July 2010 VSC filers

[reaperchiq37 1]

All Other Pending Awaiting customer action Completions Receipts Month & Year

5660 884 3019 2014 Jul10

6099 605 1872 1626 Aug10

Guess Work: My place in the Que – July 23 NOA1 Filing Date

On August 30th VCS had 6099 Pending and 605 awaiting Customer Action:

6099 + 605 = 6,704.00

On July 30th VCS had received a total of 2014 July applications:

I filed on July 23, there are 16 working days ahead of me and 22 working days in the month:

2014 /22 = 91.54 (rcts per day)

91.54 * 16 = 1464.64 (number of files received ahead of mine)

6704 – 2014 = 4690 (number of files from previous month)

4690 + 1464 = 6154 (number of files ahead of July 23rd filers)

After reviewing official numbers from Excel download from USCIS VCS I 129 F files:

VCS processes on average 3000 (rough) I 129 F Files a month. Operating at above average for 2 months then slowing down for 2 to 3 months depending on the backlog.

Backlog runs at an average of 8000 files per month, triggering an increase in application completions of I 129 F files when that backlog hits over 9k

Current back log is 6704.00 (as of august anyway )

Because I still have to eat ( Lunch)

Last max backlog was in may which triggered a speed up from June 1 to July 30th.

The average processing during slow down periods is 1800 files (rough) and last for 2 to 3 months:

July 23rd filers:

6154 / 1800 = 3.41

3.5 is roughly how many months it will take to knock ours out (july 23rd), give or take a week cause im not 100 % sure how they process applications.

Slow downs in our processing correspond to speed ups in other files.

PS: this is not exact as i only did this for one date and one file type ( I 129 fs ). and there are other variables i didnt take into consideration but should be pretty close.

NOA1 July 23 here too.. well .. let's just wait.. I wonder how many July23 NOA1 got approved now.. There's One i know.. Lisa and Jayson.. If it's 3.5 we'r almost there then

patiently waiting.. it will come anyway..

[Maxx121 14]

NOA1 July 23 here too.. well .. let's just wait.. I wonder how many July23 NOA1 got approved now.. There's One i know.. Lisa and Jayson.. If it's 3.5 we'r almost there then

patiently waiting.. it will come anyway..

Yeah, knowing this kinda helps me wait. November 1 is my go crazy date .

Next week should be a good week for July 23rd filers, say a little prayer for us

[reaperchiq37 1]

Yeah, knowing this kinda helps me wait. November 1 is my go crazy date .

Next week should be a good week for July 23rd filers, say a little prayer for us

Praying for every July filers to have their NOA2 already! Yeah i know maxx November 1 is our Crazy Date! or even really THIS WEEEEEEEEK!~~ Only God Knows When! Positive positive positve

[MARCUS&ABBY 0]

Gee, looks like VSC went back to sleep! We all need our NOA2.

[ALWAYS-HAPPY 0]

Gee, looks like VSC went back to sleep! We all need our NOA2.

it sound like what u said exactly bcs actually CSC is taking the race better than VSC so I wsh our turn s coming soon to join the Club of Approved.

[k1filer 1]

Nothing would delight me if your calculations were right, but I have serious doubt about the authenticity of published numbers; though it would be hard to believe that a government agency would fudge their numbers publically. Case in point, look at national volume USCIS data for CSC July 09. Numbers indicate that 10,156 petitions were pending in June 09 and they processed 10087 petitions in July 09, USCIS received 2154 petitions in July 09. How in Earth they could have 10888 remaining petitions by end of month. Shouldn't 10087 petitions processed that month should have wiped out the previous balance.

On another note, because of my general frustration with the wait, I just starting punching random case numbers and i found tons, "250+" of July I-129F petitions with NOA1 before July 23 still waiting to be adjudicated. Oldest "Initial review" petition i could find was for July -06. My NOA 1 is July 22 so I am not sure what and when to expect because i found some petitions with my NOA1 were approved way back in August!!!!. Go figure!! Most heart breaking was to see a petition of NOA 1 date of July 19 and Approval Date of Aug 13. Nothing against them ,but real sad that some are preferred for reasons over other. At the same point it was consoling to see that i have abundant company in misery with lot of people waiting patiently like me.

My 2 cents is that they whole process is random which makes the waiting game even more frustrating.

[Lucy NY 1]

God this wait is now getting absurd........there is no light at the end of the tunnel....i am posted 17th July.....and still ####### all So sad ;(

[Maxx121 14]

Nothing would delight me if your calculations were right, but I have serious doubt about the authenticity of published numbers; though it would be hard to believe that a government agency would fudge their numbers publically. Case in point, look at national volume USCIS data for CSC July 09. Numbers indicate that 10,156 petitions were pending in June 09 and they processed 10087 petitions in July 09, USCIS received 2154 petitions in July 09. How in Earth they could have 10888 remaining petitions by end of month. Shouldn't 10087 petitions processed that month should have wiped out the previous balance.

On another note, because of my general frustration with the wait, I just starting punching random case numbers and i found tons, "250+" of July I-129F petitions with NOA1 before July 23 still waiting to be adjudicated. Oldest "Initial review" petition i could find was for July -06. My NOA 1 is July 22 so I am not sure what and when to expect because i found some petitions with my NOA1 were approved way back in August!!!!. Go figure!! Most heart breaking was to see a petition of NOA 1 date of July 19 and Approval Date of Aug 13. Nothing against them ,but real sad that some are preferred for reasons over other. At the same point it was consoling to see that i have abundant company in misery with lot of people waiting patiently like me.

My 2 cents is that they whole process is random which makes the waiting game even more frustrating.

I don’t wana even make an attempt to look at CsC , but did you also take into consideration the ones awaiting customer action?

A coworker looked over my shoulder when I was working on VCS number and asked what the heck was that. When I told him he immediately pointed out to me that I didn’t always take into consideration the awaiting customer action numbers. I told him to screw off its close enough hehe.

But yeah to really trace it you have to know how they work on files, and only they know that. Oh well, my best guess is this should be a busy week for our approvals.

[yamashitariki 4]

November 3! WHERE ART THOU NOA2? AAA! I can't take it. There's still quite a backlog for July applicants awaiting. I'm with reaperchiq37 this is crazy week alright and nothing yet.

[Rugby7 0]

Waiting and waiting......Hoping it will come tomorrow:)

[Rugby7 0]

I got mine today!!! It arrived today dated from 10/29/10.....I never received a text, email, or updated status on the website!

[Maxx121 14]

congratz, welcome news

[Robert de Bonda 3]

I got mine today!!! It arrived today dated from 10/29/10.....I never received a text, email, or updated status on the website!

Congratulations! My friends tell me that the process moves very quickly now.

[Phil&Ley 2]

I got mine today!!! It arrived today dated from 10/29/10.....I never received a text, email, or updated status on the website!

Thank God, and Grats. Just when I was about to give up hope.

[reaperchiq37 1]

That's GOOD NEWS!! woHOoo!! another July Filer approved!! Congrats!! Yeah the text and Email and Website last update thing is not reliable.....like just DUH Congrats!!