CBS Poll: McCain, Obama Tied

[GaryC 7]

CBS Poll: McCain, Obama Tied

McCain Closes Eight-Point Gap From Poll Taken Last Weekend

(CBS) The presidential race between Barack Obama and John McCain is now even at 42 percent, according to a new CBS News poll conducted Monday-Wednesday of this week. Twelve percent are undecided according to the poll, and one percent said they wouldn't vote.

This is in contrast to a poll conducted last weekend, where the Obama-Biden ticket led McCain-Palin by eight points, 48 percent to 40 percent.

McCain has also closed the enthusiasm gap some with Obama, but it still exists. Fifty-five percent of Obama's supporters are enthusiastic about their choice, and now so are 35% of McCain's. Last weekend, just 25 percent of McCain's supporters were enthusiastic about him, compared to 67 of Obama's supporters.

This week's polling continues to show voters waiting to decide about Sarah Palin (see yesterday's poll on Palin). But in interviewing done yesterday, 83 percent of registered voters said that spouse and family of a candidate will not affect their votes.

Other factors within the race and overall opinions of the candidates, however, have remained similar from this weekend.

Thirty-eight percent say they have a favorable view of Obama, compared 34 percent unfavorable and 27 percent undecided. For McCain, it's 37 percent favorable, 36 percent unfavorable and 27 percent undecided.

McCain maintains his large advantage on the likelihood of being an effective commander-in-chief - 46 percent of voters say it is "very likely" McCain would be an effective commander-in-chief, compared to 24 percent who say that about Obama.

But McCain still has one big deficit to make up -- just 44 percent of voters say he understands their needs and problems, compared with 60 percent who say that about Obama.

In the poll, Obama continues to have a lead with women voters, 43 percent to 38 percent, while McCain has the edge with men, 46 percent to 41 percent. As has been standard in this campaign, voters under age 45 are backing Obama, while older voters are supporting McCain.

McCain wins the support of married voters and Obama has the backing of voters who are not married. It should be noted, though, that most married voters are older while those who are not married tend to be younger.

Independents in this poll are divided. In the poll conducted over the weekend, Obama had a six-point advantage with this group, but now the lead is three points, 39 percent to 36 percent.

The poll also shows that the majority of Clinton supporters continue to support Obama - 67 percent in this poll, up from 58 percent last weekend.

McCain has seen a similar uptick from white evangelicals since the weekend - 66 percent now, up from 57 percent.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/09/04/...in4416798.shtml

[GaryC 7]

I am not surprised by the silence. All the Palin bashing didn't work it seems. Look for many more signs that Obama is on the downward spiral. The next 60 days will be fun.

[Ban Hammer 13,337]

I am not surprised by the silence. All the Palin bashing didn't work it seems. Look for many more signs that Obama is on the downward spiral. The next 60 days will be fun.

meanwhile, the dnc national enquirer reporters are busy digging.

[GaryC 7]

I am not surprised by the silence. All the Palin bashing didn't work it seems. Look for many more signs that Obama is on the downward spiral. The next 60 days will be fun.

meanwhile, the dnc national enquirer reporters are busy digging.

I see some interesting comparisons here. When Hillary and Obama were going at it Hillary was vilified by the press and Obama. Now that Ms Palin has stolen the show that same hatred has been sent her way. The common denomonator here are dems that are voting for Obama. I guess they are not as "progressive" as we thought.

[one...two...tree 2,762]

I am not surprised by the silence. All the Palin bashing didn't work it seems. Look for many more signs that Obama is on the downward spiral. The next 60 days will be fun.

Latest results in the Polls:

Gallup Tracking Obama 49 McCain 42

Rasmussen 50...........45

.......

I don't think these national polls are telling the real story of what is going on. It's the electoral map and therefore regional polls that have more significance.

[GaryC 7]

I am not surprised by the silence. All the Palin bashing didn't work it seems. Look for many more signs that Obama is on the downward spiral. The next 60 days will be fun.

Latest results in the Polls:

Gallup Tracking Obama 49 McCain 42

Rasmussen 50...........45

.......

I don't think these national polls are telling the real story of what is going on. It's the electoral map and therefore regional polls that have more significance.

Those polls were taken before Palin's speech. The one I posted was taken after. But your right, the electoral map is more significant.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ma..._mccain/?map=10

[symbiosis 0]

I wouldn't trust any of the polls this year.

Most political polls are still conducted by interviewing individual households by telephone. How many people have dropped landlines in the past few years? A lot. The pollsters say they've compensated for that, but I'm not buying it. Just how do they target a proper sample without a directory? I think those polls are going to be completely buggered this year. Since the younger demographic is probably more likely to have gone exclusively to a cell phone, the poll numbers are probably skewed in favor of McCain.