Latest Oklahoma poll has Obama losing by more than 40 points - a sign of things to come?

[luckytxn 2,264]

Heres a trend too back then. Oh but don't worry. These pools can be taken as what is gonna happen on election day so take heart sheep. Your Socialist saviour will soon rule over y'all.

ASHINGTON, Oct. 19 - Senator John Kerry appears to have reversed his slide among women who are voters and has taken a lead over President Bush in this crucial category, new polls show.

In early September, Mr. Bush led Mr. Kerry among women, 48 percent to 43 percent in the CBS News poll. As of Sunday, in The New York Times/CBS News poll, Mr. Kerry was leading among women who are registered voters, 50 percent to 40 percent. Other polls show Mr. Kerry with a smaller lead among women, but a lead nonetheless.

Edited October 9, 2008 by luckytxn

[luckytxn 2,264]

Zogby is always right on the money. This was his prediction. I laughed at the time back then when the zogby polls came out.

The Election Is Kerry's To Lose

By John Zogby

I have made a career of taking bungee jumps in my election calls. Sometimes I haven't had a helmet and I have gotten a little scratched. But here is my jump for 2004: John Kerry will win the election.

Have you recovered from the shock? Is this guy nuts? Kerry's performance of late has hardly been inspiring and polls show that most Americans have no sense of where he really stands on the key issues that matter most to them. Regardless, I still think that he will win. And if he doesn't, it will be because he blew it. There are four major reasons for my assertion:

In that same poll, Kerry leads by 17 points in the Blue States that voted for Al Gore in 2000, while Bush leads by only 10 points in the Red States that he won four years ago.

Finally, if history is any guide, Senator Kerry is a good closer. Something happens to him in the closing weeks of campaigns (that obviously is not happening now!). We have clearly seen that pattern in his 1996 victory over Governor Bill Weld for the Senate in Massachusetts and more recently in the 2004 Democratic primaries. All through 2003, Kerry's campaign lacked a focused message. He tends to be a nuanced candidate: thoughtful, briefed, and too willing to discuss a range of possibly positions on every issue. It is often hard to determine where he actually stands. In a presidential campaign, if a candidate can't spell it out in a bumper sticker, he will have trouble grabbing the attention of voters. By early 2004, as Democratic voters in Iowa and elsewhere concluded that President Bush could be defeated, they found Governor Howard Dean's message to be too hot and began to give Kerry another look. Kerry came on strong with the simplest messages: "I'm a veteran", "I have the experience", and "I can win". His timing caused him to come on strong at the perfect time. As one former his Vietnam War colleague of told a television correspondent in Iowa: "John always knows when his homework is due."

[luckytxn 2,264]

This was election day and from a Democratic website. Love it.

It's 9pm Election Day. Exit Polls show a Kerry win. Strategery time.

Edited on Mon Nov-15-04 12:42 AM by TruthIsAll

Exit Poll 4pm Actual Results

Kerry Bush Diff Kerry Bush Diff BushGain

We have a solid lead here, let it be.

1 AZ 45 55 -10 45 55 -10 0

We have a solid lead here, let it be.

2 LA 43 57 -14 42 57 -15 1

It’s close, so let’s watch it, in case we need it.

3 MI 51 48 3 51 48 3 0

It’s tied, so let’s give it a tiny boost

4 IA 49 49 0 49 50 -1 1

It’s close, so let’s watch it, in case we need it.

5 NM 50 48 2 50 50 0 2

We're toast here. It's only 4EV. We better make it a little

closer.

6 ME 55 44 11 53 45 8 3

It’s close, We’re ahead. Let’s make sure we get this one.

7 NV 48 49 -1 48 51 -3 2

No problem. We can’t lose this one.

8 AR 45 54 -9 45 54 -9 0

No problem. We can’t lose this one.

9 MO 46 54 -8 46 53 -7 -1

We knew we would get killed here. Ignore it.

10 IL 55 44 11 55 44 11 0

We thought we would do better. Let’s bump it up if we need

it.

11 WI 52 47 5 50 49 1 4

We thought we would do better. Let’s bump it up if we need

it.

12 PA 53 46 7 51 49 2 5

We NEED this one. Close down the Cleveland polls.

13 OH 51 49 2 49 51 -2 4

We NEED this one. Call Jeb, quick. Hack the optiscans.

14 FL 50 49 1 47 52 -5 6

WE always knew we would not even be close here. Wellstone.

15 MN 54 44 10 51 48 3 7

Oh, God. If we lose by this much, we’ll have no win

credibility.

16 NH 58 41 17 50 49 1 16

Edwards, That SOB. Let’s put this one away.

17 NC 48 52 -4 43 56 -13 9

About what we expected. Let it be.

18 CO 46 53 -7 46 52 -6 -1

Avg 50.67 48.20 2.47 48.87 50.20 -1.33 3.80

Do you really think we'll get away with this one?

[luckytxn 2,264]

Here is the final harris poll before election.

Final Pre-election Harris Polls: Still Too Close to Call but Kerry Makes Modest Gains

The final Harris Polls show Senator John Kerry making modest gains at the very end of the campaign in an election that is still too close to call using telephone methods of polling.. At the same time, the final Harris Internet-based poll suggests that Kerry will win the White House today in a narrow victory.

Edited October 9, 2008 by luckytxn

[brnidokiegurl 0]

Oklahoma - McCain 66, Obama 29

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/todays-polls-108.html

Correction: The title should say 'nearly' 40 points.

I heard that they only have queers and steers in Oklahoma; and, I just cannot imagine that many queers going with McCain!

excuse me...you didnttttttttttttt just say that, seems i heard that was texas (or maybe fr where you come from)

[Cassie 8]

Oklahoma - McCain 66, Obama 29

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/todays-polls-108.html

Correction: The title should say 'nearly' 40 points.

I heard that they only have queers and steers in Oklahoma; and, I just cannot imagine that many queers going with McCain!

Um, no. show some class.

[Mr. Big Dog 10,747]

Oklahoma - McCain 66, Obama 29

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/todays-polls-108.html

Correction: The title should say 'nearly' 40 points.

I heard that they only have queers and steers in Oklahoma; and, I just cannot imagine that many queers going with McCain!

excuse me...you didnttttttttttttt just say that, seems i heard that was texas (or maybe fr where you come from)

Texas? That couldn't be. No steers there.

[luckytxn 2,264]

Ok, done moderating for a bit and will post a couple more and then need to go look at boobies for a bit.

This was a poll by Fox news right before the election.

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll

by telephone October 30-31, 2004 during the day and in the evenings. The total sample is 1,400 registered voters (RV), with a subsample of 1,200 likely voters (LV) nationwide. For registered and likely voters there is a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.

Past results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted.

CURRENT VOTE FOR PRESIDENT (OCT 30-31)

AMONG LIKELY VOTERS

Bush Kerry Nader (NS/Other)

Three-Way 46% 48% 1%

Two-Way 46% 48% na

AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS

Three-Way 45% 47% 1%

[luckytxn 2,264]

I had to throw this in as it said Bush was ahead but assumes that the undecideds would go to Kerry. Gotta love the infallible polls.

In the final USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup poll before the election, President Bush held a 49-47 edge over Sen. John Kerry when the undecided voters were not allocated to a particular candidate. When Gallup, using a statistical model that assumes that 9 of 10 of those voters would support Kerry, allocated the voters, the poll ended as a dead heat with each candidate garnering 49%. The Gallup allocation formula is based on analyses of previous presidential races involving an incumbent.

[luckytxn 2,264]

If it is still here I can find tons more by Google and will post more. Would also like me to post some things from the Kerry sheep too that were so happy that Kerry was gonna win and then the afterwards when he lost and them whining and crying?

[spookyturtle 9,466]

Have no fear, on Nov. 4th, it will be Oklaaaaahomaaaaaaaa.

[Ken y Leidys 20]

[Pinocchio Liberal 268]

Remember 2004? How pissed off you got! Well?

[jom 4]

I am not voting this year but I believe Obama/Biden will win.

Today I received an email from a disturbed friend , and I quote:

"I looked this up on Snopes.com & while it doesn't say that the statements are completely true, the biggest item it disputes is that the Obama's paid for their educations with student loans & scholarships. I would say I wonder why the media hasn't reported on it, but I think we all know the answer to that question.

Subject: Letter full of questions

This election has me very worried. So many things to consider. About a year ago I would have voted for Obama. I have changed my mind three times since than. I watch all the news channels, jumping from one to another. I must say this drives my husband crazy. But, I feel if you view MSNBC, CNN, and Fox News, you might get some middle ground to work with. About six months ago, I started thinking 'where did the money come from for Obama'. I have four daughters who went to College, and we were middle class, and money was tight. We (including my girls) worked hard and there were lots of student loans.

Around 1979 Obama started college at Occidental in California. He is very open about his two years at Occidental, he tried all kinds of drugs and was wasting his time but, even though he had a brilliant mind, did not apply himself to his studies. 'Barry' (that was the name he used all his life) during this time had two roommates, Muhammad Hasan Chandoo and Wahid Hamid, both from Pakistan. During the summer of 1981, after his second year in college, he made a 'round the world' trip. Stopping to see his mother in Indonesia, next Hyderabad in India, three weeks in Karachi, Pakistan where he stayed with his roommate's family, then off to Africa to visit his father's family. My question - Where did he get the money for this trip? Nether I, nor any one of my children would have had money for a trip like this when they where in college. When he came back he started school at Columbia University in New York. It is at this time he wants everyone to call him Barack - not Barry. Do you know what the tuition is at Columbia? It's not cheap! to say the least. Where did he get money for tuition? Student Loans? Maybe. After Columbia, he went to Chicago to work as a Community Organizer for $12,000. a year. Why Chicago? Why not New York? He was already living in New York.

By 'chance' he met Antoin 'Tony' Rezko, born in Aleppo Syria, and a real estate developer in Chicago. Rezko has been convicted of fraud and bribery this year. Rezko, was named 'Entrepreneur of the Decade' by the Arab-American Business and Professional Association'. About two years later, Obama entered Harvard Law School. Do you have any idea what tuition is for Harvard Law School? Where did he get the money for Law School? More student loans? After Law school, he went back to Chicago. Rezko offered him a job, which he turned down. But, he did take a job with Davis, Miner, Barnhill & Galland. Guess what? They represented 'Rezar' which is Rezko's firm. Rezko was one of Obama's first major financial contributors when he ran for office in Chicago. In 2003, Rezko threw an early fundraiser for Obama which Chicago Tribune reporter David Mendelland claims was instrumental in providing Obama with 'seed money' for his U.S. Senate race. In 2005, Obama purchased a new home in Kenwoood District of Chicago for $1.65 million (less t han asking price). With ALL those Student Loans - Where did he get the money for the property? On the same day Rezko's wife, Rita, purchased the adjoining empty lot for full price. The London Times reported that Nadhmi Auchi, an Iraqi-born Billionaire loaned Rezko $3.5 million three weeks before Obama's new home was purchased. Obama met Nadhmi Auchi many times with Rezko.

Now, we have Obama running for President. Valerie Jarrett, was Michele Obama's boss. She is now Obama's chief advisor and he does not make any major decisions without talking to her first. Where was Jarrett born? Ready for this? Shiraz, Iran! Do we see a pattern here? Or am I going crazy?

On May 10, 2008 The Times reported, Robert Malley advisor to Obama was 'sacked' after the press found out he was having regular contacts with 'Hamas', which controls Gaza and is connected with Iran. This past week, buried in the back part of the papers, Iraqi newspapers reported that during Obama's visit to Iraq, he asked their leaders to do nothing about the war until after he is elected, and he will 'Take care of things'.

Oh, and by the way, remember the college roommates that where born in Pakistan? They are in charge of all those 'small' Internet campaign contribution for Obama. Where is that money coming from? The poor and middle class in this country? Or could it be from the Middle East?

And the final bit of news. On September 7, 2008, The Washington Times posted a verbal slip that was made on 'This Week' with George Stephanapoulos. Obama on talking about his religion said, 'My Muslim faith'. When questioned, 'he make a mistake'. Some mistake!

All of the above information I got on line. If you would like to check it - Wikipedia, encyclopedia, Barack Obama; Tony Rezko; Valerie Jarrett: Daily Times - Obama visited Pakistan in 1981; The Washington Times - September 7, 2008; The Times May 10, 2008.

Now the BIG question - If I found out all this information on my own, Why haven't all of our 'intelligent' members of the press been reporting this?

A phrase that keeps ringing in my ear - 'Beware of the enemy from within'!!!"

Anyway, I have always believe in the goodness of a person and if Obama wins I hope he will be an American first and be a good president.

[SteveLaura 0]

Your friend is indeed disturbed. Try not to make any sudden movements and head slowly towards the door.