media manipulation

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NBC/Wall Street Journal Embarrassed on Oversampling

... .. But one which, I think, tends to undercut the arguments of the Obama campaign that he would be a substantially stronger candidate in the general election than Clinton. And evidence that the Rev. Jeremiah Wright has taken the luster off Obama and made him a weaker candidate against McCain than he was two week ago. ... ..

Polls Show Obama Damaged by Reverend Wright

This poll has gotten them into trouble, so they're trying to explain themselves. Short answer: You all are idiots. In a post entitled "What 'Oversampling' Means," the group that conducted the poll "explains." In other words, covering their political posterior for a poll that should never have been released they blame you for being ignorant.

As you know, the sample for the March 24-25 poll on race included an “oversample” of 100 African American voters. -

MSNBC First Read

Here's an interesting comment from reader Dr. TS:

I literally just received an E-mail from my husband on the innacuracy of this poll. He is more statistically inclined. He said the following:

I’m surprised they released this poll. The actual results mention the over sampling but it doesn’t match up with the question about race. This shows 11% were AA which would be 77 out of 700. But, they state they oversampled by 100 which means 177 were AA (25%). I don’t see how they can make any inferences about overall voters since the sample sizes aren’t reflective of the actual population. They don’t say what they did with the extra 100 AA respondents. Plus, the AA respondent results have a higher error (since it’s a smaller sample size) so you really can’t say anything about those results. (This poll's results has an error of +/- 7.4%!]

I'll let you math and poll experts break it down further, but it's clear that the poll MSNBC is pushing, compliments of Clinton haters Matthews and Olbermann, isn't worth the paper it's printed on. They've even got a representative of the polling company on MSNBC touting how good the poll is for Obama, and how bad it is for Clinton.

Bottom line: Oversampling Asking African Americans to find out what they think on Obama's pastor disaster isn't really the issue is it? With African Americans backing Obama 9 to 1, does anybody really believe that Wright is going to move them? What about how white voters feel? That's the problem with the poll, especially when you look at other evidence that directly refutes the bogus NBC/Wall Street Journal nonsense.

Clinton's numbers have become somewhat more unfavorable. But the major difference is that McCain's fav/unfavs have become marginally more favorable,

while Obama's have become significantly less favorable.

But again, they think everyone will just fall in line and believe this baloney. Instead, NBC/Wall Street Journal have been busted.

However, all this is really now a moot point, because Rev. Wright has offered more nuggets of his nuttiness, which I'll cover in the next post, with cable running with Obama's pastor disaster again today. Obama's not out of this one by a long shot. That's why his camp, with help from Nancy Pelosi, is trying to shut down the primary fight.

Two words of advice for the DC elites: Back. Off. Otherwise they'll create a bigger problem than they have now with Clinton voters, if that's possible.