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Visa Journey "estimated" approval times

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Yesterday the Message in my TIMELINE said that my estimated approval date would be between Aug 16 and September 4. Today it says between September 28 - Oct 28th.. What a change!

Then i say to myself... what could possible have happened for an almost 60 day increase? i look at the individual timelines and i notice 2 people with NOA1's from July 07 and Oct 07... just got approved...

Does this mean that estimated date relies so heavily on just one or 2 people... i mean.. it was just 2...

CR1

I-130 NOA1 : 2008-02-19

Touched : 2008-09-26

Touched : 2008-09-27(they work on saturdays?)

I-130 NOA2 : 2008-09-29

222 DAYS

CR2 (Our)daughter

I-130 NOA1 : 2008-06-27

I-130 NOA2 : 2008-09-26

89 DAYS

K3

I-129F NOA1 : 2008-04-08

I-129F NOA2: 2008-09-29

173 DAYS

~~~NVC~~~

10-01-2008 NVC Case Recieved/Numbers Assigned

10-02-2008 NVC IIN Numbers Acquired after 14 tries. (take the "call after 10p" tup) it WORKS

10-04-2008 Paid AOS $70 AND sent DS-3032 by email (.pdf) and by MAIL

10-08-2008 AOS SHOWED AS PAID - AOS Docs Sent out

10-08-2008 IV FEE GENERATED then PAID

10-08-2008 SDQ CONSULATE GRANTS EXPEDITE REQUEST AND REQUESTS CASE

10-27-2008 SDQ INFORMS MY WIFE, TO PICK UP "OPEN INTERVIEW" PAPERS

10-28-2008 INTERVIEW PAPERS AND MEDICAL INST. RECIEVED

10-29-2008 MEDICAL DONE

11-04-2008 MEDICAL RESULTS RECIEVED

11-05-2008 INTERVIEW (APPROVED)

#-#-#### VISA/PASSPORT(S) RECEIVED

#-#-#### POE

TOTAL DAYS FORM PETITION TO INTERVIEW-260 DAYS or 8 months, 17 days

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Filed: Citizen (pnd) Country: Canada
Timeline

VisaJourney is only a small portion of what is at USCIS.

Not everyone on VJ fills out their timeline.

So yeah, two additions can really affect the estimations when you are dealing with a relatively small sample size.

That's why I take all that stuff with a grain of salt.

*Cheryl -- Nova Scotia ....... Jerry -- Oklahoma*

Jan 17, 2014 N-400 submitted

Jan 27, 2014 NOA received and cheque cashed

Feb 13, 2014 Biometrics scheduled

Nov 7, 2014 NOA received and interview scheduled


MAY IS NATIONAL STROKE AWARENESS MONTH
Educate Yourself on the Warning Signs of Stroke -- talk to me, I am a survivor!

"Life is as the little shadow that runs across the grass and loses itself in the sunset" ---Crowfoot

The true measure of a society is how those who have treat those who don't.

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: China
Timeline

haha, watch what happens when mine gets approved.. :whistle:

I-130 STAGE 1 : 533 days - 1 year 6 months (4/16/2007 to 9/22/2008)

Priority Date I-130 : 4/16/2007 ( 533 days , APPROVED 9/22/2008)
Transferred to local office based on "security checks" : 11/27/2007
wrote hundreds of letters - received letter from FBI Records Management Chief stating no security checks
local office interview : 2/21/2008 - brought my parents too (result : you will get approval within 2-3 weeks)

5/2/2008 - (lawsuit) Writ of Mandamus - OFFICIAL DATE (7/29/2008)
9/22/2008 - CALL AND EMAIL COPY OF APPROVAL NOTICE FROM LAWYER

NVC STAGE 2 : 99 days - 3 months (9/30/2008 to 1/7/2009)

NVC Received : 9/30/2008
Received Packet 3 (I-864/DS-230) : 11/10/2008
NVC says "RFE sent out 12/9/08 for missing documents" : 12/10/2008
CASE COMPLETE - 1/7/2009

CONSULATE STAGE 3 : 96 days - 3 months (1/8/2009 to 4/14/2009)
CLEARED CUSTOMS - 3/10/2009
**APPOINTMENT DATE : 4/14/2009, 7:15AM**
** BLUE SLIP **

AP STAGE 4 : 97 days - 3 months (4/14/2009 to 7/20/2009)
DOS call to receive I-601 (Waiver of Grounds for Inadmissibility - basically denial) from Guangzhou : 6/24/2009

REMOVAL OF I-601 due to my letters to the USCIS Director, Michael Aytes: 6/29/2009
CALL-IN LETTER NOTIFIED : 7/8/2009
CALL-IN LETTER (APPROVAL)!! : 7/16/2009
ALL DONE!! (got both GREEN CARD & SSN CARD) : 10/1/2009

"http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/194075-feel-like-a-cr-1-csc-castaway/page-60" (pages 53-63) for more updates and letter I wrote to Director Michael Aytes and his replies and back and forth..

HER PARENTS - 10 months so far

I-130 Sent In : 1/7/2013

I-130 Approval : 3/28/2013

Transfer to NVC : 6/12/2013

Case Complete : 8/25/2013

"Ready for Interview" (Ready to wait for 1-3 Months, this is official NVC letter transfer date) : 9/9/2013

DHL Tracking : arrived 9/24/2013

P4 Letter : 11/21/2013

Interview Date : 12/9/2013, originally 12/3, stupid lawyer filled out her dad's passport number wrong..

Interview Passed : 12/9/2013

Visa "Issued" on CEAC : 12/10/2013

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Thailand
Timeline
Yesterday the Message in my TIMELINE said that my estimated approval date would be between Aug 16 and September 4. Today it says between September 28 - Oct 28th.. What a change!

Then i say to myself... what could possible have happened for an almost 60 day increase? i look at the individual timelines and i notice 2 people with NOA1's from July 07 and Oct 07... just got approved...

Does this mean that estimated date relies so heavily on just one or 2 people... i mean.. it was just 2...

If you want to get an accurate idea od where you are, look at the spreadsheet below. I wouldn't put too much value in the estimated approval date, or the dates on the USCIS website for that matter.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p-9...OJQ_i7tcTVRqfdg

Service Center : Vermont Service Center

Consulate : Bangkok, Thailand

Marriage : 2006-11-08

I-130 Sent : 2008-02-22

I-130 NOA1 : 2008-03-10

I-129F Sent : 2008-04-08

I-129F NOA1 : 2008-04-14

I-129F touched: 2008-05-06

I-130 touched: 2008-05-09

I-129F approved 2008-09-05

I-130 approved 2008-09-05

NVC received 2008-09-12

Pay I-864 2008-10-08

Pay IV bill 2008-10-08

Receive Instruction 2008-11-05

Case Complete 2008-11-18

Medical 2009-01-19/20 passed

Receive Pkt 4 2009-01-30

Interview 221g 2009-02-23

Second interview 2009-03-02 Approved

POE DFW 2009-03-07

Received SS card 2009-03-17

Received GC 2009-04-01

Done for 3 years or 10 years. Haven't decided yet.

(I'm going for the IR-1 and blowing off the K-3. Even if it takes an extra couple months, it's worth it to not have to deal with USCIS again)

"Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, the wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!"

Note:

Please fill out I-130, wait 6 months for approval, then 3 more months for an interview. (Unless of course we've bombed your country into the stone age, then you qualify for expedited processing.)

Welcome to the USA!!!

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Filed: K-3 Visa Country: China
Timeline
Yesterday the Message in my TIMELINE said that my estimated approval date would be between Aug 16 and September 4. Today it says between September 28 - Oct 28th.. What a change!

Then i say to myself... what could possible have happened for an almost 60 day increase? i look at the individual timelines and i notice 2 people with NOA1's from July 07 and Oct 07... just got approved...

Does this mean that estimated date relies so heavily on just one or 2 people... i mean.. it was just 2...

If you want to get an accurate idea od where you are, look at the spreadsheet below. I wouldn't put too much value in the estimated approval date, or the dates on the USCIS website for that matter.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p-9...OJQ_i7tcTVRqfdg

if you put much value in any data, then hot do you estimate the time?

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  • 2 weeks later...
Filed: K-3 Visa Country: Nepal
Timeline

Hi all,

Can you tell me why there is nothing written in my section for "estimated approval time/stats"? I received my first NOA for my husband's I129F on April 4th, got touched on April 28th, and nothing has happened since.

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Thailand
Timeline
Hi all,

Can you tell me why there is nothing written in my section for "estimated approval time/stats"? I received my first NOA for my husband's I129F on April 4th, got touched on April 28th, and nothing has happened since.

Just a guess, but you should fill in the "sent" dates of your I-130 and I-129F.

Service Center : Vermont Service Center

Consulate : Bangkok, Thailand

Marriage : 2006-11-08

I-130 Sent : 2008-02-22

I-130 NOA1 : 2008-03-10

I-129F Sent : 2008-04-08

I-129F NOA1 : 2008-04-14

I-129F touched: 2008-05-06

I-130 touched: 2008-05-09

I-129F approved 2008-09-05

I-130 approved 2008-09-05

NVC received 2008-09-12

Pay I-864 2008-10-08

Pay IV bill 2008-10-08

Receive Instruction 2008-11-05

Case Complete 2008-11-18

Medical 2009-01-19/20 passed

Receive Pkt 4 2009-01-30

Interview 221g 2009-02-23

Second interview 2009-03-02 Approved

POE DFW 2009-03-07

Received SS card 2009-03-17

Received GC 2009-04-01

Done for 3 years or 10 years. Haven't decided yet.

(I'm going for the IR-1 and blowing off the K-3. Even if it takes an extra couple months, it's worth it to not have to deal with USCIS again)

"Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free, the wretched refuse of your teeming shore. Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me, I lift my lamp beside the golden door!"

Note:

Please fill out I-130, wait 6 months for approval, then 3 more months for an interview. (Unless of course we've bombed your country into the stone age, then you qualify for expedited processing.)

Welcome to the USA!!!

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I looked at my timeline estimate now.. My goodness, it was so depressing.. :crying: My husband and I couldn't stand that April to May 2009 adjudication!!!! :crying:

I promise to love you in good times and in bad, with all I have to give and all that I am, in the only way I know how -- completely and forever......

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Sorry, I guess it's partly my fault that the estimate suddenly jumped!

But then on the other side of the coin, for my case the estimated approval date was Dec 2007, but nothing happened for another 7 months after that!

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