John McCain tells Republicans the primary is over

[Mr. Big Dog 10,747]

First off Romney will get 2nd or 3rd which is fine in SC....After that it will be unofficially over when Romney wins Florida. And officially over on March 6th Super Tuesday. Santorum is now sitting high and the number 2 contender. Romney could not ask for a more perfect number two-man.

January 3, 2012Iowa (caucus) – Results

January 10, 2012New Hampshire (primary)

January 21, 2012South Carolina (primary)

January 31, 2012Florida (primary) ---> primary should be over here

February 4, 2012Nevada (caucus)

February 4–11, 2012Maine (caucus)

February 7, 2012Colorado (caucus)

Minnesota (caucus)

Missouri (primary) – *See note below on Missouri

February 28, 2012Arizona (primary)

Michigan (primary)

March 3, 2012Washington (caucus)

March 6, 2012

(Super Tuesday)Alaska (caucus)

Georgia (primary)

Idaho (caucus)

Massachusetts (primary)

North Dakota (caucus)

Ohio (primary)

Oklahoma (primary)

Tennessee (primary)

Vermont (primary)

Virginia (primary)

Beat me to it.

[Mr. Big Dog 10,747]

Romney can't get over 20-25% of the GOP vote. Once the conservatives begin to coalesce around a single candidate, it's over for Mitt.

Mitt merely needs to keep Newt, Santorum and Perry around until the end of the month. He needs them to split the conservative vote in SC and FL. If he manages that, he's bound to come out alive in SC and on top in FL. Then, he's the man. The rest of the primary season will be statistics.

[웃 910]

Romney can't get over 20-25% of the GOP vote. Once the conservatives begin to coalesce around a single candidate, it's over for Mitt.

Election 2012: Republican Presidential Primary

National GOP Poll: Romney 29%, Santorum 21%, Gingrich 16%

Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum, coming off his photo finish with Mitt Romney in the Iowa caucuses, is now in second place among Republican voters in the race for the party's 2012 presidential nomination.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey, taken the night after the caucuses, shows Romney again in first place with support from 29% of Likely Republican Primary Voters, followed by Santorum with 21%.

Edited January 5, 2012 by ☠

[웃 910]

Romney can't get over 20-25% of the GOP vote.

You're about to witness him 'slowly' surge to the point of no return. You see Gingrich got to 35 and Perry even got to over 30....

Edited January 5, 2012 by ☠

[웃 910]

Not sure how accurate these polls are but...

SC:

Florida:

[Gary and Alla 3,694]

You kids have fun coloring with your crayons. I am going shooting with real guns and real bullets. Alla thinks she can beat me three weeks in a row.

[mawilson 2,133]

John McCain says the primary is over

"It sure is - and I'm the winner!" he added.

Then he remembered it's not 2008 anymore.

Edited January 5, 2012 by mawilson

[SMR 368]

Not sure how accurate these polls are but...

SC:

Florida:

The problem is that these RCP is just an average of the past 5 or 6 polls. Some of those polls are several weeks old and they have a tendency to screw up the average.

Here is a breakdown of the polls (and their dates, sample sizes, and pools, whether that be adults, registered voters, or likely voters) that make up the current national average as reported by RCP. The Rasmussen poll taken on 1/4 shows Gingrich falling off the edge of the earth and Santorum up at 21%. Romney has climbed to 29% (which is more than 25). Although the sample size is smaller, that is probably the only accurate gauge of national opinion post Iowa.

[^_^ 5,021]

So. What do you think Romney offered McCain?

$45 million

[SMR 368]

$45 million

That's certainly a stretch. 4 years ago, Romney decided not to seek reimbursement through donations for the loans he made to his own campaign and that means that Romney bought off McCain. I get that it freed up donors to contribute to the McCain Campaign. But really?

The problem with people loaning money to their own campaigns is that when it gets to the repaying step, it allows someone to essentially give money to the candidate personally. This is a particular problem when that candidate ends up being in a position of power. See Hillary Clinton, who found herself in the same situation. As Senator and later Secretary of State, she was able to collect "donations" to pay back her loans to her campaign.

Obviously, Romney is in the somewhat uncommon position of being able to write off a $45 million loan and not go hungry. But nonetheless it's a stretch to claim he was pulling strings and making alliances by writing off a loan to his own campaign. Would the alternative, seeking donations to repay the loan, have been more reasonable, honorable, or straightforward? I certainly don't think so.

[웃 910]

You kids have fun coloring with your crayons. I am going shooting with real guns and real bullets. Alla thinks she can beat me three weeks in a row.

You too.

I'm going to work on a $6,000 Audi I bought last night for $1800. Have fun!

[웃 910]

First off Romney will get 2nd or 3rd which is fine in SC....After that it will be unofficially over when Romney wins Florida. And officially over on March 6th Super Tuesday. Santorum is now sitting high and the number 2 contender. Romney could not ask for a more perfect number two-man.

January 3, 2012Iowa (caucus) – Results

January 10, 2012New Hampshire (primary)

January 21, 2012South Carolina (primary)

January 31, 2012Florida (primary)

February 4, 2012Nevada (caucus)

February 4–11, 2012Maine (caucus)

February 7, 2012Colorado (caucus)

Minnesota (caucus)

Missouri (primary) – *See note below on Missouri

February 28, 2012Arizona (primary)

Michigan (primary)

March 3, 2012Washington (caucus)

March 6, 2012

(Super Tuesday)Alaska (caucus)

Georgia (primary)

Idaho (caucus)

Massachusetts (primary)

North Dakota (caucus)

Ohio (primary)

Oklahoma (primary)

Tennessee (primary)

Vermont (primary)

Virginia (primary)

You're going to start seeing these clowns drop out of the race after Super Tuesday....Unfortunately for Republicans Mitt Romney will most likely lose in these improving economic times...Dropping U/E, millions of jobs created under Obama, optimism, etc.

Oh, Obama just hit 50% in a new MSNBC/WSJ poll today. Pretty much the best position he's been in since election day: http://themoderatevoice.com/140649/msnbcwall-street-journal-poll-republican-and-and-presidential-candidates-hurt-by-primary-season-as-obama-rises/

The only hope the GOP has (and they WILL ROOT FOR THIS!) is soaring gas prices....Romney is probably praying every night for the destruction of the economy and $5 a gallon gas

Super Tuesday Is Tomorrow And Ohio Just Flipped To Romney In The Polls

Mitt Romney has now won five Republican contests in a row. Since Rick Santorum's surge, Romney has won caucuses and primaries in Maine, Michigan, Arizona, Wyoming, and Washington.

And that momentum is showing in the final polls going into Super Tuesday.

On February 27, Quinnipiac University released a poll showing Santorum with a 36 – 29 percent

lead

over Romney. This morning they released another and it showed Romney leading Santorum 34 – 31. That is a 10-point swing.

Here's Quinnipiac's Peter Brown explaining the result: "To borrow from the book of Berra, Yogi that is: It’s deja vu all over again for Gov. Mitt Romney. Just as he did in Florida and Michigan, Romney has erased a sizable deficit a week before the primary to grab the momentum in the final 24 hours. A week ago, Quinnipiac had Sen. Santorum ahead by seven points, now it’s Romney by three – a 10-point swing in seven days. The margin makes the Ohio race too close to call, but Romney is the one with the wind at his back.”

Santorum may win two or three states, and Gingrich looks like he is in a good position to win Georgia but, according to politics-number-cruncher Nate Silver, Mitt Romney is poised once again to achieve a solid majority of delegates in the four man race.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/super-tuesday-is-tomorrow-and-ohio-just-flipped-to-romney-in-the-polls-2012-3#ixzz1oFZ57EWk

[slim 1,530]

Ron Paul, FTW!

I've heard after Tuesday, Newt will be out, Romney will begin falling, and Santorum and Paul will duke it out for the win!

[웃 910]

Ron Paul, FTW!

I've heard after Tuesday, Newt will be out, Romney will begin falling, and Santorum and Paul will duke it out for the win!

It was mathematically impossible for Ron Paul to win after the Iowa Caucus on January 3rd (where Paul came in a very sad third place).

You know why it was mathematically impossible after THE FIRST RACE? Because Ron Paul will not win a single election, ever! Not even in Texas. Or Maine where A PATHETIC 2,070 people was all Paul needed for the win!

[slim 1,530]

It was mathematically impossible for Ron Paul to win after the Iowa Caucus on January 3rd (where Paul came in a very sad third place).

You know why it was mathematically impossible after THE FIRST RACE? Because Ron Paul will not win a single election, ever! Not even in Texas. Or Maine where A PATHETIC 2,070 people was all Paul needed for the win!

I hope you have your $50 ready!