ALL F4s

[hiiifrndzzz 5]

u no need to worry...u r covered under cspa...u will definitely get your visa......but,tell me when u was interviewed last time......did ur name was mentioned in that interview letter or not ???????

add me on facebook and skype..my id is : jollypelia@yahoo.co.in

I was interviewed in 2010 at that time my name was there in the letter.

[Mian7024 1]

Didn't got i/l!! PD 6 July 2001 .

[hiiifrndzzz 5]

I was interviewed in 2010 at that time my name was there in the letter.

At that time I was 25, now I am 28, so I am worried now..!

[NOMI 173 0]

Didn't got i/l!! PD 6 July 2001

ARE WE LOOKING ONE WEEK MOVEMENT IN SEPTEMBER VB ??????????????????????????????////

[jolly786 96]

ARE WE LOOKING ONE WEEK MOVEMENT IN SEPTEMBER VB ??????????????????????????????////

[jolly786 96]

Guys let me clear you one thing......after 1aug,2001......pd will move very fast...........m sure.......if u want any evidence...i will provide you........for that give me your email id........

secondly,if you guys have any doubts regarding this pd movement....come on bet with me......

[ikabirul 11]

Guys let me clear you one thing......after 1aug,2001......pd will move very fast...........m sure.......if u want any evidence...i will provide you........for that give me your email id........

secondly,if you guys have any doubts regarding this pd movement....come on bet with me......

Hi Jolly

What is the evidence !! Any thing new you have got other than COA and AOS.

[iJustMadeThis 2]

Guys let me clear you one thing......after 1aug,2001......pd will move very fast...........m sure.......if u want any evidence...i will provide you........for that give me your email id........

secondly,if you guys have any doubts regarding this pd movement....come on bet with me......

Is it not possible for you to give me the evidence via personal message here?

[jolly786 96]

This is the evidence........published by uscis..........

[manna 14]

Can you elaborate on your statement Mr. jolly786 what is the evidence?

[jolly786 96]

no able to upload that file here..i tried a lot....

[iJustMadeThis 2]

no able to upload that file here..i tried a lot....

bigeye0725@naver.com

Send me the evidence, please. Will be waiting.

[manna 14]

Mr. Jolly786,Just share the content in your words.

[jolly786 96]

bigeye0725@naver.com

Send me the evidence, please. Will be waiting.

send

[iJustMadeThis 2]

Thanks for the graph, jolly. I do remember seeing this graph. The good ol' LIFE Act...

Parts of private conversation I had with a person on Visajourney (dear one whom I talked to... I hope you didn't mind!). Starting with mine:

==========

One problem I see with the graph (technical) is that it's hard to see a cumulative sum of the applications received by the BCIS/USCIS during the time frame of LIFE Act; intervals between individual points are irregular and I therefore can't exactly tell when exactly the last count of the applications was made to let me add up the numbers (seems like 12 counts per year though, as in months). I tried to point out these points and estimated the sum to be a bit over 1 million over the LIFE Act time frame (but like you said, since it's not just F4, it's hard to tell).

Considering that the graph accounts for all categories and that F4 (ROW) is the last in PD, I think our PD won't (firmly) start advancing with increased speed until it first reaches September PD (since INS stopped counting on August). Our PD is in late June and though it advanced by a month this time, I'm not sure if this will be sustained next month; it's likely for it to slow down once again (esp. because the demand for July 2001 was low according to the graph but August was the highest). And (worst of all,) since past some months showed little to no movements in PD due to large hikes according to this graph, the sheer size of August receipts could strike us with a several-months thick retrogression (though I think it's unlikely because no other family categories had second retrogression around PD 2001).

I had a post earlier looking over the PDs of all family-based categories since FY1992 and have reasons to believe that the USCIS used this retrogression to meet the quota for LIFE Act beneficiaries for all categories back in 2011. All of them (except for us F4s yet) had moderate to quick recovery of PD movement in a long run after PD of April 2001 so I am hopeful that ours starts to pick up its steam soon.

It's really difficult to forecast for us F4, but I personally think that the worst case would be slugging till October for our PD to clear the LIFE Act backlog. We'll have better idea in three weeks, and hopefully the PD takes off soon.

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well, I agree with you to some extent, that the demand is extremely hard to predict based on a simple graph.

However, as of the spike in August, I believe the original article said "INS didn't finish counting them until August". It doesn't make sense to me that INS put this number under August, but I believe all of those petitions bear priority dates before Apr 30, b/c I've read something about how USCIS operates. Once the petition reaches USCIS, it will immediately be opened; payment will be collected from the envelope, and the petition/forms will be immediately stamped (with a time) and go to a highly secured central mailroom where only a few people have access to.

I do believe people has followed the rule back in 2001 and submitted their applications before Apr 30th. If I were one of them, and if I knew the rule said you have to file before Apr 30th, there is no reason for me to take the risk and wait till August. Americans like to do whatever they need to do only if the deadline is approaching (it happens a lot among university student, isn't it ?), and I believe that's why the PD stopped at May 1st for 3 months, b/c tons of people filed close to the deadline.

One more thing I noticed is that in July VB, it was predicted that F4 will move 3-5 weeks from August to OCTOBER. I think it's important to note that October was also included in such prediction, b/c October is the beginning of a new fiscal year, when DOS has another 65K visa numbers. So if DOS predicts 3-5 weeks until October, it's a good sign that PD will probably move normally (about 1 month per month) in months following october.

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After reading the article, I'll say I agree with you; the deadline was April 30th but the INS just didn't finish counting them till the end of August. Therefore all, if not the vast majority, of the LIFE Act beneficiaries should be given green card by now with 5 months of post-LIFE Act PD in FY2010-2011 and 6 months into this FY (I imagine most of the AOSes were already underway during FY2010-2011 but halted/shelved in the middle due to retrogression, so hopefully this FY processed the AOSes rather quickly than it otherwise would've). So hopefully the PD moves swiftly from now until this October and onward.

Edited August 8, 2013 by iJustMadeThis