysteries

[Mark + Melissa 49]

I turned in my I-129F in early December and my NOA2 estimate is end of May and it keeps pushing back further each week.

I know the average is 5 months but in my case it's almost 6 months. Is this normal?

I believe they are working on August filers. I'm wondering are others getting similar estimate for the NOA2?

thanks

*shrugs* I'm over 6 months and still waiting.. I have a friend on here that's over 7 months and still waiting...

[David & Yulya 7]

Last spring CSC was averaging 3 months or less. I know many people who had it in that time frame. Now 5+ months? I know they move focus from certain visas at different times of the year, but I don't know.

[san diego 407]

Guys! This is normal seasonal cycle. I see this every year. If you file in February/March - wait is the shortest - about 2-3 months to NOA2. If you file July-August-September - wait is the longest - 5-6 months, which is normal, and it is EVERY YEAR. The reason is that most people apply for I129F in July/August/September for one or another reason (maybe, falling in love in Spring or something). USCIS cannot hire more people just to process July/August/September, so be patient. NOAS2 will be coming soon!

[Impatient Cupcake 10]

Guys! This is normal seasonal cycle. I see this every year. If you file in February/March - wait is the shortest - about 2-3 months to NOA2. If you file July-August-September - wait is the longest - 5-6 months, which is normal, and it is EVERY YEAR. The reason is that most people apply for I129F in July/August/September for one or another reason (maybe, falling in love in Spring or something). USCIS cannot hire more people just to process July/August/September, so be patient. NOAS2 will be coming soon!

wish i knew this before we filed

[GCPony 14]

wish i knew this before we filed

I hit 6 months Jan 15th, 2012. Called USCIS December 15 and they said they were processing cases from June 16th, 2011. I called again yesterday, and they said they're still processing cases from June 16 2011.

DO NOT MAKE PLANS if your plans require waiting on USCIS. They're backed up a LOT longer than 5 months and they cannot give you an estimate.

[Impatient Cupcake 10]

I hit 6 months Jan 15th, 2012. Called USCIS December 15 and they said they were processing cases from June 16th, 2011. I called again yesterday, and they said they're still processing cases from June 16 2011.

DO NOT MAKE PLANS if your plans require waiting on USCIS. They're backed up a LOT longer than 5 months and they cannot give you an estimate.

we're afraid to call now because last time we did, they said we call too much lol.