June '09 Filers

[Tina&Roland 4]

I'd also like to think that they are still approving applications, just aren't the ones who are currently on VJ or even the ones who rarely go on VJ and don't or haven't updated their timelines.

TiNa

[ScottThuy 140]

Huge pullback in VSC number this week... CSC is at 13 with us.. its been over a month since they were at the same pace as us... we should have twive this many so far...

numbers doubled from one day to the next.. 26

[ScottThuy 140]

We may see 40+ again for a third week in a row... 33 so far.. Some of us should start getting approved a month from now... Happy with the pace but still sitting and watching the time and waiting .... We dont have a great deal of time remaining before we must be prepared for the next phase...

[ScottThuy 140]

We may see 40+ again for a third week in a row... 33 so far.. Some of us should start getting approved a month from now... Happy with the pace but still sitting and watching the time and waiting .... We dont have a great deal of time remaining before we must be prepared for the next phase...

We had over 150 approvals for Aug!

At that rate we could be halfway through June filers by the end of Sept if they keep it up!

Lets play a game....

We will get the new VSC processing times in a couple of weeks.. what do you think the 'date' will be for K1 as of Mid Sept. As of Aug 13 they said Mar 5.. we are seeing an average VJ approval date of April 7 as of today... what is your prediction?

[johnj 0]

We may see 40+ again for a third week in a row... 33 so far.. Some of us should start getting approved a month from now... Happy with the pace but still sitting and watching the time and waiting .... We dont have a great deal of time remaining before we must be prepared for the next phase...

We had over 150 approvals for Aug!

At that rate we could be halfway through June filers by the end of Sept if they keep it up!

Scott;

Could you shed light on your logic. There is two days left in August and then the month of Sept. The first June filer is number 225 on Berkeley's list. If there were 150 approvals in Sept., that would not get to the first June filer. I think we will see a few June approvals in Sept but very few.

[ScottThuy 140]

Scott;

Could you shed light on your logic. There is two days left in August and then the month of Sept. The first June filer is number 225 on Berkeley's list. If there were 150 approvals in Sept., that would not get to the first June filer. I think we will see a few June approvals in Sept but very few.

Based on VJ stats they are approving April 7 filers on average.. by that I mean those before that date require some additional time above the norm or are not updated by the members. There are also folks that filed after that date that have been approved but we dont know it. So lets just say Apr. 7 is an average... Berkeleys list is based on VJ members approval and the current processing date.. If we use Apr. 7 then 67 folks ahead of you are not within the average of Apr 7...

June actually starts around 200 when the fact that they are sorted by mail in date at berkeley rather than NOA. There are close to 150 filers between those that filed Apr 7 and June 1. on average close to 15 filers from each month dont update or get approved... so take away 15 for Apr and 15 for May... that leaves around 120 folks that will get approved in close to normal times... there are less than 80 unapproved June filers in all at this point.. The key is "at this pace" it would be great if they kept rolling, but they will likely slow unless someting has changed...

There was alot of Press around the end of June saying Obama had a fix coming to the USCIS system and it would be implemented by Sept. or so They also addressed the FBI check backlog not too long before that or so they say... If the changes they say they made in the second quarter this year did what they touted... we could be seeing the results...

[johnj 0]

Scott;

Could you shed light on your logic. There is two days left in August and then the month of Sept. The first June filer is number 225 on Berkeley's list. If there were 150 approvals in Sept., that would not get to the first June filer. I think we will see a few June approvals in Sept but very few.

Based on VJ stats they are approving April 7 filers on average.. by that I mean those before that date require some additional time above the norm or are not updated by the members. There are also folks that filed after that date that have been approved but we dont know it. So lets just say Apr. 7 is an average... Berkeleys list is based on VJ members approval and the current processing date.. If we use Apr. 7 then 67 folks ahead of you are not within the average of Apr 7...

June actually starts around 200 when the fact that they are sorted by mail in date at berkeley rather than NOA. There are close to 150 filers between those that filed Apr 7 and June 1. on average close to 15 filers from each month dont update or get approved... so take away 15 for Apr and 15 for May... that leaves around 120 folks that will get approved in close to normal times... there are less than 80 unapproved June filers in all at this point.. The key is "at this pace" it would be great if they kept rolling, but they will likely slow unless someting has changed...

There was alot of Press around the end of June saying Obama had a fix coming to the USCIS system and it would be implemented by Sept. or so They also addressed the FBI check backlog not too long before that or so they say... If the changes they say they made in the second quarter this year did what they touted... we could be seeing the results...

Scott;

Bless you for optimism.

Of the last 20 approvals, only 7 were after Apr 7. In addition to the unapproved June filers, we have all the folks that add to the time lines late. I agree there were approx. 150 approvals last month but my place on the list did not more anywhere near that much. I hope for Sept also but October is much more realistic for most of us. That is still better than November, the USCIS estimate of 5 months.

[ScottThuy 140]

Scott;

Bless you for optimism.

Of the last 20 approvals, only 7 were after Apr 7. In addition to the unapproved June filers, we have all the folks that add to the time lines late. I agree there were approx. 150 approvals last month but my place on the list did not more anywhere near that much. I hope for Sept also but October is much more realistic for most of us. That is still better than November, the USCIS estimate of 5 months.

It hasn't been that long since they were pumping them out in less than 90 days at VSC... if they got their act together they could do it again. CSC is around 90 days now... why not VSC....

[KimberlyandMark 1]

Scott;

Bless you for optimism.

Of the last 20 approvals, only 7 were after Apr 7. In addition to the unapproved June filers, we have all the folks that add to the time lines late. I agree there were approx. 150 approvals last month but my place on the list did not more anywhere near that much. I hope for Sept also but October is much more realistic for most of us. That is still better than November, the USCIS estimate of 5 months.

It hasn't been that long since they were pumping them out in less than 90 days at VSC... if they got their act together they could do it again. CSC is around 90 days now... why not VSC....

OMG ScottThuy...I hope you are right! I would be happy with an NOA in hand by October. September would be better though with an interview a the emabssy in Dec!!! I so want my sweetie to get here by his birthday in January. That way he could help me with our wedding. Thanks for all your hard work deciphering the statistics! we all really apprecite you!

Kimberly

[ScottThuy 140]

OMG ScottThuy...I hope you are right! I would be happy with an NOA in hand by October. September would be better though with an interview a the emabssy in Dec!!! I so want my sweetie to get here by his birthday in January. That way he could help me with our wedding. Thanks for all your hard work deciphering the statistics! we all really apprecite you!

Kimberly

I have been doing Data analysis so long that its difficult to not do it... I hate the waiting aspect of this journey... I worry about Thuy every day as there are serious health concerns associated with her not being able to come here now... In many places around the world, the flu can be a death sentence... Not that we have the best health care in the world here.. its better than where she is... I couldnt count how often I check Berkeley.. and yes I actually check USCIS everyday just in case I hit the lotto. I am glad I have hobbies to keep my mind occupied...

What do you think the next posted VSC processing Time/date will be in two weeks?

My Guess is Apr 22

[KimberlyandMark 1]

OMG ScottThuy...I hope you are right! I would be happy with an NOA in hand by October. September would be better though with an interview a the emabssy in Dec!!! I so want my sweetie to get here by his birthday in January. That way he could help me with our wedding. Thanks for all your hard work deciphering the statistics! we all really apprecite you!

Kimberly

I have been doing Data analysis so long that its difficult to not do it... I hate the waiting aspect of this journey... I worry about Thuy every day as there are serious health concerns associated with her not being able to come here now... In many places around the world, the flu can be a death sentence... Not that we have the best health care in the world here.. its better than where she is... I couldnt count how often I check Berkeley.. and yes I actually check USCIS everyday just in case I hit the lotto. I am glad I have hobbies to keep my mind occupied...

What do you think the next posted VSC processing Time/date will be in two weeks?

My Guess is Apr 22

That sounds about right. Are you getting this data from Berkley and VJ's Igor's list? Or does the USCIS site have the approval dates listed by NOA1 somewhere?

Kimberly

[ScottThuy 140]

OMG ScottThuy...I hope you are right! I would be happy with an NOA in hand by October. September would be better though with an interview a the emabssy in Dec!!! I so want my sweetie to get here by his birthday in January. That way he could help me with our wedding. Thanks for all your hard work deciphering the statistics! we all really apprecite you!

Kimberly

I have been doing Data analysis so long that its difficult to not do it... I hate the waiting aspect of this journey... I worry about Thuy every day as there are serious health concerns associated with her not being able to come here now... In many places around the world, the flu can be a death sentence... Not that we have the best health care in the world here.. its better than where she is... I couldnt count how often I check Berkeley.. and yes I actually check USCIS everyday just in case I hit the lotto. I am glad I have hobbies to keep my mind occupied...

What do you think the next posted VSC processing Time/date will be in two weeks?

My Guess is Apr 22

That sounds about right. Are you getting this data from Berkley and VJ's Igor's list? Or does the USCIS site have the approval dates listed by NOA1 somewhere?

Kimberly

from both... The difference between the two is that Berkeley has everything prior to the posted processing date removed... at this point Mar 5. The other Igor list goes back 1 year... so in two weeks berkeley will adjust to the new posted processing date... there is no USCIS actual data other than overall #'s

[KimberlyandMark 1]

Did you guys see the May approvals today! This gives us all hope for approvals in Sept/Oct! I was so excited to see they are starting to work on May applications.

Kimberly

[johnj 0]

Did you guys see the May approvals today! This gives us all hope for approvals in Sept/Oct! I was so excited to see they are starting to work on May applications.

Kimberly

Indeed, that is super encouraging

[ScottThuy 140]

Did you guys see the May approvals today! This gives us all hope for approvals in Sept/Oct! I was so excited to see they are starting to work on May applications.

Kimberly

3 Mays today so far.. The 3rd has an issue with the timeline to fix before it shows on the list.. We will likely see another 4 or more from last week get posted to push the # over 40.... you know the ones that dont check USCIS or emails... and wait for the snail mail... It would be nice to see this 40 / week trend to keep on truckin!