VJ applicant percent of total applicants?

[FaridS 0]

Does anyone have any idea "roughly" how much does the VJ'ers make up the total K1 visa applicant?

[payxibka 10,045]

Does anyone have any idea "roughly" how much does the VJ'ers make up the total K1 visa applicant?

about 50,000 "K" visas issued in a year.... you can do the math...

[Gary and Alla 3,694]

Does anyone have any idea "roughly" how much does the VJ'ers make up the total K1 visa applicant?

Roughly 1.0456283%

[JimVaPhuong 4,863]

It's hard to exactly correlate the data. There were 31,692 K1 visa applications in 2008, according to the Department of State:

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2008.pdf

According to the VJ timelines, there were 1991 K1 visa timelines in the past 360 days:

http://www.visajourney.com/timeline/stats.php?history=360

If we accept that these numbers are reasonable averages, then the number of timelines represents about 6.28% of all K1 visa applications. The actual number is probably a little higher, since some knobs never bother to fill out their timeline. Add lurkers who are too shy to sign up for internet forums, and it may be as high as 10%.

Given the above, what are the odds that somebody at YOUR consulate or embassy is reading your posts here?

[ScottThuy 140]

It's hard to exactly correlate the data. There were 31,692 K1 visa applications in 2008, according to the Department of State:

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2008.pdf

According to the VJ timelines, there were 1991 K1 visa timelines in the past 360 days:

http://www.visajourney.com/timeline/stats.php?history=360

If we accept that these numbers are reasonable averages, then the number of timelines represents about 6.28% of all K1 visa applications. The actual number is probably a little higher, since some knobs never bother to fill out their timeline. Add lurkers who are too shy to sign up for internet forums, and it may be as high as 10%.

Given the above, what are the odds that somebody at YOUR consulate or embassy is reading your posts here?

Anh CO says Hi Jim! And he looks forward to meeting Phuong soon....

[Gary and Alla 3,694]

It's hard to exactly correlate the data. There were 31,692 K1 visa applications in 2008, according to the Department of State:

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2008.pdf

According to the VJ timelines, there were 1991 K1 visa timelines in the past 360 days:

http://www.visajourney.com/timeline/stats.php?history=360

If we accept that these numbers are reasonable averages, then the number of timelines represents about 6.28% of all K1 visa applications. The actual number is probably a little higher, since some knobs never bother to fill out their timeline. Add lurkers who are too shy to sign up for internet forums, and it may be as high as 10%.

Given the above, what are the odds that somebody at YOUR consulate or embassy is reading your posts here?

Hmmm, I forgot about the lurkers. Now I have to re-do the whole equation.

[Gary and Alla 3,694]

Does anyone have any idea "roughly" how much does the VJ'ers make up the total K1 visa applicant?

Honestly, who the heck knows? But I can say there was another VJer on the plane with me when I came home from our interview in August 08 with his fiancee, another at our son's K-2 to follow interview and another on the plane when we came back this summer, so the odds of running into another Vjer at the Kiev consulate or en route to and from seem pretty good (based on anecdotal evidence anyway) and they do about 6 K visas per day

[JimVaPhuong 4,863]

It's hard to exactly correlate the data. There were 31,692 K1 visa applications in 2008, according to the Department of State:

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2008.pdf

According to the VJ timelines, there were 1991 K1 visa timelines in the past 360 days:

http://www.visajourney.com/timeline/stats.php?history=360

If we accept that these numbers are reasonable averages, then the number of timelines represents about 6.28% of all K1 visa applications. The actual number is probably a little higher, since some knobs never bother to fill out their timeline. Add lurkers who are too shy to sign up for internet forums, and it may be as high as 10%.

Given the above, what are the odds that somebody at YOUR consulate or embassy is reading your posts here?

Anh CO says Hi Jim! And he looks forward to meeting Phuong soon....

[ScottThuy 140]

[JimVaPhuong 4,863]

Anh CO có thể giúp tôi không?

[ScottThuy 140]

Anh CO có thể giúp tôi không?

Looking for an inside connection I see...

Maybe a little coffee money will get some help from him...

[Stephen + Elisha 92]

The new USCIS website lets you view the number of filings on a month-by-month basis - it even breaks it down by service center. You can compare that info to Igor's List (select All Petitions) and divide to find out what percentage of your month's petitions are represented on VJ. For example, VSC received 2,458 I-129Fs in March. There are 155 March VSC timelines on VJ, which represents just over 6% of the total.

[TBoneTX 45,292]

Given the above, what are the odds that somebody at YOUR consulate or embassy is reading your posts here?

If they are, then they know of the opinion that certain of them probably ought to be hauled back to the U.S. in chains... or, better, be given a permanent lifetime Foreign Service transfer to a run-down, air-unconditioned building in some malaria-infested, crime-ridden, civilly violent fifth-world cesspool of a corrupt, brutally anti-American dictatorship. Let them further their self-prized "fraud-prevention" skills there. Many imaginably wish this kind of love & kisses upon our beloved consulate, si man.

[FaridS 0]

The new USCIS website lets you view the number of filings on a month-by-month basis - it even breaks it down by service center. You can compare that info to Igor's List (select All Petitions) and divide to find out what percentage of your month's petitions are represented on VJ. For example, VSC received 2,458 I-129Fs in March. There are 155 March VSC timelines on VJ, which represents just over 6% of the total.

thank you all for responding....but this one was helpful. Here is the data i was able to find: (vermont)

All Other Pending Awaiting customer action Completions Receipts Month & Year

11287 377 761 1886 Oct07

11295 614 1576 1483 Nov07

10060 1132 2364 1556 Dec07

9772 1004 2634 2289 Jan08

9232 1100 3078 2713 Feb08

9428 813 3114 2932 Mar08

10354 598 1476 2083 Apr08

11766 463 1164 2662 May08

13688 496 1161 2962 Jun08

13114 572 1601 1046 Jul08

16004 536 1571 3998 Aug08

16893 612 1751 2454 Sep08

17229 638 2452 2499 Oct08

18080 631 1531 2173 Nov08

18492 613 2004 2255 Dec08

17714 819 3015 2104 Jan09

16776 1085 3228 2263 Feb09

16917 820 3174 2458 Mar09

16554 728 2780 1990 Apr09

16168 603 2759 1978 May09

15144 660 3388 2110 Jun09

14205 891 2952 1859 Jul09

according to this data, since the beginning of this year, they are processing the applications faster than they are receiving them. That is always good.

and for july 85 VJ'ers out of 1859 is right around 5%. The reason I wanted to know this was that given that the VJ'ers are statistically random samples of the total applicants it would be a good indicator of the true processing times.

Edited September 25, 2009 by FaridS

[SMR 368]

The new USCIS website lets you view the number of filings on a month-by-month basis - it even breaks it down by service center. You can compare that info to Igor's List (select All Petitions) and divide to find out what percentage of your month's petitions are represented on VJ. For example, VSC received 2,458 I-129Fs in March. There are 155 March VSC timelines on VJ, which represents just over 6% of the total.

thank you all for responding....but this one was helpful. Here is the data i was able to find: (vermont)

All Other Pending Awaiting customer action Completions Receipts Month & Year

11287 377 761 1886 Oct07

11295 614 1576 1483 Nov07

10060 1132 2364 1556 Dec07

9772 1004 2634 2289 Jan08

9232 1100 3078 2713 Feb08

9428 813 3114 2932 Mar08

10354 598 1476 2083 Apr08

11766 463 1164 2662 May08

13688 496 1161 2962 Jun08

13114 572 1601 1046 Jul08

16004 536 1571 3998 Aug08

16893 612 1751 2454 Sep08

17229 638 2452 2499 Oct08

18080 631 1531 2173 Nov08

18492 613 2004 2255 Dec08

17714 819 3015 2104 Jan09

16776 1085 3228 2263 Feb09

16917 820 3174 2458 Mar09

16554 728 2780 1990 Apr09

16168 603 2759 1978 May09

15144 660 3388 2110 Jun09

14205 891 2952 1859 Jul09

according to this data, since the beginning of this year, they are processing the applications faster than they are receiving them. That is always good.

and for july 85 VJ'ers out of 1859 is right around 5%. The reason I wanted to know this was that given that the VJ'ers are statistically random samples of the total applicants it would be a good indicator of the true processing times.

If VJer's are a statistically random sample of the average applicant population, the total number of applicants is irrelevant to determining if VJ statistics are a good indicator of true processing times. Statistics accuracy is based on sample size but doesn't vary based on the fraction that the sample is of the total population. That is, a sample of 200, for instance, would give statistics with the same accuracy whether the total population was 5,000 or 1,000,000.