STUCK @ NVC for AP

[scandal 951]

As an aside, does it seem to anyone else that the typical AP release schedule is sliding down to the 35 day mark? not saying it is bad, just observing that it has been awhile since we have had any 50 day-ers. Ron, is it possible to plot the average AP hold time by release week to see what the trend is doing?

That is precisely what I have been meaning to do!

I was initially thinking of doing that by month, but I think that it's come down sharply enough in the past few weeks that it would be better to capture the weekly trend, as you suggest. It really isn't very hard to write the code for this ... I would estimate it's a few hours on top of what we have already, but I haven't quite gotten around to it. It didn't happen on the weekend, so perhaps during the week.

My hunch is we'll see a significant drop in the typical AP hold time. What I'm also curious to see however is whether the influx rate (number of new cases added per unit time) has increased, decreased, or held steady as well.

One problem with all of this is that I just don't trust the sample size. VJ itself is a tiny sampling of all cases. And our error-prone system of tracking AP@NVC cases by timeline dates means that there's a lot of faulty records in a very small sample size. Any true statistician (which I am not, by any means) will tell you that the error margins on this data are enormous. Still, it's all we have to work with, so better than just being in the dark entirely.

[girarm 0]

Free at last, Free at last, thank God almighty I am Free at last

39 days @ NVC but called tonight and they said Package sent today to BKK

Wow I feel great relief, one more hurdle……

I really want to thank you all for the kind words of encouragement that were offered, reading your stories and getting your support was a great help... THANK YOU

[Ellie-and-David 38]

WOW!

bumper day for our little community (crosses fingers please please please let us out of NVC jail soon!!!)

Congratulations to all newly released inmates!

[LUISH 0]

Free at last, Free at last, thank God almighty I am Free at last

39 days @ NVC but called tonight and they said Package sent today to BKK

Wow I feel great relief, one more hurdle……

I really want to thank you all for the kind words of encouragement that were offered, reading your stories and getting your support was a great help... THANK YOU

CONGRATS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Talyss 0]

To all who see this although i was only here for a short time i went through more than a month of pure panic same as you. I have found out just now that NVC released Carla and my paperwork to be sent to Lima today. I have no idea how long it will take to get there or what a time line is for rest of this to work out but we are free and i wish all of you the same luck , I believe those of you next to my same times will be soon released as well. I can only imagine that everything is as they say RANDOM. many thanks and please keep up the good work and be patient. < unlike me>

Congratulations! glad your stay wasn't too long

Free at last, Free at last, thank God almighty I am Free at last

39 days @ NVC but called tonight and they said Package sent today to BKK

Wow I feel great relief, one more hurdle……

I really want to thank you all for the kind words of encouragement that were offered, reading your stories and getting your support was a great help... THANK YOU

Yeah! congrats

Always nice to see a few releases to start the week!

Lots of stars for Lisa for getting this thread pinned and getting the wiki entry started. Thank you! :star: :star: :star: :star: :star:

Edited April 21, 2009 by Talyss

[scandal 951]

Free at last, Free at last, thank God almighty I am Free at last

39 days @ NVC but called tonight and they said Package sent today to BKK

Wow I feel great relief, one more hurdle……

I really want to thank you all for the kind words of encouragement that were offered, reading your stories and getting your support was a great help... THANK YOU

Congrats!!! Glad you got out of NVC... good luck with the rest of your journey

BTW - you may want to check out these other VJ threads-

Sawasdee3 (issues related to K1 filings for Thailand petitioners/beneficiaries): http://www.visajourney.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=175951

Thailand thread (discussion of all things Thailand-related): http://www.visajourney.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=191584

[girarm 0]

Free at last, Free at last, thank God almighty I am Free at last

39 days @ NVC but called tonight and they said Package sent today to BKK

Wow I feel great relief, one more hurdle……

I really want to thank you all for the kind words of encouragement that were offered, reading your stories and getting your support was a great help... THANK YOU

Congrats!!! Glad you got out of NVC... good luck with the rest of your journey

BTW - you may want to check out these other VJ threads-

Sawasdee3 (issues related to K1 filings for Thailand petitioners/beneficiaries): http://www.visajourney.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=175951

Thailand thread (discussion of all things Thailand-related): http://www.visajourney.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=191584

Thank you I will check those thread out for sure, I plan on being an information sharing member of this form, hopefully to help those who folow in our footsteps....

[nikki1980 0]

Free at last, Free at last, thank God almighty I am Free at last

39 days @ NVC but called tonight and they said Package sent today to BKK

Wow I feel great relief, one more hurdle……

I really want to thank you all for the kind words of encouragement that were offered, reading your stories and getting your support was a great help... THANK YOU

Congratulations! Im so happy for you!! Good luck with your interview!!

[Y's_habibitk 2]

Free at last, Free at last, thank God almighty I am Free at last

39 days @ NVC but called tonight and they said Package sent today to BKK

Wow I feel great relief, one more hurdle……

I really want to thank you all for the kind words of encouragement that were offered, reading your stories and getting your support was a great help... THANK YOU

Thats wonderful!!! congrats and good luck at the interview

[Y's_habibitk 2]

Lots of stars for Lisa for getting this thread pinned and getting the wiki entry started. Thank you! :star: :star: :star: :star: :star:

no problem! We've all seen the numerous threads that people start because they didnt see this thread frist.

I hope NVC keeps on with the 35 or so day release trend!! yaaay

[flicker 5]

good luck to all who have been released ,i hope the rest of the process is smooth sailing for you and the rest of us still stuck!!!!

[scandal 951]

good luck to all who have been released ,i hope the rest of the process is smooth sailing for you and the rest of us still stuck!!!!

I agree ... good luck to all...

I'm posting here because I just saw something that made me do a double-take

I clicked on 'flicker's Time line, and saw that they are "thomas+emily" , Singapore, VSC, entered NVC on 2009-03-30

http://www.visajourney.com/timeline/profile.php?id=50974

Ok, so they are still in AP I thought, hope they get out soon......

But then I went to T-List, and saw an entry for Thomas+Emily on the "K1 Stuck and Released" table.

So I thought.. huh?? How can that be? Maybe I have a bug to track down... but... no, it's not a bug...

it's a DIFFERENT Thomas+Emily!

"Thomas+Emily", London UK, CSC, entered NVC 2008-11-07, exited 2008-12-22, stuck 45 days

What are the odds that TWO couples named "Thomas+Emily" both got stuck AP@NVC?

Do you think maybe that's part of the "random" filter - hold all "Thomas+Emily" cases? :angry:

[Ellie-and-David 38]

Good morning my AP peeps.

I'm getting all of a dither at the moment trying to sort things out in anticipation of our release from NVC....and wanted to ask a quick question.

Last time I called NVC, they took my email address. Does this mean that they will actually contact me when we break out of jail? Or, like everything else to do with NVC, was it just a way of giving misinformation and false hope to their inmates.

Has anyone actually recieved an email from them when they were released? I dont mind calling, but its putting a hell of a dent in my phone bill, and dave is working so many hours at the moment he doesnt have time to even sleep properly.

Thanks......hoping to see more releases today! wooohooo!!!

[Y's_habibitk 2]

Good morning my AP peeps.

I'm getting all of a dither at the moment trying to sort things out in anticipation of our release from NVC....and wanted to ask a quick question.

Last time I called NVC, they took my email address. Does this mean that they will actually contact me when we break out of jail? Or, like everything else to do with NVC, was it just a way of giving misinformation and false hope to their inmates.

Has anyone actually recieved an email from them when they were released? I dont mind calling, but its putting a hell of a dent in my phone bill, and dave is working so many hours at the moment he doesnt have time to even sleep properly.

Thanks......hoping to see more releases today! wooohooo!!!

nah, they just get the email address. I never received ANY correspondence when we were released on good behavior

[Talyss 0]

Good morning my AP peeps.

I'm getting all of a dither at the moment trying to sort things out in anticipation of our release from NVC....and wanted to ask a quick question.

Last time I called NVC, they took my email address. Does this mean that they will actually contact me when we break out of jail? Or, like everything else to do with NVC, was it just a way of giving misinformation and false hope to their inmates.

Has anyone actually recieved an email from them when they were released? I dont mind calling, but its putting a hell of a dent in my phone bill, and dave is working so many hours at the moment he doesnt have time to even sleep properly.

Thanks......hoping to see more releases today! wooohooo!!!

Never received anything from them at all:( I used skype to call them usually worked out at about 10-20 pence a time, I found 5-6pm english time was a good time for getting through without too long a time having to queue.