Odd or overly optermistic time line stats on VJ

[James and Tracy 0]

Hi Guys and Gals,

We all on here know the waiting game that we have to play when we file the ROC, and the lack of information you have during that waiting period. I have been watching the monthly forums to see when people report approvals and comparing it to the time lines on visa journey.

It seams to me that the statistics given on the time lines pages are a little optimistic when compared to the approvals that are been reported on the monthly threads. For example we have seen the first few approvals from the months of October yet Today 02/05/2010 the Visa Journey time line is saying that petitions with NOA's dated November 1st!!!

I assume that the monthly posts are probably the most reliable measure of where the approvals are on the time line. What do you guys think?

[v333k 59]

Hi Guys and Gals,

We all on here know the waiting game that we have to play when we file the ROC, and the lack of information you have during that waiting period. I have been watching the monthly forums to see when people report approvals and comparing it to the time lines on visa journey.

It seams to me that the statistics given on the time lines pages are a little optimistic when compared to the approvals that are been reported on the monthly threads. For example we have seen the first few approvals from the months of October yet Today 02/05/2010 the Visa Journey time line is saying that petitions with NOA's dated November 1st!!!

I assume that the monthly posts are probably the most reliable measure of where the approvals are on the time line. What do you guys think?

I would agree with you. The timelines are not very reliable, whereas the filer's tracking information, or data submitted is actual and real life information.

If you go to the USCIS processing website, then they claim it takes 6 months...

[Otto 83]

I assume that the monthly posts are probably the most reliable measure of where the approvals are on the time line. What do you guys think?

You are assuming that the relatively small number of participants in monthly threads represents the whole of member's in that particular process (it often doesn't). Add to that, the statistics on VJ are (mostly) historical trends (so they represent moving averages over time). On top of all that, are folks who don't keep up with their time-lines (not major but does have its affect). So from what I've seen, the statistics are usually fairly accurate.

Thats my take on the statistics we see on VJ.