Solar Activity Diminishes; Researchers Predict Another Ice Age

[HAL 9000 96]

it's junk science, that's that the gw crowd will call this thread.

What do you think it is?

you don't think it will upset their global warming applecart?

Not necessarily. They were presented with data, and they responded. When presented with different data, they will just have to adjust their response.

Right?

I guess it boils down to being able to read data and understand its sampling accuracy. And relevance.

que

1. Understanding cause and effect,

2. Understanding the complexity that different factors affect similar outcomes,

3. Understanding when one observation is appropriate to make a solid conclusion,

etc.

[HAL 9000 96]

it's junk science, that's that the gw crowd will call this thread.

What do you think it is?

you don't think it will upset their global warming applecart?

Not necessarily. They were presented with data, and they responded. When presented with different data, they will just have to adjust their response.

Right?

I guess it boils down to being able to read data and understand its sampling accuracy. And relevance.

Erm, they're not conducting a poll to see who thinks it's correct.

*facepalm*

Quite right. But you'd certainly think that some folks would confuse popularity with correctness. Which suggests that in the meantime, actual data will continue to be overlooked by those that fear the political and social repercussions at home for choosing to ignore the problem.

Kind of like thinking a 0.001% (compared to the total market demand) increase in domestic petroleum availability will make a dent- in 8 years time- in the price of total petroleum at that time. Or at this time, to be more bold and in line with current popular thought.

[Scott & Lai 12]

When comparing humans and their actions and interactions with evolution in the biological sense, one of the chief differences is that people act consciously in response to their environment, whereas animals clearly cannot guide their own evolution. Even so, people face massive uncertainty, something that standard economics doesn’t take into account, working instead with rational agents with nearly perfect information about decisions they must make. This is fine in certain circumstances in order to have a clearer view of a specific problem. “Bounded rationality”, where agents do not have access to all information increases the relevance of economic theory. In reality, “maximizing” (obtaining the absolute best result) is difficult or impossible compared to “satisficing” (obtaining a good enough result). In games such as chess, where it is impossible even for computers to calculate every move, grandmasters often make the most reasonable move, avoiding obvious traps, rather than trying (unsuccessfully) to determine the best possible move in light of all possible moves that the opponent might make.

http://www.squeezedbooks.com/book/show/2/w...n-and-economics

Number of instances of the word solar: 0

Number of instances of the word sun: 0

Abort or Retry.

I get the feeling there are two different conversations going on

[Peikko 1,575]

There often are...

[HAL 9000 96]

Just 2? With all the extra innuendos??

[Trumplestiltskin 5,791]

No Wild Tangents^TM at least

[HAL 9000 96]

No Wild Tangents^TM at least

SILENCE!!!