Gallup: McCain closing in on Obama. Has Obama peaked too early?

[w¡n9Nµ7 §£@¥€r 123]

An October 12 2008 snapshot of McCain's roadmap to victory. He trapped Obama into peaking too early and now JMac is closing in for the kill!

Source: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111064/Gallup-D...ap-Narrows.aspx

[Mr. Big Dog 10,747]

I don't see it. McSame isn't going to win.

[almaty 19]

here ..spent less time on mccain is rising..and more looking at this...

[w¡n9Nµ7 §£@¥€r 123]

here ..spent less time on mccain is rising..and more looking at this...

You have good taste in titties, ma man.

Of course, McCain's numbers are still on the upswing. And Obama's are still in free fall. AND McCain has promised to kick Obama's azz this Wednesday.

Game over. McCain wins.

[peejay 327]

As Harry said...it ain't over 'till the fat lady sings.

[mendeleev 68]

Here's another perspective from http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/today's polls Note: since this site is updated daily, by sometime tomorrow the text will be different ...

Today's Polls, 10/11

The political industry's day of rest is Saturday, not Sunday, when the morning talk shows can make news, and campaigns try and jockey to lead the news cycle in the week ahead. As such, it tends to be the slowest day of the week for polling, and today is no exception: (Let's see if I can get the attachment viewable ... seem to be having problems)

There are really only two items of any significance here. Firstly, Obama continues to hold or slightly improve his position in the national tracking polls. But secondly, McCain got a strong result in Ohio, where the University of Cincinnati's poll for an Ohio newspaper consortium has John McCain 2 points ahead in the Buckeye State. Bonus for McCain: UC's polls have a strong track record. Mitigating factors: about three-fifths of the interviews in the poll were conducted before the debate, which seems to have boosted Obama's standing slightly, and he has improved his position modestly from the couple of polls that UC conducted in September, which had McCain ahead by 4 and 6 points respectively.

Overall, these results appear to roughly cancel out, and Obama's chance of winning the electoral college is 90.9 percent, the same as it was yesterday.

[Mr. Big Dog 10,747]

Of course, McCain's numbers are still on the upswing. And Obama's are still in free fall. AND McCain has promised to kick Obama's azz this Wednesday.

Game over. McCain wins.

Keep saying that AJ. You predicted - in much the same fashion as you talk about McSame's roadmap to victory - that Hillary would be the Democratic nominee. I like the way your winning predictions turn out. I really do. Keep it up!

[w¡n9Nµ7 §£@¥€r 123]

Here's another perspective from http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/today's polls Note: since this site is updated daily, by sometime tomorrow the text will be different ...

It should be pointed out that Nate is an Obama partisan.

[msu17 0]

Plus Cinnci is SUPER conservative.

Here's another perspective from http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/today's polls Note: since this site is updated daily, by sometime tomorrow the text will be different ...

Today's Polls, 10/11

The political industry's day of rest is Saturday, not Sunday, when the morning talk shows can make news, and campaigns try and jockey to lead the news cycle in the week ahead. As such, it tends to be the slowest day of the week for polling, and today is no exception: (Let's see if I can get the attachment viewable ... seem to be having problems)

There are really only two items of any significance here. Firstly, Obama continues to hold or slightly improve his position in the national tracking polls. But secondly, McCain got a strong result in Ohio, where the University of Cincinnati's poll for an Ohio newspaper consortium has John McCain 2 points ahead in the Buckeye State. Bonus for McCain: UC's polls have a strong track record. Mitigating factors: about three-fifths of the interviews in the poll were conducted before the debate, which seems to have boosted Obama's standing slightly, and he has improved his position modestly from the couple of polls that UC conducted in September, which had McCain ahead by 4 and 6 points respectively.

Overall, these results appear to roughly cancel out, and Obama's chance of winning the electoral college is 90.9 percent, the same as it was yesterday.

[kaydee457 13]

Well, it's clear that McCain is going to lose....This isn't an election about substance and issues but rather a movement to elect a guy percieved to be young and cool......

It will be the first election whereby the candidate was chosen by the liberal media, elevated to rock star status by the liberal media, coddled and protected by the MS media, and fianally Acorned top the highest office of the land.

Historical indeed.....

Jimmy Carter redux.........

[Kathryn41 3,205]

Hehehehehehehe AJ, you silly dreamer, you .

[NickD 203]

Hehehehehehehe AJ, you silly dreamer, you .

I was hoping that Dan Quayle would run picking Palin for his VP, now that's a winning combination!

[mendeleev 68]

An interesting question is how big the Bradley Effect will be in this election.

[w¡n9Nµ7 §£@¥€r 123]

An interesting question is how big the Bradley Effect will be in this election.

My guess - about 15%.

[mendeleev 68]

An interesting question is how big the Bradley Effect will be in this election.

My guess - about 15%.

Hmmm. That big? That's bigger than in any other election where a Bradley effect has been alleged. Do you really think the USA has gotten lots more racist in the past few years?