January 2012 Visa Bulletin Prediction

[Mrs PJ 5]

some latino countries are not a part of mexico.

Obviously Haiti will not.

Visa bulletin has exclusive columns where they mention mexico and phillipines, dominican republic is subject to numeric limitations and yes it is caribbean or latin country indeed.

But haiti and other like jamaica, puerto rico etc etc are not a part of mexico.

I don't understand...Does that mean more waiting time for Haiti F2a? Please help.

[Arman81 0]

Need help Age out

PD nov 29 2009

Approval. Sep 16 2010

Case complete march 16 2011

Dob. June 16 1990

I need help I should be ok or age out

My mother filed for me

Please advice me I am so worried

[RICARDO4EVA2 194]

Need help Age out

PD nov 29 2009

Approval. Sep 16 2010

Case complete march 16 2011

Dob. June 16 1990

I need help I should be ok or age out

My mother filed for me

Please advice me I am so worried

you have a extra year, you will not age out before you receive an interview. i think you could see results say march 2012

[sp1991 28]

There are not at all any longer waiting times in F2A, there is no need to worry for this category bcoz mexico and phillipines are behind slightly diff from rest of the world, but this news is a very bad and depressing for applicants like me in F2b and all other F1,F3 and F4 will face the bad consequences bcoz those idiots are not increasing the total numbers, moreover on that they have remove the 7% cap to 15%.

It means that mexicans and phillipines where the flood have already been waiting at the gates of dams will open more slightly and they will consume the rest of the world numbers by this addition of 16% comprising both countries cap.

Mexico 7+8=15 and phillipines 7+8=15 equals to x-16%,where x is the total number of family numbers of rest of the world. Where all countries were getting 86% before, they will get only 70% now on wards which brings slow speed for all the categories EXCEPT F2A. :(

nic analysis....and nic to see u on this site...

[sp1991 28]

There are not at all any longer waiting times in F2A, there is no need to worry for this category bcoz mexico and phillipines are behind slightly diff from rest of the world, but this news is a very bad and depressing for applicants like me in F2b and all other F1,F3 and F4 will face the bad consequences bcoz those idiots are not increasing the total numbers, moreover on that they have remove the 7% cap to 15%.

It means that mexicans and phillipines where the flood have already been waiting at the gates of dams will open more slightly and they will consume the rest of the world numbers by this addition of 16% comprising both countries cap.

Mexico 7+8=15 and phillipines 7+8=15 equals to x-16%,where x is the total number of family numbers of rest of the world. Where all countries were getting 86% before, they will get only 70% now on wards which brings slow speed for all the categories EXCEPT F2A. :(

i think it will help india (f4)

coz highest demand of f4 visa is in maxico ..and then india...then Philippines comes..so if the limit is increased to 15 % then it will help beneficiaries from india....and also f1, f2a,f2b, f3 visa demand is very low in india....

so in india visa demand in high for f4 then phillipines...so no matter how long the line in Philippines...the law is about the pending application..ri8?

it will help those country whose priority date is behind from worldwide countries or it will help those countries where visa demand (pending application )

is high..?? ? ? ? ?

and oversubscribe means high visa demand or the cut of dates behind from world wide \?

m confused...plz clear my doubts

i m giving a link of pending visa application and demand of visa in country ..(from dos )

http://www.travel.st...ingListItem.pdf

give me your opinion on that ....

and correct me if i m wrong.....

puru what do u think about it..???

Edited December 4, 2011 by sachin6878

[sp1991 28]

link is dead..

i m giving another link

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/WaitingListItem.pdf

country pending %

Mexico 746,815 29.6%

India 237,445 9.4%

Philippines 205,342 8.2%

Edited December 4, 2011 by sachin6878

[sunny654 4]

link is dead..

i m giving another link

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/WaitingListItem.pdf

country pending %

Mexico 746,815 29.6%

India 237,445 9.4%

Philippines 205,342 8.2%

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/WaitingListItem.pdf

15% per year visa is not for indiviual country its for all over the countries....but its good sign those who have oversubcribe waiting list.

Edited December 4, 2011 by sunny654

[wassup 1]

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/WaitingListItem.pdf

15% per year visa is not for indiviual country its for all over the countries....but its good sign those who have oversubcribe waiting list.

but does that mean that coutries lets say other than India, Philipines, and mexico benefit from that or only these countries benefit? thank u in advance

[sunny654 4]

but does that mean that coutries lets say other than India, Philipines, and mexico benefit from that or only these countries benefit? thank u in advance

Its not for only India,philipines and mexico country...its all countries 15% world wide......like 7% visas issued per year 226000....now they will double 15% visas issued per year 226000+226000=452000...but its good sign for oversubcirbe countries.

[Arman81 0]

you have a extra year, you will not age out before you receive an interview. i think you could see results say march 2012

Thank you so much that was big relief I hope I will get my visa by march so I can't age out

If u explain it to me little more I will be more happy thank u

[puru444 44]

Its not for only India,philipines and mexico country...its all countries 15% world wide......like 7% visas issued per year 226000....now they will double 15% visas issued per year 226000+226000=452000...but its good sign for oversubcirbe countries.

NO. Its absolutely wrong wat u said above.

226000 visas is a total number will remain the same for all the categories under family immigration.

Where, the approximate numbers are:

F1 = 23,000

F2A = 89,000

F2B = 23,000

F3 = 23,000

F4 = 65,000

According to ur logic, F1, F2B and F3 will get 46,000 numbers for a year, which is NOT TRUE.

7% cap was made to control the distribution system where all the countries get the equal benefit by the rule.

Bcoz, mexico and phillipines have a large number of applicants as compared to rest of world countries.

If they dont hold restriction on per country limit cap then u will find that mexico alone absorb all the numbers in any category and the dates will move hardly 3-4 months in a year where all the visa will be allocated to mexico or phillipines where thousands of applicants standing in a queue sharing the same month of pd. To facilitate the system on fair grounds and generate the equality, USCIS ruled the 7% cap limit on every country.

What the problem is rising right now is that:

by increasing the cap size from 7 to 15, mexico and phillipines got some relaxation in numbers and the waiting numbers gt released with good pressure its like opening the tap to increase the water pressure.

1. 7% of 23,000 visas in F1 = 1610 numbers. (It means that no country will get any extra number beyond this limit) i hope u understood now by this calculation.

2. 15% of 23,000 visas in F1 = 3450 numbers. (It means that no country will get any extra number beyond this limit)

BUT, the problem has take place from this idiotic decision where the rest of the world countries were enjoying 23,000 - 1610(Mexico)+ 1610(Phillipines)= 19780

numbers to be distributed among all countries .......

NOW, the rest of the countries will get 23,000-3450(15% mexico)+3450(15% phillipines) = 16100 numbers for rest of the world

(its a huge difference between 19780-16100=3680 more numbers and these 2 countries will absolutely consume these numbers to utilize according to their new

right to claim those numbers)

3. USCIS not increasing the total number but on contrary they have cheated with all the countries by sharing our share to serve these two countries to clear the

huge backlog of many years.

4. If they really wana do smthng good for human beings then they should increase the total numbers rather than creating a more stringent process and the pain

will become more longer, in this way:

The total waiting times will become: F1 = now it takes 6-7 years then it will take upto 10 years to get current

F2b = Now it takes 7-9 years then it will take more than 10 or 11 to get current

F3 = Now its already being pathetic the waiting times are increasing from past 5 years and right now the waiting time

is somewhere 9-10 years and then it will take more than 14 years

F4 = Now its takes 10-11 years then it will take more than 13 to 14 years.

Picture is dark and has no color at all for further processing and people will suffer with extra pain to join their loved ones.

I hope, u people understood this pathetic and mysterious trump card played by USCIS. lolzz best of luck to u all .....

[kumbahara 3]

Well analyzed and agree that HR 3012 is not a helpful change at least in the family based immigration, at least for the under subscribed countries. One important facet that I would like to point out is that the country cap does not just include FB but along with EB. Even with that in the context, more than the amount of visas issued, the lack of transparency on the part of DoS is what aggravates the issue. Look at the thread in http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/336198-transparency-and-cis-bureaucracy/page__view__findpost__p__4975622. I had compiled the visa statistics issued by DoS that bodes well for FB visa issuance and how lack of data other than the single report every YEAR allows DoS to fudge numbers so as to portray an inept organization as doing a better job that it does, because of the flak it received about visa wastage over the years.

Jan 2012 begins with the second quarter of visa allocations for the FY and with HR3012. It is understood that January visa allocation signifies its allocation of visas for the first month of second quarter of State Department visa allocation rules. State Department is required to first allocate the numbers quarterly for a fiscal year. Hence it would set the tone for what stakeholders can expect for this quarter and would be publishing the visa number usage for FY 2011 as well.

NO. Its absolutely wrong wat u said above.

226000 visas is a total number will remain the same for all the categories under family immigration.

Where, the approximate numbers are:

F1 = 23,000

F2A = 89,000

F2B = 23,000

F3 = 23,000

F4 = 65,000

According to ur logic, F1, F2B and F3 will get 46,000 numbers for a year, which is NOT TRUE.

7% cap was made to control the distribution system where all the countries get the equal benefit by the rule.

Bcoz, mexico and phillipines have a large number of applicants as compared to rest of world countries.

If they dont hold restriction on per country limit cap then u will find that mexico alone absorb all the numbers in any category and the dates will move hardly 3-4 months in a year where all the visa will be allocated to mexico or phillipines where thousands of applicants standing in a queue sharing the same month of pd. To facilitate the system on fair grounds and generate the equality, USCIS ruled the 7% cap limit on every country.

What the problem is rising right now is that:

by increasing the cap size from 7 to 15, mexico and phillipines got some relaxation in numbers and the waiting numbers gt released with good pressure its like opening the tap to increase the water pressure.

1. 7% of 23,000 visas in F1 = 1610 numbers. (It means that no country will get any extra number beyond this limit) i hope u understood now by this calculation.

2. 15% of 23,000 visas in F1 = 3450 numbers. (It means that no country will get any extra number beyond this limit)

BUT, the problem has take place from this idiotic decision where the rest of the world countries were enjoying 23,000 - 1610(Mexico)+ 1610(Phillipines)= 19780

numbers to be distributed among all countries .......

NOW, the rest of the countries will get 23,000-3450(15% mexico)+3450(15% phillipines) = 16100 numbers for rest of the world

(its a huge difference between 19780-16100=3680 more numbers and these 2 countries will absolutely consume these numbers to utilize according to their new

right to claim those numbers)

3. USCIS not increasing the total number but on contrary they have cheated with all the countries by sharing our share to serve these two countries to clear the

huge backlog of many years.

4. If they really wana do smthng good for human beings then they should increase the total numbers rather than creating a more stringent process and the pain

will become more longer, in this way:

The total waiting times will become: F1 = now it takes 6-7 years then it will take upto 10 years to get current

F2b = Now it takes 7-9 years then it will take more than 10 or 11 to get current

F3 = Now its already being pathetic the waiting times are increasing from past 5 years and right now the waiting time

is somewhere 9-10 years and then it will take more than 14 years

F4 = Now its takes 10-11 years then it will take more than 13 to 14 years.

Picture is dark and has no color at all for further processing and people will suffer with extra pain to join their loved ones.

I hope, u people understood this pathetic and mysterious trump card played by USCIS. lolzz best of luck to u all .....

[Vishav 3]

Any interview news....

[F2A 7]

Very good analysis...So What do you think about F2A..How it will affect F2A ?

NO. Its absolutely wrong wat u said above.

226000 visas is a total number will remain the same for all the categories under family immigration.

Where, the approximate numbers are:

F1 = 23,000

F2A = 89,000

F2B = 23,000

F3 = 23,000

F4 = 65,000

According to ur logic, F1, F2B and F3 will get 46,000 numbers for a year, which is NOT TRUE.

7% cap was made to control the distribution system where all the countries get the equal benefit by the rule.

Bcoz, mexico and phillipines have a large number of applicants as compared to rest of world countries.

If they dont hold restriction on per country limit cap then u will find that mexico alone absorb all the numbers in any category and the dates will move hardly 3-4 months in a year where all the visa will be allocated to mexico or phillipines where thousands of applicants standing in a queue sharing the same month of pd. To facilitate the system on fair grounds and generate the equality, USCIS ruled the 7% cap limit on every country.

What the problem is rising right now is that:

by increasing the cap size from 7 to 15, mexico and phillipines got some relaxation in numbers and the waiting numbers gt released with good pressure its like opening the tap to increase the water pressure.

1. 7% of 23,000 visas in F1 = 1610 numbers. (It means that no country will get any extra number beyond this limit) i hope u understood now by this calculation.

2. 15% of 23,000 visas in F1 = 3450 numbers. (It means that no country will get any extra number beyond this limit)

BUT, the problem has take place from this idiotic decision where the rest of the world countries were enjoying 23,000 - 1610(Mexico)+ 1610(Phillipines)= 19780

numbers to be distributed among all countries .......

NOW, the rest of the countries will get 23,000-3450(15% mexico)+3450(15% phillipines) = 16100 numbers for rest of the world

(its a huge difference between 19780-16100=3680 more numbers and these 2 countries will absolutely consume these numbers to utilize according to their new

right to claim those numbers)

3. USCIS not increasing the total number but on contrary they have cheated with all the countries by sharing our share to serve these two countries to clear the

huge backlog of many years.

4. If they really wana do smthng good for human beings then they should increase the total numbers rather than creating a more stringent process and the pain

will become more longer, in this way:

The total waiting times will become: F1 = now it takes 6-7 years then it will take upto 10 years to get current

F2b = Now it takes 7-9 years then it will take more than 10 or 11 to get current

F3 = Now its already being pathetic the waiting times are increasing from past 5 years and right now the waiting time

is somewhere 9-10 years and then it will take more than 14 years

F4 = Now its takes 10-11 years then it will take more than 13 to 14 years.

Picture is dark and has no color at all for further processing and people will suffer with extra pain to join their loved ones.

I hope, u people understood this pathetic and mysterious trump card played by USCIS. lolzz best of luck to u all .....

[sunny654 4]

NO. Its absolutely wrong wat u said above.

226000 visas is a total number will remain the same for all the categories under family immigration.

Where, the approximate numbers are:

F1 = 23,000

F2A = 89,000

F2B = 23,000

F3 = 23,000

F4 = 65,000

According to ur logic, F1, F2B and F3 will get 46,000 numbers for a year, which is NOT TRUE.

7% cap was made to control the distribution system where all the countries get the equal benefit by the rule.

Bcoz, mexico and phillipines have a large number of applicants as compared to rest of world countries.

If they dont hold restriction on per country limit cap then u will find that mexico alone absorb all the numbers in any category and the dates will move hardly 3-4 months in a year where all the visa will be allocated to mexico or phillipines where thousands of applicants standing in a queue sharing the same month of pd. To facilitate the system on fair grounds and generate the equality, USCIS ruled the 7% cap limit on every country.

What the problem is rising right now is that:

by increasing the cap size from 7 to 15, mexico and phillipines got some relaxation in numbers and the waiting numbers gt released with good pressure its like opening the tap to increase the water pressure.

1. 7% of 23,000 visas in F1 = 1610 numbers. (It means that no country will get any extra number beyond this limit) i hope u understood now by this calculation.

2. 15% of 23,000 visas in F1 = 3450 numbers. (It means that no country will get any extra number beyond this limit)

BUT, the problem has take place from this idiotic decision where the rest of the world countries were enjoying 23,000 - 1610(Mexico)+ 1610(Phillipines)= 19780

numbers to be distributed among all countries .......

NOW, the rest of the countries will get 23,000-3450(15% mexico)+3450(15% phillipines) = 16100 numbers for rest of the world

(its a huge difference between 19780-16100=3680 more numbers and these 2 countries will absolutely consume these numbers to utilize according to their new

right to claim those numbers)

3. USCIS not increasing the total number but on contrary they have cheated with all the countries by sharing our share to serve these two countries to clear the

huge backlog of many years.

4. If they really wana do smthng good for human beings then they should increase the total numbers rather than creating a more stringent process and the pain

will become more longer, in this way:

The total waiting times will become: F1 = now it takes 6-7 years then it will take upto 10 years to get current

F2b = Now it takes 7-9 years then it will take more than 10 or 11 to get current

F3 = Now its already being pathetic the waiting times are increasing from past 5 years and right now the waiting time

is somewhere 9-10 years and then it will take more than 14 years

F4 = Now its takes 10-11 years then it will take more than 13 to 14 years.

Picture is dark and has no color at all for further processing and people will suffer with extra pain to join their loved ones.

I hope, u people understood this pathetic and mysterious trump card played by USCIS. lolzz best of luck to u all .....

Okey.....Is this law is passed???...or isnt senate???...or when they implementation.????