September 2011 Visa Bulletin Predictions

[PD is Current. 50]

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ricky80s please provide a date of your PD

30JUL08-----Barikhan

23AUG08-----jessy89

15SEP08-----Merlin1

28SEP08-----sgam

23OCT08-----red apple

27OCT08-----H & A

28NOV08-----Ramzach

30DEC08-----elkhris

11JAN09-----Patient Lover

17MAR09-----sigbin

12MAY09-----visabulletin

02JUN09-----studmuffin

24JUN09-----kishorev1

27JUL09-----Homer4all

16Sep09-----M&M BA

30NOV09-----otieno

03FEB10-----ma^khali

04APR10-----ali-khan

15APR10-----optima

23SEP10-----Newbie

07JAN11-----F2A

Edited July 27, 2011 by PD is Current.

[jhp 10]

common ...plz god help us...we have two months that we can have a good forward movement...sep and oct

[miraya 8]

we can expect some interview news tommorow..Last month interview news started comming from 28th.

see this link for last months interview schedules.They started comming from 28th June..

http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/313988-august-2011-visa-bulletin-predictions/page__st__195

so one more day for us..

[jessy89 0]

we can expect some interview news tommorow..Last month interview news started comming from 28th.

see this link for last months interview schedules.They started comming from 28th June..

http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/313988-august-2011-visa-bulletin-predictions/page__st__195

so one more day for us..

Yeap, you are rigth. lets wait tommorrow

[PD is Current. 50]

if there's no more new interviews within a week, that implies two things

1) cutoff date isn't moving forward

2) possible retrogression

let's hope someone gets an interview soon~~~!!

[LADYDARE 28]

No more RETROGRSSION please

[jhp 10]

if there's no more new interviews within a week, that implies two things

1) cutoff date isn't moving forward

2) possible retrogression

let's hope someone gets an interview soon~~~!!

Dont worry..we still have few days.....and yes is there any person in this forum whose pd is before july 22 ,2008????? if there are too many ppl having pd before cut off date, there can be chances of retrogession...otherwise not..other thing is that they may not have visas bcaz they are exhasted the number for 2011..so we will not see further movement..but lets hope for the best...it will move significantly forward...

Edited July 27, 2011 by jhp

[miraya 8]

Dont worry..we still have few days.....and yes is there any person in this forum whose pd is before july 22 ,2008????? if there are too many ppl having pd before cut off date, there can be chances of retrogession...otherwise not..

I know Twinklestar who did have her interview yet.Her PD is June 2008.

Edited July 27, 2011 by miraya

[jhp 10]

I know Twinklestar who did have her interview yet.Her PD is June 2008.

ya but NVC is saying that they are giving interview letter whose pd is befroe march 2008 for india... I HAVE CALLED TODAY...

[miraya 8]

ya but NVC is saying that they are giving interview letter whose pd is befroe march 2008 for india... I HAVE CALLED TODAY...

Really...Does it mean something bad news for India in this VB?

[jhp 10]

Really...Does it mean something bad news for India in this VB?

NOPE...BUT I HAVE SEEN THAT FOR INDIA F4 NUMBERS ARE HIGHER THAN F2A..SO THEY CANNOT BE IN LINE WITH WORLD DUE TO 7% RULE..AND THAT'S WHY INDIA IS 3 MONTH BEHIND...ACTUALLY WE SHOULD REPORT THIS TO DOS OR OTHER AUTHORITY..BCAZ THEY ARE GIVING PRIORITY TO F4 IN PLACE OF F2A SPECIFICALLY IN INDIA..

[kamimitsu 6]

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ricky80s please provide a date of your PD

PD, please add me (well more specifically, my wife) to the list. Her PD is:

28OCT10-----kamimitsu

Thanks!

[josebme 0]

NOPE...BUT I HAVE SEEN THAT FOR INDIA F4 NUMBERS ARE HIGHER THAN F2A..SO THEY CANNOT BE IN LINE WITH WORLD DUE TO 7% RULE..AND THAT'S WHY INDIA IS 3 MONTH BEHIND...ACTUALLY WE SHOULD REPORT THIS TO DOS OR OTHER AUTHORITY..BCAZ THEY ARE GIVING PRIORITY TO F4 IN PLACE OF F2A SPECIFICALLY IN INDIA..

Exactly this is what I was talking earlier in this thread. Here is some more analysis...

I just looked at the visa report for the year 2010 posted at http://travel.state.gov/visa/statistics/statistics_1476.html. It was surprising to see that almost five times more number of visas were given to family fourth preference category compared to family second preference. I don't quiet understand this logic. Then what is the use of F2 preference if F4 were given more visas than F2.

As the many number of F2A are waiting, NVC can not say that there were less F2 demand, so unused F2 visas were given to F4.

I did a simple arithmetic from visa office report for FY 2009. This what I am surprised to see. Visa's are not distributed uniformly.

For china F2A(1,131+1,201=2,332) F4(12,757)

For India F2A(831+902=1,733) F4(18,001)

For Mexico F2A( 28,460 + 46,551 = 75,011) F4 (7443)

from above, we see Mexico was issued 75,011 as against 2331 for China and 1733 for India. If 7% country limit is applied to family preference, max visa for a given country for all category together should be 25,620.

more over, I cannot comprehend why Mexico is issued more F2A visas than F4, Where as for country like China and India F2A is far lesser than F4? The preference should be for F2A OVER F4. Isn't it?

[12356789 0]

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/FY10AnnualReport-TableV-PartI.pdf

[Miami_Boy 9]

I know Twinklestar who did have her interview yet.Her PD is June 2008.

What I learned from my wife's AP..could be possible retrogression ..maybe ran out of visa number for FY 2011..in the paper consular wrote we will contact you as soon as we issue your visa