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GaryC

For the first time, McCain ahead in the Electoral College

By GaryC in Off Topic

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akdiver Experienced

akdiver   3

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The accuracy of that map is suspect. Some of the states are not even shown in their actual locations. Edited by akdiver

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alienlovechild Mentor

alienlovechild   75

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The accuracy of that map is suspect. Some of the states are not even shown in their actual locations.

Which of the 57 states are in the wrong location on the map?

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akdiver Experienced

akdiver   3

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Which of the 57 states are in the wrong location on the map?
Oh wait - you're right. All 57 states are in their correct location. My bad.

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GaryC Grand Master

GaryC   7

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If you click on the "No Toss-Up States" from the link Gary gave:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ma..._mccain/?map=10

Obama/Biden 273

McCain/Palin 265

Great link, Gary! :jest:

The "toss up states" are that way because the average is in the MOE. If you took the other map and looked at them you would see that McCain has a current lead there and would give McCain 270 and Obama would have 268. But I don't hang my hopes an a statistical tie or even this poll. My point is that the trend is clearly going in McCain's favor.

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one...two...tree Grand Master

one...two...tree   2,762

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If you click on the "No Toss-Up States" from the link Gary gave:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ma..._mccain/?map=10

Obama/Biden 273

McCain/Palin 265

Great link, Gary! :jest:

The "toss up states" are that way because the average is in the MOE. If you took the other map and looked at them you would see that McCain has a current lead there and would give McCain 270 and Obama would have 268. But I don't hang my hopes an a statistical tie or even this poll. My point is that the trend is clearly going in McCain's favor.

How volatile were electoral maps since McCain and Obama became the presumptive nominees? If this is a recent shift, then I am skeptical that it's anything but a blip, IMO. Keep in mind, these are

Electors and not just some random sampling of potential voters.

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caybee Proficient

caybee   21

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My sister and I have been watching this particular map for a few days. She pointed out to me that the day before Election Day 2004, the same website showed Kerry with a solid lead over Bush. For whatever that's worth.

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