January '09 I-129 filers at CSC

[laura819 0]

He's from the UK. I think that he doesn't necessarily like coming here because he doesn't want to see the time line say May 6th (as it does right now) and then be disappointed if it takes longer!

I told my fiance that the timeline said like, may 7, which is what it said in the beginning. And he's ALREADY being so impatient that I am not going to tell him that at this point, it says april 17. cuz i think it will just make it worse for him!! and I definitely dont want to tell him april, and then have it take the full 6 months and it really be july.

Where are you from, if you dont mind?

[Nik+Heather 121]

I'm from Phoenix, Arizona. Born, and raised and still living here.

Poor Nik is going to have not only a different culture (though not as disparate as some to the US) to deal with, but an extreme change in climate as well! I figure that either he hasn't fully processed (he must know on some level) how different it's going to be, or he must REALLY love me!!

-H

OH! I just noticed it predicts me at May 1st!!! (!!!!!!!!!!)

Edited February 12, 2009 by Nik+Heather

[Nik+Heather 121]

Actually, my number in Igor's list has gone up again (260 - 266 since I started paying attention a few days ago) and it seems like each time more people get in line ahead of me, my date moves forward - even though no more petitions have been approved. I wonder if some of the VSC things have been going on, and that's why it moves, because otherwise, I think it's broken.

[laura819 0]

Actually, my number in Igor's list has gone up again (260 - 266 since I started paying attention a few days ago) and it seems like each time more people get in line ahead of me, my date moves forward - even though no more petitions have been approved. I wonder if some of the VSC things have been going on, and that's why it moves, because otherwise, I think it's broken.

I'm noticing the same thing..but I wouldn't think VSC would have anything to do with it?? I don't get it at all. But as long as its right, im GREAT with that haha.

[laura819 0]

I think CSC was closed today...and according to a list of federal holidays, this should be the last day its closed until memorial day, and with any luck, all of us will have NOA2 by then so it won't matter

[jldut80 0]

Goodluck to all of the Jan 2009 filers! Lets hope for a speedy approval!!!

[alb2009 0]

I was just taking a peek at the difference b/w the USCIS website and they estimated amount of time for the Visa to process, and it states 6 months. On Igor's list, my wait time is 4 1/2 months. How can this site be more accurate if it's a smaller sample size?

I-129F Sent : 2009-01-14

I-129F NOA1 : 2009-01-23

Igor's list:

Processing

Estimates/Stats : Based on timeline data, your I129f may be adjudicated between April 27, 2009 and May 2, 2009*.

USCIS:

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDis...e=serviceCenter

[Nik+Heather 121]

I don't think any of them should be taken as "The gospel truth"

There are some advantages to VJers that the average filer might not have, which means that we get through with fewer RFEs, or are more organized in our filings and they go faster or at least more smoothly. Of course, nothing can really be done to make them pick up your file for review any faster!

Also, I think that if *I* was publishing a time frame for when I would get government work done, and I didn't want people to be calling me telling me I was late, I'd give myself LOTS of extra time!

You're right, VJ is a smaller sample size, but it is also REAL data. I think that the sample size is probably large enough that it can be believed. Also, since the policy is to supposedly review them as they are received, at the very least you can see when they start on petitions filed around the same time as you!

The drawback to the timeline data is that you're also depending on people to update their timelines! If they don't maintain them themselves (or do so incorrectly), I think it introduces a skew into the data. However, if anything, I think that "abandoned" timelines just make the wait time go longer, not shorter.

You're a VJer, so I think you should compare yourself to the VJer statistics, not how long it takes those poor souls who muddle through the process without such a resource.

Hope I didn't get your hopes up too much!

-H

[laura819 0]

I don't think any of them should be taken as "The gospel truth"

There are some advantages to VJers that the average filer might not have, which means that we get through with fewer RFEs, or are more organized in our filings and they go faster or at least more smoothly. Of course, nothing can really be done to make them pick up your file for review any faster!

Also, I think that if *I* was publishing a time frame for when I would get government work done, and I didn't want people to be calling me telling me I was late, I'd give myself LOTS of extra time!

You're right, VJ is a smaller sample size, but it is also REAL data. I think that the sample size is probably large enough that it can be believed. Also, since the policy is to supposedly review them as they are received, at the very least you can see when they start on petitions filed around the same time as you!

The drawback to the timeline data is that you're also depending on people to update their timelines! If they don't maintain them themselves (or do so incorrectly), I think it introduces a skew into the data. However, if anything, I think that "abandoned" timelines just make the wait time go longer, not shorter.

You're a VJer, so I think you should compare yourself to the VJer statistics, not how long it takes those poor souls who muddle through the process without such a resource.

Hope I didn't get your hopes up too much!

-H

I'm not sure if its true we get fewer RFEs..looking at Igor's, almost all of the people getting approved lately have had them! But I think you are completely right that the office is gonna want to give themselves extra time, so people can't bother them! I'm going by what my timeline says, but with the knowledge that it very well may be longer. But then again, there are people that take longer than what the USCIS site says anyway. Basically, I am just not going to get my hopes up. It'll come when it comes.

[laura819 0]

woah...my adjucation time just jumped to April 12-14. Without anyone else getting approve. I don't get it?? If only that really happened...

[minnew 4]

woah...my adjucation time just jumped to April 12-14. Without anyone else getting approve. I don't get it?? If only that really happened...

I know mine too! It jumped from April 18-23 to April 11-13th! Maybe because there have been a few K-3 or CR1/IR1 approvals this week? Weird...well I will take it!! My adjudication has jumped all over the place since filing, but I don't think it gets accurate until closer to estimated adjudication time! Laura I just realized that your NOA1 date is Jan 15th, one day after mine!

[Nik+Heather 121]

That's because a December Filer just got approved in 65 days, I think (approved Feb 19 - military expedite). Unfortunately, the timeline program doesn't throw that sort of data out...

Edited February 20, 2009 by Nik+Heather

[minnew 4]

That's because a December Filer just got approved in 65 days, I think (approved Feb 19 - military expedite). Unfortunately, the timeline program doesn't throw that sort of data out...

Whoa that's a new one...that one wasn't even on Igor's list of approved when I checked...now my adjudication date jumped one day earlier to April 10-14th. Oh well...sometime in mid April would be nice!

[laura819 0]

That's because a December Filer just got approved in 65 days, I think (approved Feb 19 - military expedite). Unfortunately, the timeline program doesn't throw that sort of data out...

Whoa that's a new one...that one wasn't even on Igor's list of approved when I checked...now my adjudication date jumped one day earlier to April 10-14th. Oh well...sometime in mid April would be nice!

Same here, I checked mine last night, and it was what I posted, now its earlier due to the 65 day one. The time line data still uses averages though right? Its too bad that was an expedite...when I saw December I got sooo excited.

[laura819 0]

now the timelines have gone crazy again cuz someone got approved after 249 days so my timeline jumped almost a month